The Prediction Markets

UEFA Champions League: Team to Finish Top 8 in League Phase

Closes
Feb 28, 2027, in 4 months
Traded
$156K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Paris Saint-Germain 93%

Next is Real Madrid at 62.5%. Polymarket and Kalshi agree within 1 point on each matched outcome.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Paris Saint-Germain
93%
Polymarket 93%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 94¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Polymarket
Contract
Paris Saint-Germain
Last price
93%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
92¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Real MadridArb
62.5%
Polymarket 96.2%polled, 25s agoKalshi 23%polled, 25s agoKalshi 86%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Real Madrid
Last price
96.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
96.7¢
Sell Yes
95.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Real Madrid
Last price
23%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
23¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Real Madrid
Last price
86%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
72¢
Volume
$121
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 25¢ and selling on Polymarket at 95.7¢ nets 7070 bps before fees.

PSG
58%
Kalshi 40%polled, 25s agoKalshi 87%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Kalshi
Contract
PSG
Last price
40%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
40¢
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
PSG
Last price
87%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
87¢
Sell Yes
64¢
$100 on Yes pays
$115 (1.15x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
ArsenalArb
51.9%
Polymarket 91.5%polled, 25s agoKalshi 12%polled, 25s agoKalshi 92%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Arsenal
Last price
91.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
91¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Volume
$542
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Arsenal
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Arsenal
Last price
92%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
65¢
Volume
$22
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 12¢ and selling on Polymarket at 91¢ nets 7900 bps before fees.

LiverpoolArb
49%
Polymarket 81%polled, 25s agoKalshi 8%polled, 25s agoKalshi 75%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Liverpool
Last price
81%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
80¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Liverpool
Last price
8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Liverpool
Last price
75%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
89¢
Sell Yes
65¢
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Volume
$176
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 8¢ and selling on Polymarket at 80¢ nets 7200 bps before fees.

BarcelonaArb
44.9%
Polymarket 80.5%polled, 25s agoKalshi 7%polled, 25s agoKalshi 85%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Barcelona
Last price
80.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
81¢
Sell Yes
80¢
$100 on Yes pays
$123 (1.23x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Barcelona
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$79K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Barcelona
Last price
85%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
63¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$359
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 8¢ and selling on Polymarket at 80¢ nets 7200 bps before fees.

Manchester CityArb
44.5%
Polymarket 55%polled, 25s agoKalshi 1%polled, 25s agoKalshi 67%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Manchester City
Last price
55%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
56¢
Sell Yes
54¢
$100 on Yes pays
$179 (1.79x)
Volume
$671
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Manchester City
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$243
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Manchester City
Last price
67%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
71¢
Sell Yes
39¢
$100 on Yes pays
$141 (1.41x)
Volume
$223
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 1¢ and selling on Polymarket at 54¢ nets 5300 bps before fees.

Bayern MunichArb
40.3%
Polymarket 56.5%polled, 25s agoKalshi 2%polled, 25s agoKalshi 51%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bayern Munich
Last price
56.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
57¢
Sell Yes
56¢
$100 on Yes pays
$175 (1.75x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Bayern Munich
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Bayern Munich
Last price
51%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
73¢
Sell Yes
46¢
$100 on Yes pays
$137 (1.37x)
Volume
$713
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 2¢ and selling on Polymarket at 56¢ nets 5400 bps before fees.

Aston VillaArb
33.4%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 25s agoKalshi 1%polled, 25s agoKalshi 37%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Aston Villa
Last price
50.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
52¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$192 (1.92x)
Volume
$255
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Aston Villa
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$114
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Aston Villa
Last price
37%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
65¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$154 (1.54x)
Volume
$7
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 1¢ and selling on Polymarket at 49¢ nets 4800 bps before fees.

VfB Stuttgart
32.5%
Polymarket 32.5%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 33¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
VfB Stuttgart
Last price
32.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
32¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 36 more outcomes
Shakhtar
25.5%
Kalshi 1%polled, 25s agoKalshi 50%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Shakhtar
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$19
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Shakhtar
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Kalshi
Inter Milan
21.5%
Polymarket 21.5%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
Inter Milan
Last price
21.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Atlético Madrid
20.5%
Polymarket 20.5%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Polymarket
Contract
Atlético Madrid
Last price
20.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$579
Trade this on Polymarket
VillarrealArb
20.3%
Polymarket 11.5%polled, 25s agoKalshi 1%polled, 25s agoKalshi 48.5%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Villarreal
Last price
11.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$124
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Villarreal
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$79
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Villarreal
Last price
48.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 1¢ and selling on Polymarket at 11¢ nets 1000 bps before fees.

