The Prediction Markets

UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)

Closed
Apr 12, 2026
Traded
$55K
Venues
Polymarket
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This market has closed

Trading ended on Apr 12, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 196 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
O/U 0.5 Rounds
72%
Polymarket 72%polled, 4716 h agoBest Yes 92¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 0.5 Rounds
Last price
72%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
52¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 1.5 Rounds
68%
Polymarket 68%polled, 4716 h agoBest Yes 70¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 1.5 Rounds
Last price
68%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
70¢
Sell Yes
66¢
$100 on Yes pays
$143 (1.43x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 2.5 Rounds
56.5%
Polymarket 56.5%polled, 4716 h agoBest Yes 61¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 2.5 Rounds
Last price
56.5%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
61¢
Sell Yes
52¢
$100 on Yes pays
$164 (1.64x)
Volume
$203
Trade this on Polymarket
Fight won by KO/TKO?
52%
Polymarket 52%polled, 4716 h agoBest Yes 73¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Polymarket
Contract
Fight won by KO/TKO?
Last price
52%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
73¢
Sell Yes
31¢
$100 on Yes pays
$137 (1.37x)
Volume
$3
Trade this on Polymarket
Fight to Go the Distance?
42%
Polymarket 42%polled, 4716 h agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Fight to Go the Distance?
Last price
42%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Murzakanov to win by KO/TKO?
38%
Polymarket 38%polled, 4716 h agoBest Yes 49¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
Murzakanov to win by KO/TKO?
Last price
38%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
27¢
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Volume
$77
Trade this on Polymarket
Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov
34.5%
Polymarket 34.5%polled, 4716 h agoBest Yes 35¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Polymarket
Contract
Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov
Last price
34.5%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Volume
$51K
Trade this on Polymarket
Fight won by submission?
29.5%
Polymarket 29.5%polled, 4716 h agoBest Yes 54¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
Fight won by submission?
Last price
29.5%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
54¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$185 (1.85x)
Volume
$1
Trade this on Polymarket
Costa to win by KO/TKO?
9%
Polymarket 9%polled, 4716 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Costa to win by KO/TKO?
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: ufc.com

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • O/U 0.5 Rounds
  • O/U 1.5 Rounds
  • O/U 2.5 Rounds

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)". O/U 0.5 Rounds last traded at 72%. Next is O/U 1.5 Rounds at 68%. $55K has traded across 9 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Apr 12, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Paulo Costa" if Paulo Costa is officially declared the winner of the fight against Azamat Murzakanov at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026. It will resolve to "Azamat Murzakanov" if Azamat Murzakanov is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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