Top of book
ConnectingBest bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—
Waiting for the first live quote…
What the markets expect
Kimi Antonelli 66%
Next is Max Verstappen at 51.1%. Polymarket and Kalshi agree within 1 point on each matched outcome.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Kimi Antonelli66%66%64¢ bid, 68¢ askpolled, just nowNot listed68¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $147 (1.47x)Kimi Antonelli66%Polymarket 66%polled, just nowBest Yes 68¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Kimi Antonelli
66%
66%
64¢ bid, 68¢ ask
polled, just now
Not listed
68¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Kimi Antonelli
66%
Polymarket 66%polled, just nowBest Yes 68¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Kimi Antonelli
- Last price
- 66%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 68¢
- Sell Yes
- 64¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $147 (1.47x)
- Volume
- $132
Max VerstappenArb51.1%76.5%75¢ bid, 78¢ askpolled, just now5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 2 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Max VerstappenArb51.1%Polymarket 76.5%polled, just nowKalshi 47%polled, just nowKalshi 76%polled, just nowKalshi 5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Max VerstappenArb
51.1%
76.5%
75¢ bid, 78¢ ask
polled, just now
5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Max VerstappenArb
51.1%
Polymarket 76.5%polled, just nowKalshi 47%polled, just nowKalshi 76%polled, just nowKalshi 5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Max Verstappen
- Last price
- 76.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 78¢
- Sell Yes
- 75¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $128 (1.28x)
- Volume
- $682
Kalshi
- Contract
- Max Verstappen
- Last price
- 47%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 47¢
- Sell Yes
- 46¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $213 (2.13x)
- Volume
- $29K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Max Verstappen
- Last price
- 76%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 76¢
- Sell Yes
- 75¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $132 (1.32x)
- Volume
- $2K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Max Verstappen
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $150
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Kalshi at 5¢ and selling on Polymarket at 75¢ nets 7000 bps before fees.
Andrea Kimi Antonelli33.3%Not listed12%3¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 2 min ago12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Andrea Kimi Antonelli33.3%Kalshi 26%polled, just nowKalshi 69%polled, just nowKalshi 12%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
33.3%
Not listed
12%
3¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
33.3%
Kalshi 26%polled, just nowKalshi 69%polled, just nowKalshi 12%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Andrea Kimi Antonelli
- Last price
- 26%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 26¢
- Sell Yes
- 25¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $385 (3.85x)
- Volume
- $25K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Andrea Kimi Antonelli
- Last price
- 69%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 69¢
- Sell Yes
- 66¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $145 (1.45x)
- Volume
- $1K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Andrea Kimi Antonelli
- Last price
- 12%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
- Volume
- $365
George RussellArb22.9%39%38¢ bid, 40¢ askpolled, just now2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 2 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)George RussellArb22.9%Polymarket 39%polled, just nowKalshi 9%polled, just nowKalshi 41%polled, just nowKalshi 2.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
George RussellArb
22.9%
39%
38¢ bid, 40¢ ask
polled, just now
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
George RussellArb
22.9%
Polymarket 39%polled, just nowKalshi 9%polled, just nowKalshi 41%polled, just nowKalshi 2.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- George Russell
- Last price
- 39%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 40¢
- Sell Yes
- 38¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $250 (2.50x)
- Volume
- $486
Kalshi
- Contract
- George Russell
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $14K
Kalshi
- Contract
- George Russell
- Last price
- 41%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 41¢
- Sell Yes
- 38¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $244 (2.44x)
- Volume
- $2K
Kalshi
- Contract
- George Russell
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Kalshi at 5¢ and selling on Polymarket at 38¢ nets 3300 bps before fees.
