The Prediction Markets

UEFA Champions League: Team to advance to 2027 quarters

Closes
Mar 20, 2027, in 5 months
Traded
$63K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
1 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

Paris Saint-Germain 85.5%

Next is Real Madrid at 85.5%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Paris Saint-Germain
85.5%
Polymarket 85.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 86¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Polymarket
Contract
Paris Saint-Germain
Last price
85.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
86¢
Sell Yes
85¢
$100 on Yes pays
$116 (1.16x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Real Madrid
85.5%
Polymarket 85.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 89¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Polymarket
Contract
Real Madrid
Last price
85.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
89¢
Sell Yes
82¢
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Volume
$20K
Trade this on Polymarket
Barcelona
79%
Polymarket 79%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 80¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Polymarket
Contract
Barcelona
Last price
79%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
78¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Arsenal
75%
Polymarket 75%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 76¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Polymarket
Contract
Arsenal
Last price
75%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
76¢
Sell Yes
74¢
$100 on Yes pays
$132 (1.32x)
Volume
$888
Trade this on Polymarket
Bayern Munich
72.5%
Polymarket 72.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 73¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bayern Munich
Last price
72.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
73¢
Sell Yes
72¢
$100 on Yes pays
$137 (1.37x)
Volume
$600
Trade this on Polymarket
Manchester City
67.5%
Polymarket 67.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 68¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Polymarket
Contract
Manchester City
Last price
67.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
68¢
Sell Yes
67¢
$100 on Yes pays
$147 (1.47x)
Volume
$168
Trade this on Polymarket
Liverpool
64%
Polymarket 64%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 65¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Polymarket
Contract
Liverpool
Last price
64%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
65¢
Sell Yes
63¢
$100 on Yes pays
$154 (1.54x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
Inter Milan
36.5%
Polymarket 36.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 37¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
Inter Milan
Last price
36.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
37¢
Sell Yes
36¢
$100 on Yes pays
$270 (2.70x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Atlético Madrid
34.5%
Polymarket 34.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Polymarket
Contract
Atlético Madrid
Last price
34.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
Aston Villa
30.5%
Polymarket 30.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 32¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
Aston Villa
Last price
30.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
29¢
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 26 more outcomes
Real Betis
27.5%
Polymarket 27.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Polymarket
Contract
Real Betis
Last price
27.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
26¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$735
Trade this on Polymarket
VfB Stuttgart
26.5%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 27¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
VfB Stuttgart
Last price
26.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
26¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Volume
$80
Trade this on Polymarket
Borussia Dortmund
24%
Polymarket 24%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Borussia Dortmund
Last price
24%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
23¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Roma
24%
Polymarket 24%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Roma
Last price
24%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
23¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$713
Trade this on Polymarket
Club Brugge
22%
Polymarket 22%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
Club Brugge
Last price
22%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Como
22%
Polymarket 22%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 23¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
Como
Last price
22%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Manchester United
20.5%
Polymarket 20.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Polymarket
Contract
Manchester United
Last price
20.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$475
Trade this on Polymarket
Napoli
18.5%
Polymarket 18.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 19¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Polymarket
Contract
Napoli
Last price
18.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Porto
17.5%
Polymarket 17.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Porto
Last price
17.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$2
Trade this on Polymarket
Feyenoord
16%
Polymarket 16%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 18¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
Feyenoord
Last price
16%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Polymarket
Villarreal
16%
Polymarket 16%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Polymarket
Contract
Villarreal
Last price
16%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Bodø/Glimt
14.5%
Polymarket 14.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 16.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $610 (6.10x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bodø/Glimt
Last price
14.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
16.4¢
Sell Yes
12.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$610 (6.10x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
RB Leipzig
14%
Polymarket 14%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Polymarket
Contract
RB Leipzig
Last price
14%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Sporting CP
14%
Polymarket 14%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sporting CP
Last price
14%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$546
Trade this on Polymarket
Galatasaray
13.7%
Polymarket 13.7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 14.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $704 (7.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
Galatasaray
Last price
13.7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
14.2¢
Sell Yes
13.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$704 (7.04x)
Volume
$271
Trade this on Polymarket
PSV Eindhoven
12%
Polymarket 12%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
PSV Eindhoven
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Lens
11.5%
Polymarket 11.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lens
Last price
11.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Lille
8.9%
Polymarket 8.9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $935 (9.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lille
Last price
8.9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
10.7¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$935 (9.35x)
Volume
$167
Trade this on Polymarket
Shakhtar Donetsk
5.1%
Polymarket 5.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,563 (15.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Shakhtar Donetsk
Last price
5.1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
6.4¢
Sell Yes
3.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,563 (15.6x)
Volume
$617
Trade this on Polymarket
LASK
4.5%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
LASK
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$183
Trade this on Polymarket
AEK Athens
4%
Polymarket 4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,724 (17.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
AEK Athens
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.8¢
Sell Yes
2.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,724 (17.2x)
Volume
$29
Trade this on Polymarket
Fenerbahçe
3.3%
Polymarket 3.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Fenerbahçe
Last price
3.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,818 (18.2x)
Volume
$564
Trade this on Polymarket
Slovan Bratislava
2.9%
Polymarket 2.9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,222 (22.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Slovan Bratislava
Last price
2.9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4.5¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,222 (22.2x)
Volume
$224
Trade this on Polymarket
Slavia Prague
2.4%
Polymarket 2.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Slavia Prague
Last price
2.4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$617
Trade this on Polymarket
Viking
1.6%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Viking
Last price
1.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$165
Trade this on Polymarket
Sabah
0.7%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sabah
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1.2¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$8,333 (83.3x)
Volume
$264
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Paris Saint-Germain
  • Real Madrid
  • Barcelona

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "UEFA Champions League: Team to advance to 2027 quarters". Paris Saint-Germain leads at 85.5%. Next is Real Madrid at 85.5%. $63K has traded across 36 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Mar 20, 2027.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Champions League quarterfinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2027 UEFA Champions League is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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