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What the markets expect
Spain 22.5%
Next is France at 18.5%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Best Yes price
Spain22.5%22.5%22¢ bid, 23¢ askpolled, 30s ago23¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $435 (4.35x)Spain22.5%Polymarket 22.5%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Spain
22.5%
22.5%
22¢ bid, 23¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
23¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Spain
22.5%
Polymarket 22.5%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Spain
- Last price
- 22.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 23¢
- Sell Yes
- 22¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $435 (4.35x)
- Volume
- $7K
France18.5%18.5%18¢ bid, 19¢ askpolled, 30s ago19¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $526 (5.26x)France18.5%Polymarket 18.5%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
France
18.5%
18.5%
18¢ bid, 19¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
19¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $526 (5.26x)
France
18.5%
Polymarket 18.5%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- France
- Last price
- 18.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 19¢
- Sell Yes
- 18¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $526 (5.26x)
- Volume
- $6K
England15.5%15.5%15¢ bid, 16¢ askpolled, 30s ago16¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $625 (6.25x)England15.5%Polymarket 15.5%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
England
15.5%
15.5%
15¢ bid, 16¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
16¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
England
15.5%
Polymarket 15.5%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- England
- Last price
- 15.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 15¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
- Volume
- $6K
Germany9.5%9.5%9¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 30s ago10¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Germany9.5%Polymarket 9.5%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Germany
9.5%
9.5%
9¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
10¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Germany
9.5%
Polymarket 9.5%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Germany
- Last price
- 9.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $6K
Portugal9%9%8¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 30s ago10¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Portugal9%Polymarket 9%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Portugal
9%
9%
8¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
10¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Portugal
9%
Polymarket 9%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Portugal
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $4K
Norway6.3%6.3%5.7¢ bid, 6.8¢ askpolled, 30s ago6.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,471 (14.7x)Norway6.3%Polymarket 6.3%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 6.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,471 (14.7x)
Norway
6.3%
6.3%
5.7¢ bid, 6.8¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
6.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,471 (14.7x)
Norway
6.3%
Polymarket 6.3%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 6.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,471 (14.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Norway
- Last price
- 6.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 5.7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,471 (14.7x)
- Volume
- $10K
Netherlands4.5%4.5%4¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 30s ago5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Netherlands4.5%Polymarket 4.5%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Netherlands
4.5%
4.5%
4¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Netherlands
4.5%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Netherlands
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $5K
Belgium3.7%3.7%2.9¢ bid, 4.4¢ askpolled, 30s ago4.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,273 (22.7x)Belgium3.7%Polymarket 3.7%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 4.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,273 (22.7x)
Belgium
3.7%
3.7%
2.9¢ bid, 4.4¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
4.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,273 (22.7x)
Belgium
3.7%
Polymarket 3.7%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 4.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,273 (22.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Belgium
- Last price
- 3.7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 2.9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,273 (22.7x)
- Volume
- $6K
Italy3.4%3.4%3¢ bid, 3.8¢ askpolled, 30s ago3.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,632 (26.3x)Italy3.4%Polymarket 3.4%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 3.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,632 (26.3x)
Italy
3.4%
3.4%
3¢ bid, 3.8¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
3.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,632 (26.3x)
Italy
3.4%
Polymarket 3.4%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 3.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,632 (26.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Italy
- Last price
- 3.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,632 (26.3x)
- Volume
- $4K
Iceland3%3%0.1¢ bid, 5.8¢ askpolled, 30s ago5.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,724 (17.2x)Iceland3%Polymarket 3%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 5.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,724 (17.2x)
Iceland
3%
3%
0.1¢ bid, 5.8¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
5.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,724 (17.2x)
Iceland
3%
Polymarket 3%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 5.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,724 (17.2x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Iceland
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,724 (17.2x)
- Volume
- $2K
Show 45 more outcomesHide 45 outcomes
Andorra2.9%2.9%0.1¢ bid, 5.7¢ askpolled, 30s ago5.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,754 (17.5x)Andorra2.9%Polymarket 2.9%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 5.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,754 (17.5x)
Andorra
2.9%
2.9%
0.1¢ bid, 5.7¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
