The Prediction Markets

UEFA Champions League: Team to advance to 2027 Round of 16

Closes
Feb 28, 2027, in 4 months
Traded
$90K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Paris Saint-Germain 98.8%

Next is Arsenal at 97.9%. The venues differ most on Manchester City (Polymarket 86.5%, Kalshi 96%), a 9.5-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Paris Saint-Germain
98.8%
Polymarket 98.8%polled, 36s ago
Polymarket
Contract
Paris Saint-Germain
Last price
98.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
97.5¢
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Arsenal
97.9%
Polymarket 97.9%polled, 36s agoKalshi 98%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Arsenal
Last price
97.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99.4¢
Sell Yes
96.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Arsenal
Last price
98%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
86¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$134
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 96.3¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 99¢.

Real Madrid
97.2%
Polymarket 96.8%polled, 36s agoKalshi 98%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 98.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Real Madrid
Last price
96.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98.7¢
Sell Yes
94.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$38
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Real Madrid
Last price
98%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
84¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 94.8¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 99¢.

Barcelona
94.8%
Polymarket 95.1%polled, 36s agoKalshi 94%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 96.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
Barcelona
Last price
95.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
96.3¢
Sell Yes
93.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Barcelona
Last price
94%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
88¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$133
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 93.8¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 98¢.

Bayern Munich
89.9%
Polymarket 90.3%polled, 36s agoKalshi 89.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 90.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bayern Munich
Last price
90.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
90.3¢
Sell Yes
90.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Bayern Munich
Last price
89.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
82¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 90.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 97¢.

Manchester City
89.7%
Polymarket 86.5%polled, 36s agoKalshi 96%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 88¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
Manchester City
Last price
86.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
85¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$365
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Manchester City
Last price
96%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
83¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$185
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 83¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 88¢.

Liverpool
87.3%
Polymarket 88.5%polled, 36s agoKalshi 86%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 89¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Polymarket
Contract
Liverpool
Last price
88.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
89¢
Sell Yes
88¢
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Liverpool
Last price
86%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
78¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 88¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 94¢.

Aston Villa
72.5%
Polymarket 73%polled, 36s agoKalshi 72%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 74¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
Aston Villa
Last price
73%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
72¢
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Aston Villa
Last price
72%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
64¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 72¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 80¢.

Real Betis
67%
Polymarket 67.5%polled, 36s agoKalshi 66.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 68¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Polymarket
Contract
Real Betis
Last price
67.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
68¢
Sell Yes
67¢
$100 on Yes pays
$147 (1.47x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Real Betis
Last price
66.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
77¢
Sell Yes
56¢
$100 on Yes pays
$130 (1.30x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 67¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 77¢.

Stuttgart
62%
Kalshi 62%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 71¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Kalshi
Contract
Stuttgart
Last price
62%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
71¢
Sell Yes
53¢
$100 on Yes pays
$141 (1.41x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 36 more outcomes
VfB Stuttgart
62%
Polymarket 62%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 63¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Polymarket
Contract
VfB Stuttgart
Last price
62%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
63¢
Sell Yes
61¢
$100 on Yes pays
$159 (1.59x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Atletico
60.5%
Kalshi 60.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 70¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Kalshi
Contract
Atletico
Last price
60.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
70¢
Sell Yes
51¢
$100 on Yes pays
$143 (1.43x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Atlético Madrid
60.5%
Polymarket 60.5%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 61¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Polymarket
Contract
Atlético Madrid
Last price
60.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
61¢
Sell Yes
60¢
$100 on Yes pays
$164 (1.64x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Polymarket
Dortmund
60.5%
Kalshi 60.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 71¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dortmund
Last price
60.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
71¢
Sell Yes
50¢
$100 on Yes pays
$141 (1.41x)
Trade this on Kalshi
PSG
60%
Kalshi 60%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
PSG
Last price
60%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
60¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$337
Trade this on Kalshi
Borussia Dortmund
59%
Polymarket 59%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 60¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
Borussia Dortmund
Last price
59%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
58¢
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Volume
$406
Trade this on Polymarket
Como
52.5%
Polymarket 52.5%polled, 36s agoKalshi 52.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 53¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Polymarket
Contract
Como
Last price
52.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
53¢
Sell Yes
52¢
$100 on Yes pays
$189 (1.89x)
Volume
$12K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Como
Last price
52.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
45¢
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 52¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 60¢.

Inter Milan
50.5%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Polymarket
Contract
Inter Milan
Last price
50.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
50¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Polymarket
Inter
48%
Kalshi 48%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 55¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Kalshi
Contract
Inter
Last price
48%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
55¢
Sell Yes
41¢
$100 on Yes pays
$182 (1.82x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Club Brugge
47.5%
Polymarket 47.5%polled, 36s agoKalshi 47.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
Club Brugge
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
47¢
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Volume
$631
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Club Brugge
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
57¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$175 (1.75x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 47¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 57¢.

Sporting CP
42.8%
Polymarket 42.5%polled, 36s agoKalshi 43%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 44¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sporting CP
Last price
42.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
41¢
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Sporting CP
Last price
43%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
35¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 35¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 44¢.

Roma
42%
Polymarket 41.5%polled, 36s agoKalshi 42.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 42¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Polymarket
Contract
Roma
Last price
41.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
41¢
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Roma
Last price
42.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
37¢
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 37¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 42¢.

