Combined depth · both venues
Loading both order books…
What the markets expect
Max Verstappen 33.4%
Next is Kimi Antonelli at 24.5%. Polymarket and Kalshi agree within 1 point on each matched outcome.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 5 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Max Verstappen33.4%37.5%34¢ bid, 41¢ askpolled, 16s ago5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 5 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Max Verstappen33.4%Polymarket 37.5%polled, 16s agoKalshi 48%polled, 16s agoKalshi 43%polled, 16s agoKalshi 5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Max Verstappen
33.4%
37.5%
34¢ bid, 41¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 5 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Max Verstappen
33.4%
Polymarket 37.5%polled, 16s agoKalshi 48%polled, 16s agoKalshi 43%polled, 16s agoKalshi 5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Max Verstappen
- Last price
- 37.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 41¢
- Sell Yes
- 34¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $244 (2.44x)
- Volume
- $690
Kalshi
- Contract
- Max Verstappen
- Last price
- 48%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 48¢
- Sell Yes
- 47¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $208 (2.08x)
- Volume
- $25K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Max Verstappen
- Last price
- 43%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 43¢
- Sell Yes
- 42¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $233 (2.33x)
- Volume
- $12K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Max Verstappen
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 5 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $150
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Indicative only, prices are 5 min old: Buying on Kalshi at 5¢ and selling on Polymarket at 34¢ nets 2900 bps before fees.
Kimi Antonelli24.5%24.5%21¢ bid, 28¢ askpolled, 16s agoNot listed28¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $357 (3.57x)Kimi Antonelli24.5%Polymarket 24.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 28¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kimi Antonelli
24.5%
24.5%
21¢ bid, 28¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
Not listed
28¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kimi Antonelli
24.5%
Polymarket 24.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 28¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Kimi Antonelli
- Last price
- 24.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 28¢
- Sell Yes
- 21¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $357 (3.57x)
- Volume
- $12
Andrea Kimi Antonelli22.5%Not listed13%3¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 5 min ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Andrea Kimi Antonelli22.5%Kalshi 27%polled, 16s agoKalshi 23%polled, 16s agoKalshi 13%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
22.5%
Not listed
13%
3¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 5 min ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
22.5%
Kalshi 27%polled, 16s agoKalshi 23%polled, 16s agoKalshi 13%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Andrea Kimi Antonelli
- Last price
- 27%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 27¢
- Sell Yes
- 26¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $370 (3.70x)
- Volume
- $15K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Andrea Kimi Antonelli
- Last price
- 23%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 23¢
- Sell Yes
- 22¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $435 (4.35x)
- Volume
- $6K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Andrea Kimi Antonelli
- Last price
- 13%
- As of
- Polled 5 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
- Volume
- $362
Yuki Tsunoda11%11%— bid, 22¢ askpolled, 16s agoNot listed22¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $455 (4.55x)Yuki Tsunoda11%Polymarket 11%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Yuki Tsunoda
11%
11%
— bid, 22¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
Not listed
22¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Yuki Tsunoda
11%
Polymarket 11%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Yuki Tsunoda
- Last price
- 11%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 22¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $455 (4.55x)
- Volume
- $10
Charles Leclerc8.6%11.5%10¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 16s ago5%4¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 5 min ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Charles Leclerc8.6%Polymarket 11.5%polled, 16s agoKalshi 7%polled, 16s agoKalshi 11%polled, 16s agoKalshi 5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Charles Leclerc
8.6%
11.5%
10¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
5%
4¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 5 min ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Charles Leclerc
8.6%
Polymarket 11.5%polled, 16s agoKalshi 7%polled, 16s agoKalshi 11%polled, 16s agoKalshi 5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Charles Leclerc
- Last price
- 11.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Charles Leclerc
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $9K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Charles Leclerc
- Last price
- 11%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
- Volume
- $2K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Charles Leclerc
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 5 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $188
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Indicative only, prices are 5 min old: Buying on Kalshi at 6¢ and selling on Polymarket at 10¢ nets 400 bps before fees.
George Russell7.3%8.5%6¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 16s ago2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 5 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)George Russell7.3%Polymarket 8.5%polled, 16s agoKalshi 9%polled, 16s agoKalshi 9%polled, 16s agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
George Russell
7.3%
8.5%
6¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 5 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
George Russell
7.3%
Polymarket 8.5%polled, 16s agoKalshi 9%polled, 16s agoKalshi 9%polled, 16s agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- George Russell
- Last price
- 8.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
- Volume
- $655
Kalshi
- Contract
- George Russell
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $13K
Kalshi
- Contract
- George Russell
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $4K
Kalshi
- Contract
- George Russell
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 5 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Indicative only, prices are 5 min old: Buying on Kalshi at 5¢ and selling on Polymarket at 6¢ nets 100 bps before fees.