5.7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,754 (17.5x)
Andorra
2.9%
Polymarket 2.9%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 5.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,754 (17.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Andorra
- Last price
- 2.9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,754 (17.5x)
- Volume
- $4K
Kosovo2.9%2.9%0.1¢ bid, 5.7¢ askpolled, 30s ago5.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,754 (17.5x)Kosovo2.9%Polymarket 2.9%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 5.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,754 (17.5x)
Kosovo
2.9%
2.9%
0.1¢ bid, 5.7¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
5.7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,754 (17.5x)
Kosovo
2.9%
Polymarket 2.9%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 5.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,754 (17.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Kosovo
- Last price
- 2.9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,754 (17.5x)
- Volume
- $4K
San Marino2.9%2.9%0.1¢ bid, 5.7¢ askpolled, 30s ago5.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,754 (17.5x)San Marino2.9%Polymarket 2.9%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 5.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,754 (17.5x)
San Marino
2.9%
2.9%
0.1¢ bid, 5.7¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
5.7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,754 (17.5x)
San Marino
2.9%
Polymarket 2.9%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 5.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,754 (17.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- San Marino
- Last price
- 2.9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,754 (17.5x)
- Volume
- $1K
Armenia2.8%2.8%0.3¢ bid, 5.3¢ askpolled, 30s ago5.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,887 (18.9x)Armenia2.8%Polymarket 2.8%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 5.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,887 (18.9x)
Armenia
2.8%
2.8%
0.3¢ bid, 5.3¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
5.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,887 (18.9x)
Armenia
2.8%
Polymarket 2.8%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 5.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,887 (18.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Armenia
- Last price
- 2.8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,887 (18.9x)
- Volume
- $2K
Liechtenstein2.8%2.8%— bid, 5.6¢ askpolled, 30s ago5.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,786 (17.9x)Liechtenstein2.8%Polymarket 2.8%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 5.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,786 (17.9x)
Liechtenstein
2.8%
2.8%
— bid, 5.6¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
5.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,786 (17.9x)
Liechtenstein
2.8%
Polymarket 2.8%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 5.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,786 (17.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Liechtenstein
- Last price
- 2.8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5.6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,786 (17.9x)
- Volume
- $1K
Azerbaijan2.7%2.7%0.1¢ bid, 5.2¢ askpolled, 30s ago5.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,923 (19.2x)Azerbaijan2.7%Polymarket 2.7%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 5.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,923 (19.2x)
Azerbaijan
2.7%
2.7%
0.1¢ bid, 5.2¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
5.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,923 (19.2x)
Azerbaijan
2.7%
Polymarket 2.7%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 5.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,923 (19.2x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Azerbaijan
- Last price
- 2.7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,923 (19.2x)
- Volume
- $2K
Kazakhstan2.7%2.7%0.1¢ bid, 5.2¢ askpolled, 30s ago5.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,923 (19.2x)Kazakhstan2.7%Polymarket 2.7%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 5.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,923 (19.2x)
Kazakhstan
2.7%
2.7%
0.1¢ bid, 5.2¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
5.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,923 (19.2x)
Kazakhstan
2.7%
Polymarket 2.7%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 5.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,923 (19.2x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Kazakhstan
- Last price
- 2.7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,923 (19.2x)
- Volume
- $1K
Luxembourg2.7%2.7%0.1¢ bid, 5.2¢ askpolled, 30s ago5.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,923 (19.2x)Luxembourg2.7%Polymarket 2.7%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 5.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,923 (19.2x)
Luxembourg
2.7%
2.7%
0.1¢ bid, 5.2¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
5.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,923 (19.2x)
Luxembourg
2.7%
Polymarket 2.7%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 5.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,923 (19.2x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Luxembourg
- Last price
- 2.7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,923 (19.2x)
- Volume
- $1K
Latvia2.6%2.6%0.1¢ bid, 5.1¢ askpolled, 30s ago5.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,961 (19.6x)Latvia2.6%Polymarket 2.6%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 5.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,961 (19.6x)
Latvia
2.6%
2.6%
0.1¢ bid, 5.1¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
5.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,961 (19.6x)
Latvia
2.6%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 5.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,961 (19.6x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Latvia
- Last price
- 2.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,961 (19.6x)
- Volume
- $1K
Malta2.5%2.5%0.1¢ bid, 4.9¢ askpolled, 30s ago4.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)Malta2.5%Polymarket 2.5%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Malta
2.5%
2.5%
0.1¢ bid, 4.9¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
4.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Malta
2.5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Malta
