The Prediction Markets

UEFA Europa League: Team to advance to semis

Closed
May 8, 2026
Traded
$34K
Venues
Polymarket
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This market has closed

Trading ended on May 8, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 196 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Aston Villa
94.5%
Polymarket 94.5%polled, 4713 h agoBest Yes 96¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
Aston Villa
Last price
94.5%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
93¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$276
Trade this on Polymarket
Freiburg
90.5%
Polymarket 90.5%polled, 4713 h agoBest Yes 92¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
Freiburg
Last price
90.5%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
89¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Real Betis
69.5%
Polymarket 69.5%polled, 4713 h agoBest Yes 72¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Polymarket
Contract
Real Betis
Last price
69.5%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
72¢
Sell Yes
67¢
$100 on Yes pays
$139 (1.39x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Nottingham Forest
59.5%
Polymarket 59.5%polled, 4713 h agoBest Yes 61¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Polymarket
Contract
Nottingham Forest
Last price
59.5%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
61¢
Sell Yes
58¢
$100 on Yes pays
$164 (1.64x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Porto
40.5%
Polymarket 40.5%polled, 4713 h agoBest Yes 42¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Polymarket
Contract
Porto
Last price
40.5%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
39¢
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Braga
31.5%
Polymarket 31.5%polled, 4713 h agoBest Yes 33¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Braga
Last price
31.5%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
30¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Volume
$600
Trade this on Polymarket
Celta
9.5%
Polymarket 9.5%polled, 4713 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
Celta
Last price
9.5%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Bologna
5.5%
Polymarket 5.5%polled, 4713 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bologna
Last price
5.5%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$20K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Aston Villa
  • Freiburg
  • Real Betis

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "UEFA Europa League: Team to advance to semis". Aston Villa last traded at 94.5%. Next is Freiburg at 90.5%. $34K has traded across 8 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on May 8, 2026.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Europa League semifinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 UEFA Europa League is cancelled, postponed after May 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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