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What the markets expect
Switzerland 93.1%
Next is Hungary at 62%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Switzerland93.1%93.1%90.1¢ bid, 96.1¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed96.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $104 (1.04x)Switzerland93.1%Polymarket 93.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 96.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Switzerland
93.1%
93.1%
90.1¢ bid, 96.1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
96.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Switzerland
93.1%
Polymarket 93.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 96.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Switzerland
- Last price
- 93.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 96.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 90.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $104 (1.04x)
- Volume
- $101
Hungary62%62%60¢ bid, 64¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed64¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $156 (1.56x)Hungary62%Polymarket 62%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 64¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Hungary
62%
62%
60¢ bid, 64¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
64¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Hungary
62%
Polymarket 62%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 64¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Hungary
- Last price
- 62%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 64¢
- Sell Yes
- 60¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $156 (1.56x)
- Volume
- $4K
Israel50%50%1¢ bid, 99¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed99¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Israel50%Polymarket 50%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Israel
50%
50%
1¢ bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
99¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Israel
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Israel
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Slovenia50%50%1¢ bid, 99¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed99¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Slovenia50%Polymarket 50%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Slovenia
50%
50%
1¢ bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
99¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Slovenia
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Slovenia
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
- Volume
- $852
Austria49.5%49.5%6.3¢ bid, 92.6¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed92.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $108 (1.08x)Austria49.5%Polymarket 49.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 92.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Austria
49.5%
49.5%
6.3¢ bid, 92.6¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
92.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Austria
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 92.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Austria
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 92.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 6.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $108 (1.08x)
- Volume
- $321
Sweden48.5%48.5%3¢ bid, 94¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed94¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $106 (1.06x)Sweden48.5%Polymarket 48.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 94¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Sweden
48.5%
48.5%
3¢ bid, 94¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
94¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Sweden
48.5%
Polymarket 48.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 94¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Sweden
- Last price
- 48.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 94¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $106 (1.06x)
- Volume
- $100
Bosnia and Herzegovina44.5%44.5%37¢ bid, 52¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed52¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $192 (1.92x)Bosnia and Herzegovina44.5%Polymarket 44.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 52¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Bosnia and Herzegovina
44.5%
44.5%
37¢ bid, 52¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
52¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Bosnia and Herzegovina
44.5%
Polymarket 44.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 52¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Bosnia and Herzegovina
- Last price
- 44.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 52¢
- Sell Yes
- 37¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $192 (1.92x)
- Volume
- $40
Spain43%Not listed73%11¢ bid, 74¢ askpolled, 51s ago38¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $263 (2.63x)Spain43%Kalshi 33%polled, 51s agoKalshi 73%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Spain
43%
Not listed
73%
11¢ bid, 74¢ ask
polled, 51s ago
38¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Spain
43%
Kalshi 33%polled, 51s agoKalshi 73%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Spain
- Last price
- 33%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 38¢
- Sell Yes
- 33¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $263 (2.63x)
- Volume
- $51K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Spain
- Last price
- 73%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 74¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $135 (1.35x)
- Volume
- $37
Northern Ireland34%34%4¢ bid, 64¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed64¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $156 (1.56x)Northern Ireland34%Polymarket 34%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 64¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Northern Ireland
34%
34%
4¢ bid, 64¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
64¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Northern Ireland
34%
Polymarket 34%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 64¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Northern Ireland
- Last price
- 34%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 64¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $156 (1.56x)
- Volume
- $671
France26.8%Not listed47%30¢ bid, 47¢ askpolled, 51s ago20¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $500 (5.00x)France26.8%Kalshi 20%polled, 51s agoKalshi 47%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
France
26.8%
Not listed
47%
30¢ bid, 47¢ ask
polled, 51s ago
20¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $500 (5.00x)
France
26.8%
Kalshi 20%polled, 51s agoKalshi 47%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- France
- Last price
- 20%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 20¢
- Sell Yes
- 17¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $500 (5.00x)
- Volume
- $16K
Kalshi
- Contract
- France
- Last price
- 47%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 47¢
- Sell Yes
- 30¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $213 (2.13x)
- Volume
- $94
Show 22 more outcomesHide 22 outcomes
Kosovo26%26%14¢ bid, 38¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed38¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $263 (2.63x)Kosovo26%Polymarket 26%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 38¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Kosovo