Lewis HamiltonArb21%35%34¢ bid, 36¢ askpolled, just now5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 2 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Lewis HamiltonArb21%Polymarket 35%polled, just nowKalshi 8%polled, just nowKalshi 36%polled, just nowKalshi 5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Lewis HamiltonArb
21%
35%
34¢ bid, 36¢ ask
polled, just now
5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Lewis HamiltonArb
21%
Polymarket 35%polled, just nowKalshi 8%polled, just nowKalshi 36%polled, just nowKalshi 5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Lewis Hamilton
- Last price
- 35%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 36¢
- Sell Yes
- 34¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $278 (2.78x)
- Volume
- $189
Kalshi
- Contract
- Lewis Hamilton
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $24K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Lewis Hamilton
- Last price
- 36%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 36¢
- Sell Yes
- 35¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $278 (2.78x)
- Volume
- $4K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Lewis Hamilton
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $206
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Kalshi at 5¢ and selling on Polymarket at 34¢ nets 2900 bps before fees.
Lando NorrisArb20.6%35%31¢ bid, 39¢ askpolled, just now2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 2 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Lando NorrisArb20.6%Polymarket 35%polled, just nowKalshi 9%polled, just nowKalshi 36%polled, just nowKalshi 2.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Lando NorrisArb
20.6%
35%
31¢ bid, 39¢ ask
polled, just now
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Lando NorrisArb
20.6%
Polymarket 35%polled, just nowKalshi 9%polled, just nowKalshi 36%polled, just nowKalshi 2.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Lando Norris
- Last price
- 35%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 39¢
- Sell Yes
- 31¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $256 (2.56x)
- Volume
- $421
Kalshi
- Contract
- Lando Norris
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $25K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Lando Norris
- Last price
- 36%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 36¢
- Sell Yes
- 33¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $278 (2.78x)
- Volume
- $1K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Lando Norris
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Kalshi at 5¢ and selling on Polymarket at 31¢ nets 2600 bps before fees.
Charles LeclercArb19.6%32.5%32¢ bid, 33¢ askpolled, just now5%4¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 2 min ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Charles LeclercArb19.6%Polymarket 32.5%polled, just nowKalshi 7%polled, just nowKalshi 34%polled, just nowKalshi 5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Charles LeclercArb
19.6%
32.5%
32¢ bid, 33¢ ask
polled, just now
5%
4¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Charles LeclercArb
19.6%
Polymarket 32.5%polled, just nowKalshi 7%polled, just nowKalshi 34%polled, just nowKalshi 5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Charles Leclerc
- Last price
- 32.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 33¢
- Sell Yes
- 32¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $303 (3.03x)
- Volume
- $51
Kalshi
- Contract
- Charles Leclerc
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $15K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Charles Leclerc
- Last price
- 34%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- 33¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
- Volume
- $1K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Charles Leclerc
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $216
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Kalshi at 6¢ and selling on Polymarket at 32¢ nets 2600 bps before fees.
Isack HadjarArb10.1%19%15¢ bid, 23¢ askpolled, just now2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 2 min ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Isack HadjarArb10.1%Polymarket 19%polled, just nowKalshi 1%polled, just nowKalshi 18%polled, just nowKalshi 2.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Isack HadjarArb
10.1%
19%
15¢ bid, 23¢ ask
polled, just now
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Isack HadjarArb
10.1%
Polymarket 19%polled, just nowKalshi 1%polled, just nowKalshi 18%polled, just nowKalshi 2.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Isack Hadjar
- Last price
- 19%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 23¢
- Sell Yes
- 15¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $435 (4.35x)
- Volume
- $57
Kalshi
- Contract
- Isack Hadjar
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $2K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Isack Hadjar
- Last price
- 18%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 20¢
- Sell Yes
- 16¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $500 (5.00x)
- Volume
- $723
Kalshi
- Contract
- Isack Hadjar
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Kalshi at 2¢ and selling on Polymarket at 15¢ nets 1300 bps before fees.
Valtteri Bottas9.5%25%— bid, 50¢ askpolled, just now8%4¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 2 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Valtteri Bottas9.5%Polymarket 25%polled, just nowKalshi 1%polled, just nowKalshi 4%polled, just nowKalshi 8%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Valtteri Bottas
9.5%
25%
— bid, 50¢ ask
polled, just now
8%
4¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Valtteri Bottas
9.5%
Polymarket 25%polled, just nowKalshi 1%polled, just nowKalshi 4%polled, just nowKalshi 8%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Valtteri Bottas
- Last price
- 25%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
- Volume
- $10
Kalshi
- Contract
- Valtteri Bottas
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $1K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Valtteri Bottas
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $351
Kalshi
- Contract
- Valtteri Bottas
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 4¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 50¢.
