The Prediction Markets

UEFA Champions League: Team to advance to 2027 semis

Closes
Apr 18, 2027, in 6 months
Traded
$45K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Paris Saint-Germain 57.5%

Next is Barcelona at 54%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Paris Saint-Germain
57.5%
Polymarket 57.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 59¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
Paris Saint-Germain
Last price
57.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
59¢
Sell Yes
56¢
$100 on Yes pays
$169 (1.69x)
Volume
$676
Trade this on Polymarket
Barcelona
54%
Polymarket 54%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 55¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Polymarket
Contract
Barcelona
Last price
54%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
55¢
Sell Yes
53¢
$100 on Yes pays
$182 (1.82x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Arsenal
47%
Polymarket 47%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 56¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Polymarket
Contract
Arsenal
Last price
47%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
56¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$179 (1.79x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Bayern Munich
45.5%
Polymarket 45.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 46¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bayern Munich
Last price
45.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
45¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Real Madrid
40%
Polymarket 40%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 41¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Polymarket
Contract
Real Madrid
Last price
40%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
41¢
Sell Yes
39¢
$100 on Yes pays
$244 (2.44x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Manchester City
28%
Polymarket 28%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 29¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Polymarket
Contract
Manchester City
Last price
28%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
27¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$550
Trade this on Polymarket
Liverpool
18.5%
Polymarket 18.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Liverpool
Last price
18.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Atlético Madrid
18%
Polymarket 18%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 26¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
Atlético Madrid
Last price
18%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Volume
$404
Trade this on Polymarket
Inter Milan
16%
Polymarket 16%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Polymarket
Contract
Inter Milan
Last price
16%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Polymarket
Borussia Dortmund
14.5%
Polymarket 14.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
Borussia Dortmund
Last price
14.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$2
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 26 more outcomes
Aston Villa
12.5%
Polymarket 12.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 12.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $775 (7.75x)
Polymarket
Contract
Aston Villa
Last price
12.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12.9¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$775 (7.75x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Real Betis
10.2%
Polymarket 10.2%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 11.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $885 (8.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
Real Betis
Last price
10.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11.3¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$885 (8.85x)
Volume
$279
Trade this on Polymarket
Roma
9.5%
Polymarket 9.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Roma
Last price
9.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Sporting CP
9%
Polymarket 9%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sporting CP
Last price
9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$102
Trade this on Polymarket
Como
8.7%
Polymarket 8.7%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 10.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $990 (9.90x)
Polymarket
Contract
Como
Last price
8.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10.1¢
Sell Yes
7.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$990 (9.90x)
Volume
$763
Trade this on Polymarket
Manchester United
8.5%
Polymarket 8.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
Manchester United
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Polymarket
VfB Stuttgart
8%
Polymarket 8%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
VfB Stuttgart
Last price
8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Fenerbahçe
7%
Polymarket 7%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Fenerbahçe
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$527
Trade this on Polymarket
Porto
6.5%
Polymarket 6.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Porto
Last price
6.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$287
Trade this on Polymarket
RB Leipzig
6%
Polymarket 6%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
RB Leipzig
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$101
Trade this on Polymarket
AEK Athens
5.4%
Polymarket 5.4%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 9.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,010 (10.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
AEK Athens
Last price
5.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9.9¢
Sell Yes
0.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,010 (10.1x)
Volume
$159
Trade this on Polymarket
Napoli
5%
Polymarket 5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Napoli
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Polymarket
Lille
4.6%
Polymarket 4.6%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 5.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lille
Last price
4.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.9¢
Sell Yes
3.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,695 (16.9x)
Volume
$94
Trade this on Polymarket
Feyenoord
4.5%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 5.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,786 (17.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Feyenoord
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.6¢
Sell Yes
3.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,786 (17.9x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
PSV Eindhoven
4.3%
Polymarket 4.3%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 5.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
PSV Eindhoven
Last price
4.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.5¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,818 (18.2x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Polymarket
Villarreal
4%
Polymarket 4%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 5.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Villarreal
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.9¢
Sell Yes
2.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,695 (16.9x)
Volume
$101
Trade this on Polymarket
Lens
3.8%
Polymarket 3.8%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 5.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lens
Last price
3.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.9¢
Sell Yes
1.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,695 (16.9x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Polymarket
Slavia Prague
3.4%
Polymarket 3.4%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Slavia Prague
Last price
3.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$123
Trade this on Polymarket
Club Brugge
3.3%
Polymarket 3.3%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 3.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,564 (25.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Club Brugge
Last price
3.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.9¢
Sell Yes
2.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,564 (25.6x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Polymarket
Viking
3.1%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Viking
Last price
3.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$304
Trade this on Polymarket
Bodø/Glimt
2.9%
Polymarket 2.9%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bodø/Glimt
Last price
2.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$617
Trade this on Polymarket
Shakhtar Donetsk
2.6%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 4.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,273 (22.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Shakhtar Donetsk
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.4¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,273 (22.7x)
Volume
$102
Trade this on Polymarket
Galatasaray
2.5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 3.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,632 (26.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Galatasaray
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.8¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,632 (26.3x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Sabah
1.5%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 2.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,000 (40.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sabah
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.5¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,000 (40.0x)
Volume
$335
Trade this on Polymarket
Slovan Bratislava
1.3%
Polymarket 1.3%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 2.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,348 (43.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Slovan Bratislava
Last price
1.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.3¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,348 (43.5x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
LASK
1.2%
Polymarket 1.2%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 2.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,762 (47.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
LASK
Last price
1.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,762 (47.6x)
Volume
$456
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Paris Saint-Germain
  • Barcelona
  • Arsenal

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "UEFA Champions League: Team to advance to 2027 semis". Paris Saint-Germain leads at 57.5%. Next is Barcelona at 54%. $45K has traded across 36 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Apr 18, 2027.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2027 UEFA Champions League semifinal. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Champions League semifinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2027 UEFA Champions League is cancelled, postponed after May 20, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or the 2027 UEFA Champions League semifinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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