The Prediction Markets

UFC Fight Night: Beneil Dariush vs. Quillan Salkilld (Lightweight, Main Card)

FinalKickoff
Traded
$23K
Venues
Polymarket
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This market has closed

Trading ended on May 3, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 176 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
O/U 0.5 Rounds
69.5%
Polymarket 69.5%polled, 4229 h agoBest Yes 89¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 0.5 Rounds
Last price
69.5%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
89¢
Sell Yes
50¢
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Salkilld to win by KO/TKO?
57.5%
Polymarket 57.5%polled, 4229 h agoBest Yes 62¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Polymarket
Contract
Salkilld to win by KO/TKO?
Last price
57.5%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
62¢
Sell Yes
53¢
$100 on Yes pays
$161 (1.61x)
Volume
$86
Trade this on Polymarket
Fight won by KO/TKO?
52.5%
Polymarket 52.5%polled, 4229 h agoBest Yes 69¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Polymarket
Contract
Fight won by KO/TKO?
Last price
52.5%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
69¢
Sell Yes
36¢
$100 on Yes pays
$145 (1.45x)
Volume
$280
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 1.5 Rounds
45%
Polymarket 45%polled, 4229 h agoBest Yes 47¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 1.5 Rounds
Last price
45%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
47¢
Sell Yes
43¢
$100 on Yes pays
$213 (2.13x)
Volume
$42
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 2.5 Rounds
35.5%
Polymarket 35.5%polled, 4229 h agoBest Yes 49¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 2.5 Rounds
Last price
35.5%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Dariush to win by KO/TKO?
26%
Polymarket 26%polled, 4229 h agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Dariush to win by KO/TKO?
Last price
26%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Beneil Dariush vs. Quillan Salkilld
20.5%
Polymarket 20.5%polled, 4229 h agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Polymarket
Contract
Beneil Dariush vs. Quillan Salkilld
Last price
20.5%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$23K
Trade this on Polymarket
Fight won by submission?
20%
Polymarket 20%polled, 4229 h agoBest Yes 30¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Fight won by submission?
Last price
20%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Fight to Go the Distance?
19.5%
Polymarket 19.5%polled, 4229 h agoBest Yes 23¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
Fight to Go the Distance?
Last price
19.5%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Volume
$9
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: ufc.com

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • O/U 0.5 Rounds
  • Salkilld to win by KO/TKO?
  • Fight won by KO/TKO?

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "UFC Fight Night: Beneil Dariush vs. Quillan Salkilld (Lightweight, Main Card)". O/U 0.5 Rounds last traded at 69.5%. Next is Salkilld to win by KO/TKO? at 57.5%. $23K has traded across 9 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on May 3, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Beneil Dariush" if Beneil Dariush is officially declared the winner of the fight against Quillan Salkilld at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates, scheduled for May 2, 2026. It will resolve to "Quillan Salkilld" if Quillan Salkilld is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 16, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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