26%
26%
14¢ bid, 38¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
38¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Kosovo
26%
Polymarket 26%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 38¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Kosovo
- Last price
- 26%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 38¢
- Sell Yes
- 14¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $263 (2.63x)
- Volume
- $3K
England22.2%Not listed17%16¢ bid, 49¢ askpolled, 51s ago24¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $417 (4.17x)England22.2%Kalshi 24%polled, 51s agoKalshi 17%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
England
22.2%
Not listed
17%
16¢ bid, 49¢ ask
polled, 51s ago
24¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $417 (4.17x)
England
22.2%
Kalshi 24%polled, 51s agoKalshi 17%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- England
- Last price
- 24%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 24¢
- Sell Yes
- 23¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $417 (4.17x)
- Volume
- $23K
Kalshi
- Contract
- England
- Last price
- 17%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 49¢
- Sell Yes
- 16¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $204 (2.04x)
- Volume
- $1K
Portugal19.8%Not listed34%34¢ bid, 59¢ askpolled, 51s ago15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Portugal19.8%Kalshi 15%polled, 51s agoKalshi 34%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Portugal
19.8%
Not listed
34%
34¢ bid, 59¢ ask
polled, 51s ago
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Portugal
19.8%
Kalshi 15%polled, 51s agoKalshi 34%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Portugal
- Last price
- 15%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
- Volume
- $11K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Portugal
- Last price
- 34%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 59¢
- Sell Yes
- 34¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $169 (1.69x)
- Volume
- $1K
Republic of Ireland15%15%1¢ bid, 29¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed29¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $345 (3.45x)Republic of Ireland15%Polymarket 15%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Republic of Ireland
15%
15%
1¢ bid, 29¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
29¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Republic of Ireland
15%
Polymarket 15%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Republic of Ireland
- Last price
- 15%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 29¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $345 (3.45x)
- Volume
- $295
Poland11%11%2¢ bid, 20¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed20¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $500 (5.00x)Poland11%Polymarket 11%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Poland
11%
11%
2¢ bid, 20¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
20¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Poland
11%
Polymarket 11%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Poland
- Last price
- 11%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 20¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $500 (5.00x)
- Volume
- $2K
Ukraine9.5%9.5%4¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed15¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Ukraine9.5%Polymarket 9.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Ukraine
9.5%
9.5%
4¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
15¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Ukraine
9.5%
Polymarket 9.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ukraine
- Last price
- 9.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
- Volume
- $506
Scotland8%8%7¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Scotland8%Polymarket 8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Scotland
8%
8%
7¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Scotland
8%
Polymarket 8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Scotland
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $4K
Netherlands7.5%Not listed21%2¢ bid, 21¢ askpolled, 51s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Netherlands7.5%Kalshi 3%polled, 51s agoKalshi 21%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Netherlands
7.5%
Not listed
21%
2¢ bid, 21¢ ask
polled, 51s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Netherlands
7.5%
Kalshi 3%polled, 51s agoKalshi 21%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Netherlands
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $7K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Netherlands
- Last price
- 21%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 21¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $476 (4.76x)
- Volume
- $18
Greece5.5%Not listed13%— bid, 13¢ askpolled, 51s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Greece5.5%Kalshi 3%polled, 51s agoKalshi 13%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Greece
5.5%
Not listed
13%
— bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 51s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Greece
5.5%
Kalshi 3%polled, 51s agoKalshi 13%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Greece
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $5K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Greece
- Last price
- 13%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
- Volume
- $3
Italy5%Not listed14%— bid, 14¢ askpolled, 51s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Italy5%Kalshi 2%polled, 51s agoKalshi 14%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Italy
5%
Not listed
14%
— bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 51s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Italy
5%
Kalshi 2%polled, 51s agoKalshi 14%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Italy
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $3K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Italy
- Last price
- 14%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
- Volume
- $10
Germany4.8%Not listed16%— bid, 16¢ askpolled, 51s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Germany4.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 51s agoKalshi 16%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Germany
4.8%
Not listed
16%
— bid, 16¢ ask
polled, 51s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Germany
4.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 51s agoKalshi 16%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Germany
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $4K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Germany
- Last price
- 16%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
- Volume
- $8
Belgium4.5%Not listed15%— bid, 15¢ askpolled, 51s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Belgium4.5%Kalshi 1%polled, 51s agoKalshi 15%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Belgium
4.5%
Not listed
15%
— bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 51s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Belgium
4.5%
Kalshi 1%polled, 51s agoKalshi 15%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Belgium
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $3K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Belgium
- Last price
- 15%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
- Volume
- $6
