The Prediction Markets

UFC 327: Patricio Pitbull vs. Aaron Pico (Featherweight, Prelims)

Closed
Apr 12, 2026
Traded
$61K
Venues
Polymarket
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This market has closed

Trading ended on Apr 12, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 196 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
O/U 1.5 Rounds
64%
Polymarket 64%polled, 4719 h agoBest Yes 66¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 1.5 Rounds
Last price
64%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
66¢
Sell Yes
62¢
$100 on Yes pays
$152 (1.52x)
Volume
$349
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 0.5 Rounds
62%
Polymarket 62%polled, 4719 h agoBest Yes 87¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 0.5 Rounds
Last price
62%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
87¢
Sell Yes
37¢
$100 on Yes pays
$115 (1.15x)
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 2.5 Rounds
53%
Polymarket 53%polled, 4719 h agoBest Yes 60¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 2.5 Rounds
Last price
53%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
46¢
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Volume
$72
Trade this on Polymarket
Fight won by KO/TKO?
47.5%
Polymarket 47.5%polled, 4719 h agoBest Yes 71¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Polymarket
Contract
Fight won by KO/TKO?
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
71¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$141 (1.41x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Fight to Go the Distance?
40.5%
Polymarket 40.5%polled, 4719 h agoBest Yes 46¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
Fight to Go the Distance?
Last price
40.5%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
35¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Volume
$34
Trade this on Polymarket
Pico to win by KO/TKO?
34%
Polymarket 34%polled, 4719 h agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Pico to win by KO/TKO?
Last price
34%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$102
Trade this on Polymarket
Pitbull to win by KO/TKO?
31%
Polymarket 31%polled, 4719 h agoBest Yes 54¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
Pitbull to win by KO/TKO?
Last price
31%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
54¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$185 (1.85x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Fight won by submission?
30.5%
Polymarket 30.5%polled, 4719 h agoBest Yes 55¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Polymarket
Contract
Fight won by submission?
Last price
30.5%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
55¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$182 (1.82x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Patricio Pitbull vs. Aaron Pico
30.5%
Polymarket 30.5%polled, 4719 h agoBest Yes 31¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Polymarket
Contract
Patricio Pitbull vs. Aaron Pico
Last price
30.5%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
31¢
Sell Yes
30¢
$100 on Yes pays
$323 (3.23x)
Volume
$61K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: ufc.com

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • O/U 1.5 Rounds
  • O/U 0.5 Rounds
  • O/U 2.5 Rounds

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "UFC 327: Patricio Pitbull vs. Aaron Pico (Featherweight, Prelims)". O/U 1.5 Rounds last traded at 64%. Next is O/U 0.5 Rounds at 62%. $61K has traded across 9 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Apr 12, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Patricio Pitbull" if Patricio Pitbull is officially declared the winner of the fight against Aaron Pico at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026. It will resolve to "Aaron Pico" if Aaron Pico is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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