The Prediction Markets

UEFA Nations League 2027 Finals Host

Closes
Jun 10, 2027, in 8 months
Traded
$136K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
1 h ago
Share

What the markets expect

Spain 40.2%

Next is France at 23.6%. Polymarket and Kalshi agree within 1 point on each matched outcome.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Spain
40.2%
Polymarket 11.7%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 38%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 73%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 12.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $826 (8.26x)
Polymarket
Contract
Spain
Last price
11.7%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
12.1¢
Sell Yes
11.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$826 (8.26x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Spain
Last price
38%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Volume
$51K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Spain
Last price
73%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Volume
$37
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 1 h old: Buying on Polymarket at 12.1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 34¢ nets 2190 bps before fees.

France
23.6%
Polymarket 6.5%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 20%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 48%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
France
Last price
6.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$103
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
France
Last price
20%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$16K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
France
Last price
48%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
30¢
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Volume
$94
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 1 h old: Buying on Polymarket at 8¢ and selling on Kalshi at 30¢ nets 2200 bps before fees.

England
20.5%
Polymarket 17%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 24%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 17%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
England
Last price
17%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Volume
$65
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
England
Last price
24%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
23¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$23K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
England
Last price
17%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 1 h old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 23¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 33¢.

Portugal
13.8%
Polymarket 4.1%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 9%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 33%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Portugal
Last price
4.1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$85
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Portugal
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Portugal
Last price
33%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
33¢
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 1 h old: Buying on Polymarket at 8¢ and selling on Kalshi at 33¢ nets 2500 bps before fees.

Netherlands
7.4%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 3%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 21%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Netherlands
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$159
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Netherlands
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Netherlands
Last price
21%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$18
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 1 h old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 3¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 5¢.

Italy
6.9%
Polymarket 9.8%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 2%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 14%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Italy
Last price
9.8%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
10.2¢
Sell Yes
9.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$980 (9.80x)
Volume
$61
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Italy
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Italy
Last price
14%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 1 h old: Buying on Kalshi at 2¢ and selling on Polymarket at 9.3¢ nets 730 bps before fees.

Greece
5.5%
Polymarket 3.2%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 3%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 13%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Greece
Last price
3.2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
6.1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,639 (16.4x)
Volume
$108
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Greece
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Greece
Last price
13%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$3
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 1 h old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 3¢.

Germany
5.5%
Polymarket 5%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 15%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Germany
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
9.8¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,020 (10.2x)
Volume
$70
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Germany
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Germany
Last price
15%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$8
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 1 h old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.

Belgium
5%
Polymarket 3.2%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 15%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Belgium
Last price
3.2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
6.2¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,613 (16.1x)
Volume
$93
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Belgium
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Belgium
Last price
15%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$6
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 1 h old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.

Norway
4.8%
Polymarket 4%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 13%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Norway
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$65
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Norway
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Norway
Last price
13%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$6
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Show 7 more outcomes
Croatia
4.5%
Polymarket 6%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 10%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Croatia
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$85
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Croatia
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$603
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Croatia
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$4
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 1 h old: Buying on Kalshi at 1¢ and selling on Polymarket at 5¢ nets 400 bps before fees.

Denmark
4.3%
Polymarket 4.1%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 11%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Denmark
Last price
4.1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$97
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Denmark
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$273
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Denmark
Last price
11%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$2
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 1 h old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Czechia
3.4%
Polymarket 4.7%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Czechia
Last price
4.7%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
6.3¢
Sell Yes
3.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,587 (15.9x)
Volume
$695
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Czechia
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Czechia
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 1 h old: Buying on Kalshi at 1¢ and selling on Polymarket at 3.1¢ nets 210 bps before fees.

Türkiye
3.4%
Polymarket 3.4%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 6.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,587 (15.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Türkiye
Last price
3.4%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
6.3¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,587 (15.9x)
Volume
$73
Trade this on Polymarket
Serbia
3.3%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Serbia
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
6.9¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,449 (14.5x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Serbia
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Serbia
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 1 h old: Buying on Kalshi at 1¢ and selling on Polymarket at 2¢ nets 100 bps before fees.

Wales
3.2%
Polymarket 3.5%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Wales
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
6.8¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,471 (14.7x)
Volume
$50
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Wales
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$281
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Wales
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 1 h old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Turkiye
3%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Turkiye
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$468
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Turkiye
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi

Indicative gap, prices are 1 h old: Portugal asks 8¢ on Polymarket and bids 33¢ on Kalshi (2500 bps). Recheck both venues before trading. See all spreads

Mostly the same bet: one difference

Where they differ

  • Trading closes at different times: Jun 10, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Jun 28, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, Fox Sports, ESPN
Show full rule comparison
  • Trading closes Jun 10, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Jun 28, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Spain
  • France
  • England

Live prices for Spain

What it costs to buy Yes, what you would get selling it, and the last trade on each exchange, updating as orders change. Hover a status for timing details.

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Combined depth · both venues

Loading both order books…

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

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Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "UEFA Nations League 2027 Finals Host". Spain leads at 40.2%. Next is France at 23.6%. $136K has traded across 17 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jun 10, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the country officially announced by UEFA as the host of the 2027 UEFA Nations League Finals, currently scheduled for June 9-13, 2027. A qualifying announcement means an official confirmation by UEFA of the country selected to host the Finals. Bid proposals, recommendations by member associations, and media speculation about UEFA's decision will not qualify on their own. Under UEFA regulations, the host is selected by the UEFA Executive Committee, preferably from among the four teams that qualify for the Finals. A qualifying announcement before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of any subsequent change to the host or to the scheduled dates of the Finals. If no host is officially announced by June 9, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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