Napoli
38.8%
Polymarket 38%polled, 36s agoKalshi 39.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 39¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
Napoli
Last price
38%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
37¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Napoli
Last price
39.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
33¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 33¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 39¢.

Manchester United
36.3%
Polymarket 38%polled, 36s agoKalshi 31%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 39¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
Manchester United
Last price
38%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
37¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Manchester United
Last price
31%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
31¢
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 31¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 39¢.

Villarreal
36.3%
Polymarket 36%polled, 36s agoKalshi 36.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 37¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
Villarreal
Last price
36%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
37¢
Sell Yes
35¢
$100 on Yes pays
$270 (2.70x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Villarreal
Last price
36.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
28¢
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 28¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 37¢.

Leipzig
32%
Kalshi 32%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 41¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Kalshi
Contract
Leipzig
Last price
32%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
41¢
Sell Yes
23¢
$100 on Yes pays
$244 (2.44x)
Trade this on Kalshi
RB Leipzig
31.5%
Polymarket 31.5%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 33¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
RB Leipzig
Last price
31.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
30¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Sabah Masazir
31.5%
Kalshi 31.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sabah Masazir
Last price
31.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
61¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$164 (1.64x)
Trade this on Kalshi
PSV Eindhoven
29.3%
Polymarket 28%polled, 36s agoKalshi 30.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Polymarket
Contract
PSV Eindhoven
Last price
28%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
27¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$251
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
PSV Eindhoven
Last price
30.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
41¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$244 (2.44x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 20¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 29¢.

Bodø/Glimt
29%
Kalshi 29%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Kalshi
Contract
Bodoe/Glimt
Last price
29%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Galatasaray
28%
Polymarket 28%polled, 36s agoKalshi 28%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Polymarket
Contract
Galatasaray
Last price
28%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
27¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Galatasaray
Last price
28%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 17¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 29¢.

Feyenoord
26.3%
Polymarket 26%polled, 36s agoKalshi 26.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 27¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
Feyenoord
Last price
26%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Feyenoord
Last price
26.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 18¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 27¢.

Shakhtar
25.5%
Kalshi 25.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Shakhtar
Last price
25.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Bodø/Glimt
25%
Polymarket 25%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 26¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bodø/Glimt
Last price
25%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Shakhtar Donetsk
25%
Polymarket 25%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 26¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
Shakhtar Donetsk
Last price
25%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Volume
$258
Trade this on Polymarket
Fenerbahce
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Fenerbahce
Last price
23%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$319
Trade this on Kalshi
Lens
17%
Polymarket 16.5%polled, 36s agoKalshi 17.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 18¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lens
Last price
16.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Volume
$605
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Lens
Last price
17.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 11¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 18¢.

Fenerbahçe
16.5%
Polymarket 16.5%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
Fenerbahçe
Last price
16.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Porto
16%
Polymarket 15.5%polled, 36s agoKalshi 16.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Polymarket
Contract
Porto
Last price
15.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Porto
Last price
16.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 9¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 16¢.

AEK Athens
15.1%
Polymarket 13.5%polled, 36s agoKalshi 20%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
AEK Athens
Last price
13.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
AEK Athens
Last price
20%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$59
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 11¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 15¢.

Lille
10.8%
Polymarket 8.5%polled, 36s agoKalshi 13%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lille
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$218
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Lille
Last price
13%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 5¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 10¢.

LASK
8.2%
Polymarket 7.4%polled, 36s agoKalshi 9%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 8.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,176 (11.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
LASK
Last price
7.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8.5¢
Sell Yes
6.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,176 (11.8x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
LASK
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 4¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 8.5¢.

Slovan Bratislava
7.2%
Polymarket 3.8%polled, 36s agoKalshi 10.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 5.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,961 (19.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Slovan Bratislava
Last price
3.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.1¢
Sell Yes
2.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,961 (19.6x)
Volume
$390
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Slovan Bratislava
Last price
10.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 5.1¢.

Viking
6.9%
Polymarket 5.7%polled, 36s agoKalshi 8%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Viking
Last price
5.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
5.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Viking
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 6¢.

Slavia Prague
6.2%
Polymarket 3.4%polled, 36s agoKalshi 9%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 4.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,128 (21.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Slavia Prague
Last price
3.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.7¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,128 (21.3x)
Volume
$396
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Slavia Prague
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 4.7¢.

Sabah
2.5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 3.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,632 (26.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sabah
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.8¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,632 (26.3x)
Volume
$597
Trade this on Polymarket

No cross-venue arbitrage right now: on every matched outcome, the best bid on one venue is at or below the cheapest ask on the other. Find markets with open spreads

Mostly the same bet: one difference

Where they differ

  • Trading closes at different times: Feb 28, 2027, 11:59 PM UTC on Polymarket and Mar 11, 2027, 12:00 AM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN
Show full rule comparison
  • Trading closes Feb 28, 2027, 11:59 PM UTC on Polymarket and Mar 11, 2027, 12:00 AM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Paris Saint-Germain
  • Arsenal
  • Real Madrid

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Kalshi doesn’t list Paris Saint-Germain for this event.

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "UEFA Champions League: Team to advance to 2027 Round of 16". Paris Saint-Germain leads at 98.8%. Next is Arsenal at 97.9%. $90K has traded across 46 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Feb 28, 2027.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Champions League Round of 16 (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2027 UEFA Champions League is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16 matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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