Oliver Bearman9.4%25%— bid, 50¢ askpolled, just now10%2¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 2 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Oliver Bearman9.4%Polymarket 25%polled, just nowKalshi 0.5%polled, just nowKalshi 2%polled, just nowKalshi 10%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Oliver Bearman
9.4%
25%
— bid, 50¢ ask
polled, just now
10%
2¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Oliver Bearman
9.4%
Polymarket 25%polled, just nowKalshi 0.5%polled, just nowKalshi 2%polled, just nowKalshi 10%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Oliver Bearman
- Last price
- 25%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Oliver Bearman
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Oliver Bearman
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Oliver Bearman
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $9
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 50¢.
Show 14 more outcomesHide 14 outcomes
Alexander Albon9.1%25%— bid, 50¢ askpolled, just now8.5%4¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 2 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Alexander Albon9.1%Polymarket 25%polled, just nowKalshi 1%polled, just nowKalshi 2%polled, just nowKalshi 8.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Alexander Albon
9.1%
25%
— bid, 50¢ ask
polled, just now
8.5%
4¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Alexander Albon
9.1%
Polymarket 25%polled, just nowKalshi 1%polled, just nowKalshi 2%polled, just nowKalshi 8.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Alexander Albon
- Last price
- 25%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Alexander Albon
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $2K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Alexander Albon
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Alexander Albon
- Last price
- 8.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 4¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 50¢.
Nico Hulkenberg9.1%24.5%— bid, 49¢ askpolled, just now9%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, 2 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Nico Hulkenberg9.1%Polymarket 24.5%polled, just nowKalshi 1%polled, just nowKalshi 2%polled, just nowKalshi 9%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Nico Hulkenberg
9.1%
24.5%
— bid, 49¢ ask
polled, just now
9%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Nico Hulkenberg
9.1%
Polymarket 24.5%polled, just nowKalshi 1%polled, just nowKalshi 2%polled, just nowKalshi 9%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Nico Hulkenberg
- Last price
- 24.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 49¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $204 (2.04x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Nico Hulkenberg
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $94
Kalshi
- Contract
- Nico Hulkenberg
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Nico Hulkenberg
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $9
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Liam Lawson9%25%— bid, 50¢ askpolled, just now5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 2 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Liam Lawson9%Polymarket 25%polled, just nowKalshi 1%polled, just nowKalshi 5%polled, just nowKalshi 5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Liam Lawson
9%
25%
— bid, 50¢ ask
polled, just now
5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Liam Lawson
9%
Polymarket 25%polled, just nowKalshi 1%polled, just nowKalshi 5%polled, just nowKalshi 5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Liam Lawson
- Last price
- 25%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Liam Lawson
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $94
Kalshi
- Contract
- Liam Lawson
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $507
Kalshi
- Contract
- Liam Lawson
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $20
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Carlos Sainz Jr.8.9%24.5%— bid, 49¢ askpolled, just now8%4¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 2 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Carlos Sainz Jr.8.9%Polymarket 24.5%polled, just nowKalshi 1%polled, just nowKalshi 2%polled, just nowKalshi 8%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Carlos Sainz Jr.
8.9%
24.5%
— bid, 49¢ ask
polled, just now
8%
4¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Carlos Sainz Jr.
8.9%
Polymarket 24.5%polled, just nowKalshi 1%polled, just nowKalshi 2%polled, just nowKalshi 8%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Carlos Sainz Jr.
- Last price
- 24.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 49¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $204 (2.04x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Carlos Sainz Jr.
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $1K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Carlos Sainz Jr.
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Carlos Sainz Jr.
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 4¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 49¢.
