The Prediction Markets

UFC 327: Mateusz Gamrot vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Prelims)

Closed
Apr 12, 2026
Traded
$26K
Venues
Polymarket
Share

This market has closed

Trading ended on Apr 12, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 196 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
O/U 0.5 Rounds
78.5%
Polymarket 78.5%polled, 4714 h agoBest Yes 92¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 0.5 Rounds
Last price
78.5%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
65¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Fight to Go the Distance?
70%
Polymarket 70%polled, 4714 h agoBest Yes 74¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
Fight to Go the Distance?
Last price
70%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
66¢
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Volume
$50
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 2.5 Rounds
69.5%
Polymarket 69.5%polled, 4714 h agoBest Yes 70¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 2.5 Rounds
Last price
69.5%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
70¢
Sell Yes
69¢
$100 on Yes pays
$143 (1.43x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Mateusz Gamrot vs. Esteban Ribovics
65.5%
Polymarket 65.5%polled, 4714 h agoBest Yes 66¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mateusz Gamrot vs. Esteban Ribovics
Last price
65.5%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
66¢
Sell Yes
65¢
$100 on Yes pays
$152 (1.52x)
Volume
$26K
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 1.5 Rounds
64%
Polymarket 64%polled, 4714 h agoBest Yes 88¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 1.5 Rounds
Last price
64%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
40¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Fight won by KO/TKO?
38%
Polymarket 38%polled, 4714 h agoBest Yes 61¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Polymarket
Contract
Fight won by KO/TKO?
Last price
38%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
61¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$164 (1.64x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Fight won by submission?
32%
Polymarket 32%polled, 4714 h agoBest Yes 57¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Polymarket
Contract
Fight won by submission?
Last price
32%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
57¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$175 (1.75x)
Volume
$2
Trade this on Polymarket
Gamrot to win by KO/TKO?
30.5%
Polymarket 30.5%polled, 4714 h agoBest Yes 54¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gamrot to win by KO/TKO?
Last price
30.5%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
54¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$185 (1.85x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Polymarket
Ribovics to win by KO/TKO?
26%
Polymarket 26%polled, 4714 h agoBest Yes 43¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ribovics to win by KO/TKO?
Last price
26%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: ufc.com

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • O/U 0.5 Rounds
  • Fight to Go the Distance?
  • O/U 2.5 Rounds

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "UFC 327: Mateusz Gamrot vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Prelims)". O/U 0.5 Rounds last traded at 78.5%. Next is Fight to Go the Distance? at 70%. $26K has traded across 9 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Apr 12, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Mateusz Gamrot" if Mateusz Gamrot is officially declared the winner of the fight against Esteban Ribovics at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026. It will resolve to "Esteban Ribovics" if Esteban Ribovics is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

More sports markets

See all sports markets