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,041 (20.4x)
- Volume
- $1K
Cyprus2.5%2.5%0.1¢ bid, 4.8¢ askpolled, 30s ago4.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)Cyprus2.5%Polymarket 2.5%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 4.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Cyprus
2.5%
2.5%
0.1¢ bid, 4.8¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
4.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Cyprus
2.5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 4.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Cyprus
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,083 (20.8x)
- Volume
- $1K
Moldova2.4%2.4%0.1¢ bid, 4.7¢ askpolled, 30s ago4.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,128 (21.3x)Moldova2.4%Polymarket 2.4%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 4.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,128 (21.3x)
Moldova
2.4%
2.4%
0.1¢ bid, 4.7¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
4.7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,128 (21.3x)
Moldova
2.4%
Polymarket 2.4%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 4.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,128 (21.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Moldova
- Last price
- 2.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,128 (21.3x)
- Volume
- $1K
Romania2.3%2.3%0.1¢ bid, 4.5¢ askpolled, 30s ago4.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,222 (22.2x)Romania2.3%Polymarket 2.3%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 4.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,222 (22.2x)
Romania
2.3%
2.3%
0.1¢ bid, 4.5¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
4.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,222 (22.2x)
Romania
2.3%
Polymarket 2.3%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 4.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,222 (22.2x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Romania
- Last price
- 2.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,222 (22.2x)
- Volume
- $3K
Gibraltar2.2%2.2%0.1¢ bid, 4.2¢ askpolled, 30s ago4.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,381 (23.8x)Gibraltar2.2%Polymarket 2.2%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 4.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,381 (23.8x)
Gibraltar
2.2%
2.2%
0.1¢ bid, 4.2¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
4.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,381 (23.8x)
Gibraltar
2.2%
Polymarket 2.2%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 4.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,381 (23.8x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Gibraltar
- Last price
- 2.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,381 (23.8x)
- Volume
- $2K
Georgia2%2%0.1¢ bid, 3.9¢ askpolled, 30s ago3.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,564 (25.6x)Georgia2%Polymarket 2%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 3.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,564 (25.6x)
Georgia
2%
2%
0.1¢ bid, 3.9¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
3.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,564 (25.6x)
Georgia
2%
Polymarket 2%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 3.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,564 (25.6x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Georgia
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,564 (25.6x)
- Volume
- $3K
Israel1.9%1.9%0.1¢ bid, 3.7¢ askpolled, 30s ago3.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,703 (27.0x)Israel1.9%Polymarket 1.9%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 3.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,703 (27.0x)
Israel
1.9%
1.9%
0.1¢ bid, 3.7¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
3.7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,703 (27.0x)
Israel
1.9%
Polymarket 1.9%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 3.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,703 (27.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Israel
- Last price
- 1.9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,703 (27.0x)
- Volume
- $2K
Bosnia and Herzegovina1.9%1.9%0.1¢ bid, 3.6¢ askpolled, 30s ago3.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,778 (27.8x)Bosnia and Herzegovina1.9%Polymarket 1.9%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 3.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,778 (27.8x)
Bosnia and Herzegovina
1.9%
1.9%
0.1¢ bid, 3.6¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
3.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,778 (27.8x)
Bosnia and Herzegovina
1.9%
Polymarket 1.9%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 3.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,778 (27.8x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Bosnia and Herzegovina
- Last price
- 1.9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,778 (27.8x)
- Volume
- $3K
Switzerland1.9%1.9%1.6¢ bid, 2.1¢ askpolled, 30s ago2.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $4,762 (47.6x)Switzerland1.9%Polymarket 1.9%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 2.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,762 (47.6x)
Switzerland
1.9%
1.9%
1.6¢ bid, 2.1¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
2.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $4,762 (47.6x)
Switzerland
1.9%
Polymarket 1.9%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 2.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,762 (47.6x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Switzerland
- Last price
- 1.9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $4,762 (47.6x)
- Volume
- $3K
Turkey1.5%1.5%1.3¢ bid, 1.6¢ askpolled, 30s ago1.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)Turkey1.5%Polymarket 1.5%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 1.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Turkey
1.5%
1.5%
1.3¢ bid, 1.6¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
1.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Turkey
1.5%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 1.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Turkey
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $6,250 (62.5x)
- Volume
- $5K
Austria1.3%1.3%0.6¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 30s ago2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Austria1.3%Polymarket 1.3%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Austria
1.3%
1.3%
0.6¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Austria
1.3%