Fernando Alonso8.9%25%— bid, 50¢ askpolled, just now8%4¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 2 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Fernando Alonso8.9%Polymarket 25%polled, just nowKalshi 0.5%polled, just nowKalshi 2%polled, just nowKalshi 8%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Fernando Alonso
8.9%
25%
— bid, 50¢ ask
polled, just now
8%
4¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Fernando Alonso
8.9%
Polymarket 25%polled, just nowKalshi 0.5%polled, just nowKalshi 2%polled, just nowKalshi 8%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fernando Alonso
- Last price
- 25%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
- Volume
- $10
Kalshi
- Contract
- Fernando Alonso
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Fernando Alonso
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Fernando Alonso
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 4¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 50¢.
Lance Stroll8.9%25%— bid, 50¢ askpolled, just now8%4¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 2 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Lance Stroll8.9%Polymarket 25%polled, just nowKalshi 0.5%polled, just nowKalshi 2%polled, just nowKalshi 8%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Lance Stroll
8.9%
25%
— bid, 50¢ ask
polled, just now
8%
4¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Lance Stroll
8.9%
Polymarket 25%polled, just nowKalshi 0.5%polled, just nowKalshi 2%polled, just nowKalshi 8%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Lance Stroll
- Last price
- 25%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
- Volume
- $10
Kalshi
- Contract
- Lance Stroll
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Lance Stroll
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Lance Stroll
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 4¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 50¢.
Sergio Perez8.9%25%— bid, 50¢ askpolled, just now8%4¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 2 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Sergio Perez8.9%Polymarket 25%polled, just nowKalshi 0.5%polled, just nowKalshi 2%polled, just nowKalshi 8%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Sergio Perez
8.9%
25%
— bid, 50¢ ask
polled, just now
8%
4¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Sergio Perez
8.9%
Polymarket 25%polled, just nowKalshi 0.5%polled, just nowKalshi 2%polled, just nowKalshi 8%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Sergio Perez
- Last price
- 25%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
- Volume
- $10
Kalshi
- Contract
- Sergio Perez
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Sergio Perez
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Sergio Perez
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 4¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 50¢.
Arvid Lindblad8.6%25%— bid, 50¢ askpolled, just now7%3¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 2 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Arvid Lindblad8.6%Polymarket 25%polled, just nowKalshi 0.5%polled, just nowKalshi 2%polled, just nowKalshi 7%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Arvid Lindblad
8.6%
25%
— bid, 50¢ ask
polled, just now
7%
3¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Arvid Lindblad
8.6%
Polymarket 25%polled, just nowKalshi 0.5%polled, just nowKalshi 2%polled, just nowKalshi 7%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Arvid Lindblad
- Last price
- 25%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Arvid Lindblad
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Arvid Lindblad
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Arvid Lindblad
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $71
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 3¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 50¢.
Gabriel Bortoleto8.4%25%— bid, 50¢ askpolled, just now6%2¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 2 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Gabriel Bortoleto8.4%Polymarket 25%polled, just nowKalshi 0.5%polled, just nowKalshi 2%polled, just nowKalshi 6%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Gabriel Bortoleto
8.4%
25%
— bid, 50¢ ask
polled, just now
6%
2¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Gabriel Bortoleto
8.4%
Polymarket 25%polled, just nowKalshi 0.5%polled, just nowKalshi 2%polled, just nowKalshi 6%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Gabriel Bortoleto
- Last price
- 25%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Gabriel Bortoleto
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Gabriel Bortoleto
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Gabriel Bortoleto
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 50¢.
Franco Colapinto8.4%25%— bid, 50¢ askpolled, just now4%— bid, 8¢ askpolled, 2 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Franco Colapinto8.4%Polymarket 25%polled, just nowKalshi 0.5%polled, just nowKalshi 4%polled, just nowKalshi 4%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Franco Colapinto
8.4%
25%
— bid, 50¢ ask
polled, just now
4%
— bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Franco Colapinto
8.4%
Polymarket 25%polled, just nowKalshi 0.5%polled, just nowKalshi 4%polled, just nowKalshi 4%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Franco Colapinto
- Last price
- 25%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Franco Colapinto
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Franco Colapinto
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $4
Kalshi
- Contract
- Franco Colapinto
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Esteban Ocon8.1%25%— bid, 50¢ askpolled, just now5%1¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 2 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Esteban Ocon8.1%Polymarket 25%polled, just nowKalshi 0.5%polled, just nowKalshi 2%polled, just nowKalshi 5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Esteban Ocon
8.1%
25%
— bid, 50¢ ask
polled, just now
5%
1¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Esteban Ocon
8.1%
Polymarket 25%polled, just nowKalshi 0.5%polled, just nowKalshi 2%polled, just nowKalshi 5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Esteban Ocon
- Last price
- 25%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Esteban Ocon
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Esteban Ocon
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Esteban Ocon
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 50¢.
