What are the odds of Montserrat Rendon vs. Bia Mesquita in UFC Fight Night: Montserrat Rendon vs. Bia Mesquita (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)?

Montserrat Rendon vs. Bia Mesquita last traded at 0.1% before the market closed.

UFC Fight Night: Montserrat Rendon vs. Bia Mesquita (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)

Closed: Mar 15, 2026
Traded: $135K
Venues: Polymarket

This market has closed

Trading ended on Mar 15, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 224 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

Polymarket

Outcome

Consensus

Venue prices on a 0–100% scale

Polymarket

Best Yes price

Montserrat Rendon vs. Bia Mesquita

0.1%

— bid, 0.1¢ ask

polled, 5383 h ago

0.1¢ on Polymarket

$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)

Montserrat Rendon vs. Bia Mesquita

0.1%

Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5383 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)

Polymarket

Contract: Montserrat Rendon vs. Bia Mesquita
Last price: 0.1%
As of: Polled 224 d ago
Buy Yes: 0.1¢
Sell Yes: —
$100 on Yes pays: $100,000 (1000x)
Volume: $123K

Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket resolves via:: UMA optimistic oracle, source: ufc.com

How the odds have moved

The leading outcome on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

Montserrat Rendon vs. Bia Mesquita

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "UFC Fight Night: Montserrat Rendon vs. Bia Mesquita (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)". Montserrat Rendon vs. Bia Mesquita last traded at 0.1%. $135K has traded across 1 outcome on Polymarket. The market closed on Mar 15, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Montserrat Rendon" if Montserrat Rendon is officially declared the winner of the fight against Bia Mesquita at UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos, scheduled for March 14, 2026. It will resolve to "Bia Mesquita" if Bia Mesquita is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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