Polymarket 1.3%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Austria
- Last price
- 1.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $4K
Greece1.3%1.3%0.7¢ bid, 1.9¢ askpolled, 30s ago1.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)Greece1.3%Polymarket 1.3%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 1.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Greece
1.3%
1.3%
0.7¢ bid, 1.9¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
1.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Greece
1.3%
Polymarket 1.3%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 1.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Greece
- Last price
- 1.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,263 (52.6x)
- Volume
- $5K
Croatia1.3%1.3%1.1¢ bid, 1.4¢ askpolled, 30s ago1.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)Croatia1.3%Polymarket 1.3%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 1.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Croatia
1.3%
1.3%
1.1¢ bid, 1.4¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
1.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Croatia
1.3%
Polymarket 1.3%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 1.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Croatia
- Last price
- 1.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $7,143 (71.4x)
- Volume
- $3K
Poland1.1%1.1%0.4¢ bid, 1.8¢ askpolled, 30s ago1.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)Poland1.1%Polymarket 1.1%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 1.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Poland
1.1%
1.1%
0.4¢ bid, 1.8¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
1.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Poland
1.1%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 1.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Poland
- Last price
- 1.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,556 (55.6x)
- Volume
- $4K
Denmark0.9%0.9%0.7¢ bid, 1¢ askpolled, 30s ago1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Denmark0.9%Polymarket 0.9%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Denmark
0.9%
0.9%
0.7¢ bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Denmark
0.9%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Denmark
- Last price
- 0.9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $3K
Sweden0.7%0.7%0.6¢ bid, 0.7¢ askpolled, 30s ago0.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $14,286 (143x)Sweden0.7%Polymarket 0.7%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Sweden
0.7%
0.7%
0.6¢ bid, 0.7¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
0.7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Sweden
0.7%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Sweden
- Last price
- 0.7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $14,286 (143x)
- Volume
- $4K
Faroe Islands0.6%0.6%— bid, 1.2¢ askpolled, 30s ago1.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)Faroe Islands0.6%Polymarket 0.6%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Faroe Islands
0.6%
0.6%
— bid, 1.2¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
1.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Faroe Islands
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Faroe Islands
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1.2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $8,333 (83.3x)
- Volume
- $2K
North Macedonia0.6%0.6%0.2¢ bid, 1¢ askpolled, 30s ago1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $10,000 (100x)North Macedonia0.6%Polymarket 0.6%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
North Macedonia
0.6%
0.6%
0.2¢ bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
North Macedonia
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- North Macedonia
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $4K
Finland0.6%0.6%0.1¢ bid, 1¢ askpolled, 30s ago1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Finland0.6%Polymarket 0.6%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Finland
0.6%
0.6%
0.1¢ bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Finland
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Finland
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $3K
Slovenia0.6%0.6%0.1¢ bid, 1¢ askpolled, 30s ago1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Slovenia0.6%Polymarket 0.6%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Slovenia
0.6%
0.6%
0.1¢ bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Slovenia
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Slovenia
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $2K
Serbia0.5%0.5%0.4¢ bid, 0.5¢ askpolled, 30s ago0.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $20,000 (200x)Serbia0.5%Polymarket 0.5%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Serbia
0.5%
0.5%
0.4¢ bid, 0.5¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
0.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Serbia
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Serbia
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $20,000 (200x)
- Volume
- $2K
Estonia0.4%0.4%0.1¢ bid, 0.6¢ askpolled, 30s ago0.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $16,667 (167x)Estonia0.4%Polymarket 0.4%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Estonia
0.4%
0.4%
0.1¢ bid, 0.6¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
0.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Estonia
0.4%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Estonia
- Last price
- 0.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $16,667 (167x)
- Volume
- $2K
Hungary0.4%0.4%0.2¢ bid, 0.5¢ askpolled, 30s ago0.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $20,000 (200x)Hungary0.4%Polymarket 0.4%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Hungary
0.4%
0.4%
0.2¢ bid, 0.5¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
0.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Hungary
0.4%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Hungary
- Last price
- 0.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $20,000 (200x)
- Volume
- $3K
Belarus0.3%0.3%0.1¢ bid, 0.5¢ askpolled, 30s ago0.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $20,000 (200x)Belarus0.3%Polymarket 0.3%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Belarus
0.3%
0.3%
0.1¢ bid, 0.5¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
0.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Belarus
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Belarus
- Last price
- 0.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $20,000 (200x)
- Volume
- $2K