Oscar PiastriArb8%13.5%12¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, just now2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 2 min ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Oscar PiastriArb8%Polymarket 13.5%polled, just nowKalshi 2%polled, just nowKalshi 14%polled, just nowKalshi 2.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Oscar PiastriArb
8%
13.5%
12¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, just now
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Oscar PiastriArb
8%
Polymarket 13.5%polled, just nowKalshi 2%polled, just nowKalshi 14%polled, just nowKalshi 2.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Oscar Piastri
- Last price
- 13.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
- Volume
- $98
Kalshi
- Contract
- Oscar Piastri
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $8K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Oscar Piastri
- Last price
- 14%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 14¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
- Volume
- $770
Kalshi
- Contract
- Oscar Piastri
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Kalshi at 2¢ and selling on Polymarket at 12¢ nets 1000 bps before fees.
Yuki Tsunoda5%5%— bid, 10¢ askpolled, just nowNot listed10¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Yuki Tsunoda5%Polymarket 5%polled, just nowBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Yuki Tsunoda
5%
5%
— bid, 10¢ ask
polled, just now
Not listed
10¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Yuki Tsunoda
5%
Polymarket 5%polled, just nowBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Yuki Tsunoda
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $10
Pierre Gasly3%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, just now5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 2 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Pierre Gasly3%Polymarket 2.5%polled, just nowKalshi 0.5%polled, just nowKalshi 4%polled, just nowKalshi 5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Pierre Gasly
3%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, just now
5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Pierre Gasly
3%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, just nowKalshi 0.5%polled, just nowKalshi 4%polled, just nowKalshi 5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Pierre Gasly
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Pierre Gasly
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Pierre Gasly
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $83
Kalshi
- Contract
- Pierre Gasly
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $38
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Possible arbitrage before fees: buy Max Verstappen on Kalshi at 5¢, sell on Polymarket at 75¢ (7000 bps). Check the rules below before trading. See all live spreads
Mostly the same bet: one difference
Where they differ
- Trading closes at different times: Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 PM UTC on Polymarket and Nov 2, 2026, 2:00 AM UTC on Kalshi.
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle, source: formula1.com
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: FIA
Show full rule comparisonHide full rule comparison
- Trading closes Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 PM UTC on Polymarket and Nov 2, 2026, 2:00 AM UTC on Kalshi.
Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Kimi Antonelli
- Max Verstappen
- Andrea Kimi Antonelli
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Kalshi
Kalshi doesn’t list Kimi Antonelli for this event.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "United States Grand Prix: Driver Podium Finish". Kimi Antonelli leads at 66%. Next is Max Verstappen at 51.1%. $164K has traded across 24 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 1, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed driver finishes within the top three positions in the official "Final Classification" for the F1 United States Grand Prix, scheduled for Oct 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The "Final Classification" is published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. It is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. If the United States Grand Prix is postponed, this market will remain open until the event has been completed. If the United States Grand Prix is permanently canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
More sports markets
See all sports markets- F1 Drivers' ChampionKimi Antonelli98.3%$204.6M traded
- 2027 Pro Football ChampionSan Francisco16%$195.9M traded
- Pro Baseball ChampionMilwaukee63.7%$133.9M traded
- College Football National Championship WinnerGeorgia16%$63.8M traded
- 2027 Pro Basketball ChampionOklahoma City25%$45.1M traded
- MVP Winner?Josh Allen28%$36.7M traded