This market has closed
Trading ended on May 21, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 212 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
Elliot Anderson54%54%30¢ bid, 78¢ askpolled, 5089 h ago78¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $128 (1.28x)Elliot Anderson54%Polymarket 54%polled, 5089 h agoBest Yes 78¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
- Contract
- Elliot Anderson
- Last price
- 54%
- As of
- Polled 212 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 78¢
- Sell Yes
- 30¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $128 (1.28x)
- Volume
- $25K
Jayden Oosterwolde37.5%37.5%1¢ bid, 74¢ askpolled, 5089 h ago74¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $135 (1.35x)Jayden Oosterwolde37.5%Polymarket 37.5%polled, 5089 h agoBest Yes 74¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
- Contract
- Jayden Oosterwolde
- Last price
- 37.5%
- As of
- Polled 212 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 74¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $135 (1.35x)
Igor Jesus37%37%1¢ bid, 73¢ askpolled, 5089 h ago73¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $137 (1.37x)Igor Jesus37%Polymarket 37%polled, 5089 h agoBest Yes 73¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
- Contract
- Igor Jesus
- Last price
- 37%
- As of
- Polled 212 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 73¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $137 (1.37x)
Fred4.2%4.2%0.1¢ bid, 8.3¢ askpolled, 5089 h ago8.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,205 (12.0x)Fred4.2%Polymarket 4.2%polled, 5089 h agoBest Yes 8.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,205 (12.0x)
- Contract
- Fred
- Last price
- 4.2%
- As of
- Polled 212 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 8.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,205 (12.0x)
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:

- UMA optimistic oracle, source: uefa.com
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Elliot Anderson
- Jayden Oosterwolde
- Igor Jesus
About this market
Final prediction market prices for "UEFA Europa League: Most Cards". Elliot Anderson last traded at 54%. Next is Jayden Oosterwolde at 37.5%. $27K has traded across 4 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on May 21, 2026.
This market will resolve to the player who records the most disciplinary cards through all main tournament rounds of the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League competition. For the purpose of this market, a disciplinary card will count as a yellow card, a direct red card, or a red card resulting from the accumulation of two yellow cards in the same match. A 2nd yellow card accumulated in a match which results in a red card will count as one card in the final count, not a separate yellow and red card. The tally of these cards will be counted as reflected on the official UEFA Europa League website (https://www.uefa.com/uefaeuropaleague/statistics/players/disciplinary/?sortBy=red_cards&order=desc). In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by UEFA Europa League rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2025-26 Europa League competition is cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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