The Prediction Markets

UEFA Europa League: Team to advance to 2027 semis

Closes
Apr 18, 2027, in 6 months
Traded
$7K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
1 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

Bournemouth 51.5%

Next is Crystal Palace at 48.5%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Bournemouth
51.5%
Polymarket 51.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 66¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bournemouth
Last price
51.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
66¢
Sell Yes
37¢
$100 on Yes pays
$152 (1.52x)
Volume
$30
Trade this on Polymarket
Crystal Palace
48.5%
Polymarket 48.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Polymarket
Contract
Crystal Palace
Last price
48.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Bayer Leverkusen
48%
Polymarket 48%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 67¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bayer Leverkusen
Last price
48%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
67¢
Sell Yes
29¢
$100 on Yes pays
$149 (1.49x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Juventus
48%
Polymarket 48%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Polymarket
Contract
Juventus
Last price
48%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
45¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Volume
$956
Trade this on Polymarket
Sunderland
37.5%
Polymarket 37.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 69¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sunderland
Last price
37.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
69¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$145 (1.45x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Milan
29.5%
Polymarket 29.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 39¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
Milan
Last price
29.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$41
Trade this on Polymarket
Real Sociedad
26.5%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 30¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Real Sociedad
Last price
26.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
23¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Polymarket
AZ
20.5%
Polymarket 20.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 39¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
AZ
Last price
20.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Trade this on Polymarket
TSG Hoffenheim
20%
Polymarket 20%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 38¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Polymarket
Contract
TSG Hoffenheim
Last price
20%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Rennes
18.5%
Polymarket 18.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rennes
Last price
18.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 3 more outcomes
Celta Vigo
17.5%
Polymarket 17.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 33¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Celta Vigo
Last price
17.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Marseille
15.5%
Polymarket 15.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Marseille
Last price
15.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Torreense
15.5%
Polymarket 15.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Polymarket
Contract
Torreense
Last price
15.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Bournemouth
  • Crystal Palace
  • Bayer Leverkusen

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "UEFA Europa League: Team to advance to 2027 semis". Bournemouth leads at 51.5%. Next is Crystal Palace at 48.5%. $7K has traded across 13 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Apr 18, 2027.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2027 UEFA Europa League semifinal. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Europa League semifinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2027 UEFA Europa League is cancelled, postponed after May 20, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or the 2027 UEFA Europa League semifinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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