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Best ask
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What the markets expect
O/U 0.5 Rounds 73.5%
Next is O/U 2.5 Rounds at 70.5%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Best Yes price
O/U 0.5 Rounds73.5%73.5%51¢ bid, 96¢ askpolled, 1 h ago96¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $104 (1.04x)O/U 0.5 Rounds73.5%Polymarket 73.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 96¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
O/U 0.5 Rounds
73.5%
73.5%
51¢ bid, 96¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
96¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $104 (1.04x)
O/U 0.5 Rounds
73.5%
Polymarket 73.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 96¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- O/U 0.5 Rounds
- Last price
- 73.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 96¢
- Sell Yes
- 51¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $104 (1.04x)
O/U 2.5 Rounds70.5%70.5%69¢ bid, 72¢ askpolled, 1 h ago72¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $139 (1.39x)O/U 2.5 Rounds70.5%Polymarket 70.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 72¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
O/U 2.5 Rounds
70.5%
70.5%
69¢ bid, 72¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
72¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $139 (1.39x)
O/U 2.5 Rounds
70.5%
Polymarket 70.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 72¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- O/U 2.5 Rounds
- Last price
- 70.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 72¢
- Sell Yes
- 69¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $139 (1.39x)
Fight to Go the Distance?68%68%66¢ bid, 70¢ askpolled, 1 h ago70¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $143 (1.43x)Fight to Go the Distance?68%Polymarket 68%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 70¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Fight to Go the Distance?
68%
68%
66¢ bid, 70¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
70¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Fight to Go the Distance?
68%
Polymarket 68%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 70¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fight to Go the Distance?
- Last price
- 68%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 70¢
- Sell Yes
- 66¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $143 (1.43x)
O/U 1.5 Rounds67.5%67.5%50¢ bid, 85¢ askpolled, 1 h ago85¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $118 (1.18x)O/U 1.5 Rounds67.5%Polymarket 67.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 85¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
O/U 1.5 Rounds
67.5%
67.5%
50¢ bid, 85¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
85¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $118 (1.18x)
O/U 1.5 Rounds
67.5%
Polymarket 67.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 85¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- O/U 1.5 Rounds
- Last price
- 67.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 85¢
- Sell Yes
- 50¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $118 (1.18x)
Decision or Draw61.5%61.5%50¢ bid, 73¢ askpolled, 1 h ago73¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $137 (1.37x)Decision or Draw61.5%Polymarket 61.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 73¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Decision or Draw
61.5%
61.5%
50¢ bid, 73¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
73¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Decision or Draw
61.5%
Polymarket 61.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 73¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Decision or Draw
- Last price
- 61.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 73¢
- Sell Yes
- 50¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $137 (1.37x)
Fight won by decision?61.5%61.5%50¢ bid, 73¢ askpolled, 1 h ago73¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $137 (1.37x)Fight won by decision?61.5%Polymarket 61.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 73¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Fight won by decision?
61.5%
61.5%
50¢ bid, 73¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
73¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Fight won by decision?
61.5%
Polymarket 61.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 73¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fight won by decision?
- Last price
- 61.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 73¢
- Sell Yes
- 50¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $137 (1.37x)
Ends before Round 3?34.5%34.5%19¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 1 h ago50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Ends before Round 3?34.5%Polymarket 34.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Ends before Round 3?
34.5%
34.5%
19¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Ends before Round 3?
34.5%
Polymarket 34.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ends before Round 3?
- Last price
- 34.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 19¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Fight won by submission?31.5%31.5%14¢ bid, 49¢ askpolled, 1 h ago49¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $204 (2.04x)Fight won by submission?31.5%Polymarket 31.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 49¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Fight won by submission?
31.5%
31.5%
14¢ bid, 49¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
49¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Fight won by submission?
31.5%
Polymarket 31.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 49¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fight won by submission?
- Last price
- 31.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 49¢
- Sell Yes
- 14¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $204 (2.04x)
Fight won by KO/TKO?30.5%30.5%11¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 1 h ago50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Fight won by KO/TKO?30.5%Polymarket 30.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Fight won by KO/TKO?