Real BetisArb
20.3%
Polymarket 42.5%polled, 25s agoKalshi 1%polled, 25s agoKalshi 14%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Real Betis
Last price
42.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
42¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Volume
$144
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Real Betis
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$133
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Real Betis
Last price
14%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
61¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$164 (1.64x)
Volume
$50
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 1¢ and selling on Polymarket at 42¢ nets 4100 bps before fees.

Borussia Dortmund
20%
Polymarket 20%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Polymarket
Contract
Borussia Dortmund
Last price
20%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$184
Trade this on Polymarket
Dortmund
19%
Kalshi 1%polled, 25s agoKalshi 25%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dortmund
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$79
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Dortmund
Last price
25%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Volume
$456
Trade this on Kalshi
Sabah Masazir
16.3%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 25s agoKalshi 32%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sabah Masazir
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Sabah Masazir
Last price
32%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
64¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$156 (1.56x)
Trade this on Kalshi
ComoArb
15.5%
Polymarket 13%polled, 25s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 25s agoKalshi 33%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Como
Last price
13%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Como
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Como
Last price
33%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Volume
$29
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 1¢ and selling on Polymarket at 12¢ nets 1100 bps before fees.

Inter
14.3%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 25s agoKalshi 28%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Inter
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Inter
Last price
28%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
23¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
LensArb
13.1%
Polymarket 4.4%polled, 25s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 25s agoKalshi 34.5%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lens
Last price
4.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.7¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,493 (14.9x)
Volume
$166
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Lens
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Lens
Last price
34.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
69¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$145 (1.45x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 1¢ and selling on Polymarket at 2¢ nets 100 bps before fees.

Slovan Bratislava
11.9%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 25s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 25s agoKalshi 32%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Slovan Bratislava
Last price
3.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$118
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Slovan Bratislava
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Slovan Bratislava
Last price
32%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
64¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$156 (1.56x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Viking
11.8%
Polymarket 2.9%polled, 25s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 25s agoKalshi 32%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Viking
Last price
2.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.5¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,818 (18.2x)
Volume
$354
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Viking
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Viking
Last price
32%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
64¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$156 (1.56x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Sporting CPArb
11%
Polymarket 14%polled, 25s agoKalshi 1%polled, 25s agoKalshi 15%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sporting CP
Last price
14%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Sporting CP
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$65
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Sporting CP
Last price
15%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$164
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 1¢ and selling on Polymarket at 13¢ nets 1200 bps before fees.

Slavia Prague
10.8%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 25s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 25s agoKalshi 31.5%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
Contract
Slavia Prague
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Slavia Prague
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Slavia Prague
Last price
31.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
63¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$159 (1.59x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

LASK
10%
Polymarket 2.7%polled, 25s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 25s agoKalshi 27%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
LASK
Last price
2.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$200
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
LASK
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
LASK
Last price
27%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
54¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$185 (1.85x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.3¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

RB Leipzig
10%
Polymarket 10%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
RB Leipzig
Last price
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Volume
$82
Trade this on Polymarket
Manchester UnitedArb
9.6%
Polymarket 11.5%polled, 25s agoKalshi 1%polled, 25s agoKalshi 25%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Manchester United
Last price
11.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Manchester United
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$169
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Manchester United
Last price
25%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$56
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 1¢ and selling on Polymarket at 10¢ nets 900 bps before fees.

RomaArb
9.5%
Polymarket 13%polled, 25s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 25s agoKalshi 15%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Roma
Last price
13%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Roma
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Roma
Last price
15%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 1¢ and selling on Polymarket at 6¢ nets 500 bps before fees.

NapoliArb
9%
Polymarket 6.5%polled, 25s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 25s agoKalshi 20%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Napoli
Last price
6.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$164
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Napoli
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Napoli
Last price
20%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$1
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 1¢ and selling on Polymarket at 5¢ nets 400 bps before fees.