Ukraine0.3%0.3%0.2¢ bid, 0.4¢ askpolled, 30s ago0.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $25,000 (250x)Ukraine0.3%Polymarket 0.3%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Ukraine
0.3%
0.3%
0.2¢ bid, 0.4¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
0.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Ukraine
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ukraine
- Last price
- 0.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $25,000 (250x)
- Volume
- $2K
Wales0.3%0.3%0.2¢ bid, 0.4¢ askpolled, 30s ago0.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $25,000 (250x)Wales0.3%Polymarket 0.3%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Wales
0.3%
0.3%
0.2¢ bid, 0.4¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
0.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Wales
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Wales
- Last price
- 0.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $25,000 (250x)
- Volume
- $3K
Albania0.3%0.3%0.1¢ bid, 0.4¢ askpolled, 30s ago0.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $25,000 (250x)Albania0.3%Polymarket 0.3%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Albania
0.3%
0.3%
0.1¢ bid, 0.4¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
0.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Albania
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Albania
- Last price
- 0.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $25,000 (250x)
- Volume
- $5K
Lithuania0.3%0.3%0.1¢ bid, 0.4¢ askpolled, 30s ago0.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $25,000 (250x)Lithuania0.3%Polymarket 0.3%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Lithuania
0.3%
0.3%
0.1¢ bid, 0.4¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
0.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Lithuania
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Lithuania
- Last price
- 0.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $25,000 (250x)
- Volume
- $2K
Russia0.3%0.3%0.1¢ bid, 0.4¢ askpolled, 30s ago0.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $25,000 (250x)Russia0.3%Polymarket 0.3%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Russia
0.3%
0.3%
0.1¢ bid, 0.4¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
0.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Russia
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Russia
- Last price
- 0.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $25,000 (250x)
- Volume
- $2K
Bulgaria0.2%0.2%0.1¢ bid, 0.3¢ askpolled, 30s ago0.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $33,333 (333x)Bulgaria0.2%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Bulgaria
0.2%
0.2%
0.1¢ bid, 0.3¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
0.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Bulgaria
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Bulgaria
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $33,333 (333x)
- Volume
- $3K
Czech Republic0.2%0.2%0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ askpolled, 30s ago0.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $50,000 (500x)Czech Republic0.2%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Czech Republic
0.2%
0.2%
0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
0.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Czech Republic
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Czech Republic
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $50,000 (500x)
- Volume
- $2K
Northern Ireland0.2%0.2%0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ askpolled, 30s ago0.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $50,000 (500x)Northern Ireland0.2%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Northern Ireland
0.2%
0.2%
0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
0.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Northern Ireland
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Northern Ireland
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $50,000 (500x)
- Volume
- $2K
Republic of Ireland0.2%0.2%0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ askpolled, 30s ago0.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $50,000 (500x)Republic of Ireland0.2%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Republic of Ireland
0.2%
0.2%
0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
0.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Republic of Ireland
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Republic of Ireland
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $50,000 (500x)
- Volume
- $2K
Scotland0.2%0.2%0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ askpolled, 30s ago0.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $50,000 (500x)Scotland0.2%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Scotland
0.2%
0.2%
0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
0.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Scotland
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Scotland
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $50,000 (500x)
- Volume
- $2K
Slovakia0.2%0.2%0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ askpolled, 30s ago0.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $50,000 (500x)Slovakia0.2%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Slovakia
0.2%
0.2%
0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
0.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Slovakia
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Slovakia
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $50,000 (500x)
- Volume
- $2K
Montenegro0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 30s ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Montenegro0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Montenegro
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Montenegro
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Montenegro
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $1K
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Spain
- France
- England
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "UEFA EURO 2028: Winner". Spain leads at 22.5%. Next is France at 18.5%. $169K has traded across 55 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jul 24, 2028.
This market will resolve according to the nation that wins the UEFA EURO 2028. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed nation to win the UEFA EURO 2028 per the rules of UEFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the UEFA EURO 2028 is cancelled, postponed after July 23, 2028, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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