30.5%
30.5%
11¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Fight won by KO/TKO?
30.5%
Polymarket 30.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fight won by KO/TKO?
- Last price
- 30.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Ends before Round 2?29%29%8¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 1 h ago50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Ends before Round 2?29%Polymarket 29%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Ends before Round 2?
29%
29%
8¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Ends before Round 2?
29%
Polymarket 29%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ends before Round 2?
- Last price
- 29%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Show 9 more outcomesHide 9 outcomes
Lucindo to win by KO/TKO?29%29%8¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 1 h ago50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Lucindo to win by KO/TKO?29%Polymarket 29%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Lucindo to win by KO/TKO?
29%
29%
8¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Lucindo to win by KO/TKO?
29%
Polymarket 29%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Lucindo to win by KO/TKO?
- Last price
- 29%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Lucindo in Round 127.5%27.5%5¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 1 h ago50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Lucindo in Round 127.5%Polymarket 27.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Lucindo in Round 1
27.5%
27.5%
5¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Lucindo in Round 1
27.5%
Polymarket 27.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Lucindo in Round 1
- Last price
- 27.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Caliari in Round 126.5%26.5%3¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 1 h ago50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Caliari in Round 126.5%Polymarket 26.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Caliari in Round 1
26.5%
26.5%
3¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Caliari in Round 1
26.5%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Caliari in Round 1
- Last price
- 26.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Caliari in Round 226.5%26.5%3¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 1 h ago50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Caliari in Round 226.5%Polymarket 26.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Caliari in Round 2
26.5%
26.5%
3¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Caliari in Round 2
26.5%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Caliari in Round 2
- Last price
- 26.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Caliari in Round 326.5%26.5%3¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 1 h ago50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Caliari in Round 326.5%Polymarket 26.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Caliari in Round 3
26.5%
26.5%
3¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Caliari in Round 3
26.5%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Caliari in Round 3
- Last price
- 26.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Caliari to win by KO/TKO?26.5%26.5%3¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 1 h ago50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Caliari to win by KO/TKO?26.5%Polymarket 26.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Caliari to win by KO/TKO?
26.5%
26.5%
3¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Caliari to win by KO/TKO?
26.5%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Caliari to win by KO/TKO?
- Last price
- 26.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Lucindo in Round 226.5%26.5%3¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 1 h ago50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Lucindo in Round 226.5%Polymarket 26.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Lucindo in Round 2
26.5%
26.5%
3¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Lucindo in Round 2
26.5%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Lucindo in Round 2
- Last price
- 26.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Lucindo in Round 326.5%26.5%3¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 1 h ago50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Lucindo in Round 326.5%Polymarket 26.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Lucindo in Round 3
26.5%
26.5%
3¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Lucindo in Round 3
26.5%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Lucindo in Round 3
- Last price
- 26.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Nicolle Caliari vs. Iasmin Lucindo22.5%22.5%22¢ bid, 23¢ askpolled, 1 h ago23¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $435 (4.35x)Nicolle Caliari vs. Iasmin Lucindo22.5%Polymarket 22.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 23¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Nicolle Caliari vs. Iasmin Lucindo
22.5%
22.5%
22¢ bid, 23¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
23¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Nicolle Caliari vs. Iasmin Lucindo
22.5%
Polymarket 22.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 23¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Nicolle Caliari vs. Iasmin Lucindo
- Last price
- 22.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 23¢
- Sell Yes
- 22¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $435 (4.35x)
- Volume
- $16K
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle, source: ufc.com
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- O/U 0.5 Rounds
- O/U 2.5 Rounds
- Fight to Go the Distance?
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "UFC 333: Nicolle Caliari vs. Iasmin Lucindo (Women's Strawweight, Early Prelims)". O/U 0.5 Rounds leads at 73.5%. Next is O/U 2.5 Rounds at 70.5%. $16K has traded across 19 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 25, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Nicolle Caliari" if Nicolle Caliari is officially declared the winner of the fight against Iasmin Lucindo at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026. It will resolve to "Iasmin Lucindo" if Iasmin Lucindo is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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