Stuttgart
8.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 25s agoKalshi 32%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Stuttgart
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$571
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Stuttgart
Last price
32%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Volume
$123
Trade this on Kalshi
Atletico
7.4%
Kalshi 1%polled, 25s agoKalshi 22%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Atletico
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$635
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Atletico
Last price
22%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Volume
$276
Trade this on Kalshi
Leipzig
7%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 25s agoKalshi 13.5%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Leipzig
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Leipzig
Last price
13.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Club BruggeArb
6%
Polymarket 12.5%polled, 25s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 25s agoKalshi 5%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Club Brugge
Last price
12.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Club Brugge
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Club Brugge
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$14
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 1¢ and selling on Polymarket at 11¢ nets 1000 bps before fees.

FeyenoordArb
5.3%
Polymarket 6.5%polled, 25s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 25s agoKalshi 9%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Feyenoord
Last price
6.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Feyenoord
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Feyenoord
Last price
9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 1¢ and selling on Polymarket at 4¢ nets 300 bps before fees.

PSV EindhovenArb
4.5%
Polymarket 5.5%polled, 25s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 25s agoKalshi 7.5%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
PSV Eindhoven
Last price
5.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
PSV Eindhoven
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
PSV Eindhoven
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 1¢ and selling on Polymarket at 3¢ nets 200 bps before fees.

Lille
4.3%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 25s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 25s agoKalshi 11%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lille
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.8¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,571 (35.7x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Lille
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Lille
Last price
11%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Volume
$9
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

AEK AthensArb
4.1%
Polymarket 1.7%polled, 25s agoKalshi 1%polled, 25s agoKalshi 12%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
AEK Athens
Last price
1.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.8¢
Sell Yes
1.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,556 (55.6x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
AEK Athens
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$34
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
AEK Athens
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$1
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 1¢ and selling on Polymarket at 1.5¢ nets 50 bps before fees.

Bodø/Glimt
3.8%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 25s agoKalshi 7%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Bodoe/Glimt
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Bodoe/Glimt
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$112
Trade this on Kalshi
Fenerbahce
3.8%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 25s agoKalshi 7%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Fenerbahce
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Fenerbahce
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Porto
3.7%
Polymarket 1.7%polled, 25s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 25s agoKalshi 9%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Porto
Last price
1.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.2¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,125 (31.3x)
Volume
$161
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Porto
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Porto
Last price
9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$139
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Shakhtar Donetsk
3.5%
Polymarket 3.5%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 5.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,852 (18.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Shakhtar Donetsk
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.4¢
Sell Yes
1.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,852 (18.5x)
Volume
$220
Trade this on Polymarket
Fenerbahçe
3.1%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 5.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Fenerbahçe
Last price
3.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.9¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,695 (16.9x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Sabah
3%
Polymarket 3%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 5.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,754 (17.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sabah
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.7¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,754 (17.5x)
Volume
$135
Trade this on Polymarket
Galatasaray
2.1%
Polymarket 2.8%polled, 25s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 25s agoKalshi 3%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Galatasaray
Last price
2.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.7¢
Sell Yes
0.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,128 (21.3x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Galatasaray
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Galatasaray
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
57¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$175 (1.75x)
Volume
$99
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.9¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Bodø/Glimt
1.5%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 2.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bodø/Glimt
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.8¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,571 (35.7x)
Volume
$446
Trade this on Polymarket

Possible arbitrage before fees: buy Arsenal on Kalshi at 12¢, sell on Polymarket at 91¢ (7900 bps). Check the rules below before trading. See all live spreads

Mostly the same bet: one difference

Where they differ

  • Trading closes at different times: Feb 28, 2027, 11:59 PM UTC on Polymarket and Feb 11, 2027, 1:00 AM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: UCL, ESPN
Show full rule comparison
  • Trading closes Feb 28, 2027, 11:59 PM UTC on Polymarket and Feb 11, 2027, 1:00 AM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Paris Saint-Germain
  • Real Madrid
  • PSG

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Kalshi doesn’t list Paris Saint-Germain for this event.

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "UEFA Champions League: Team to Finish Top 8 in League Phase". Paris Saint-Germain leads at 93%. Next is Real Madrid at 62.5%. $156K has traded across 46 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Feb 28, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club finishes in the top 8 of the final league phase standings of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only matches played in the league phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League will be considered. Qualifying rounds, the knockout phase play-offs, and all knockout rounds will not be considered. If two or more clubs are level on points, the ranking will be determined according to UEFA's official tie-breaker criteria as published for the competition. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish in the top 8 of the league phase (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated from doing so), this market will immediately resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League league phase is canceled or is not completed by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If a listed club does not participate in, withdraws from, or is expelled from the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League league phase, its market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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