Georgia4.3%4.3%3.1¢ bid, 5.4¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed5.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,852 (18.5x)Georgia4.3%Polymarket 4.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,852 (18.5x)
Georgia
4.3%
4.3%
3.1¢ bid, 5.4¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
5.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,852 (18.5x)
Georgia
4.3%
Polymarket 4.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,852 (18.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Georgia
- Last price
- 4.3%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 3.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,852 (18.5x)
- Volume
- $200
Norway4.3%Not listed14%— bid, 14¢ askpolled, 51s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Norway4.3%Kalshi 1%polled, 51s agoKalshi 14%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Norway
4.3%
Not listed
14%
— bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 51s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Norway
4.3%
Kalshi 1%polled, 51s agoKalshi 14%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Norway
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $3K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Norway
- Last price
- 14%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
- Volume
- $6
Denmark3.5%Not listed11%— bid, 11¢ askpolled, 51s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Denmark3.5%Kalshi 1%polled, 51s agoKalshi 11%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Denmark
3.5%
Not listed
11%
— bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 51s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Denmark
3.5%
Kalshi 1%polled, 51s agoKalshi 11%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Denmark
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $273
Kalshi
- Contract
- Denmark
- Last price
- 11%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
- Volume
- $2
Croatia3.3%Not listed10%— bid, 10¢ askpolled, 51s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Croatia3.3%Kalshi 1%polled, 51s agoKalshi 10%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Croatia
3.3%
Not listed
10%
— bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 51s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Croatia
3.3%
Kalshi 1%polled, 51s agoKalshi 10%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Croatia
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $603
Kalshi
- Contract
- Croatia
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $4
Turkiye3%Not listed5%— bid, 10¢ askpolled, 51s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Turkiye3%Kalshi 1%polled, 51s agoKalshi 5%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Turkiye
3%
Not listed
5%
— bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 51s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Turkiye
3%
Kalshi 1%polled, 51s agoKalshi 5%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Turkiye
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $468
Kalshi
- Contract
- Turkiye
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Wales3%Not listed5%— bid, 10¢ askpolled, 51s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Wales3%Kalshi 1%polled, 51s agoKalshi 5%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Wales
3%
Not listed
5%
— bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 51s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Wales
3%
Kalshi 1%polled, 51s agoKalshi 5%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Wales
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $281
Kalshi
- Contract
- Wales
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Czechia2.8%Not listed5%— bid, 10¢ askpolled, 51s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Czechia2.8%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 51s agoKalshi 5%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Czechia
2.8%
Not listed
5%
— bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 51s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Czechia
2.8%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 51s agoKalshi 5%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Czechia
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Czechia
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Serbia2.8%Not listed5%— bid, 10¢ askpolled, 51s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Serbia2.8%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 51s agoKalshi 5%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Serbia
2.8%
Not listed
5%
— bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 51s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Serbia
2.8%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 51s agoKalshi 5%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Serbia
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Serbia
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Romania2.1%2.1%0.6¢ bid, 3.5¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed3.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,857 (28.6x)Romania2.1%Polymarket 2.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,857 (28.6x)
Romania
2.1%
2.1%
0.6¢ bid, 3.5¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
3.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,857 (28.6x)
Romania
2.1%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,857 (28.6x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Romania
- Last price
- 2.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 3.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,857 (28.6x)
- Volume
- $685
North Macedonia0.2%0.2%0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed0.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $50,000 (500x)North Macedonia0.2%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
North Macedonia
0.2%
0.2%
0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
0.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $50,000 (500x)
North Macedonia
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- North Macedonia
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $50,000 (500x)
- Volume
- $514
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, Fox Sports, ESPN
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Switzerland
- Hungary
- Israel
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Kalshi
Kalshi doesn’t list Switzerland for this event.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "UEFA Nations League B: Teams promoted to League A (2026-27)". Switzerland leads at 93.1%. Next is Hungary at 62%. $146K has traded across 32 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Apr 14, 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team achieves promotion from UEFA Nations League B to UEFA Nations League A for the 2028-29 UEFA Nations League at the conclusion of the 2026-27 competition. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Official promotion is defined as a team clinching a place in UEFA Nations League A for the 2028-29 UEFA Nations League through their final standing in the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League B league phase, via promotion/relegation play-off victory, or by any other official decision recognized by UEFA. If the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League is cancelled, postponed after April 13, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for promotion within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from UEFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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