Lewis Hamilton6.9%7.5%6¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 16s ago5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 5 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Lewis Hamilton6.9%Polymarket 7.5%polled, 16s agoKalshi 8%polled, 16s agoKalshi 7%polled, 16s agoKalshi 5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Lewis Hamilton
6.9%
7.5%
6¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 5 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Lewis Hamilton
6.9%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 16s agoKalshi 8%polled, 16s agoKalshi 7%polled, 16s agoKalshi 5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Lewis Hamilton
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $287
Kalshi
- Contract
- Lewis Hamilton
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $17K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Lewis Hamilton
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $5K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Lewis Hamilton
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 5 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $188
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Indicative only, prices are 5 min old: Buying on Kalshi at 5¢ and selling on Polymarket at 6¢ nets 100 bps before fees.
Lando Norris5.5%6.5%6¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 16s ago2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 5 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Lando Norris5.5%Polymarket 6.5%polled, 16s agoKalshi 7%polled, 16s agoKalshi 6%polled, 16s agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Lando Norris
5.5%
6.5%
6¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 5 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Lando Norris
5.5%
Polymarket 6.5%polled, 16s agoKalshi 7%polled, 16s agoKalshi 6%polled, 16s agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Lando Norris
- Last price
- 6.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $261
Kalshi
- Contract
- Lando Norris
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $14K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Lando Norris
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $4K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Lando Norris
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 5 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Indicative only, prices are 5 min old: Buying on Kalshi at 5¢ and selling on Polymarket at 6¢ nets 100 bps before fees.
Oliver Bearman3.5%1.5%— bid, 2.9¢ askpolled, 16s ago11%2¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 5 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Oliver Bearman3.5%Polymarket 1.5%polled, 16s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 16s agoKalshi 1%polled, 16s agoKalshi 11%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Oliver Bearman
3.5%
1.5%
— bid, 2.9¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
11%
2¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 5 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Oliver Bearman
3.5%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 16s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 16s agoKalshi 1%polled, 16s agoKalshi 11%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Oliver Bearman
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2.9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,448 (34.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Oliver Bearman
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Oliver Bearman
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $13
Kalshi
- Contract
- Oliver Bearman
- Last price
- 11%
- As of
- Polled 5 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
- Volume
- $9
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Indicative only, prices are 5 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2.9¢.
Alexander Albon3.1%1.4%— bid, 2.8¢ askpolled, 16s ago9%4¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 5 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Alexander Albon3.1%Polymarket 1.4%polled, 16s agoKalshi 1%polled, 16s agoKalshi 1%polled, 16s agoKalshi 9%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Alexander Albon
3.1%
1.4%
— bid, 2.8¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
9%
4¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 5 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Alexander Albon
3.1%
Polymarket 1.4%polled, 16s agoKalshi 1%polled, 16s agoKalshi 1%polled, 16s agoKalshi 9%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Alexander Albon
- Last price
- 1.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2.8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,571 (35.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Alexander Albon
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $514
Kalshi
- Contract
- Alexander Albon
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $13
Kalshi
- Contract
- Alexander Albon
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled 5 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Indicative only, prices are 5 min old: Buying on Polymarket at 2.8¢ and selling on Kalshi at 4¢ nets 120 bps before fees.
Show 14 more outcomesHide 14 outcomes
Valtteri Bottas3%1.4%— bid, 2.8¢ askpolled, 16s ago9%4¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 5 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Valtteri Bottas3%Polymarket 1.4%polled, 16s agoKalshi 1%polled, 16s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 16s agoKalshi 9%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Valtteri Bottas
3%
1.4%
— bid, 2.8¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
9%
4¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 5 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Valtteri Bottas
3%
Polymarket 1.4%polled, 16s agoKalshi 1%polled, 16s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 16s agoKalshi 9%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Valtteri Bottas
- Last price
- 1.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2.8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,571 (35.7x)
- Volume
- $10
Kalshi
- Contract
- Valtteri Bottas
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $1K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Valtteri Bottas
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Valtteri Bottas
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled 5 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Indicative only, prices are 5 min old: Buying on Polymarket at 2.8¢ and selling on Kalshi at 4¢ nets 120 bps before fees.
Nico Hulkenberg3%1.4%— bid, 2.8¢ askpolled, 16s ago9%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, 5 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Nico Hulkenberg3%Polymarket 1.4%polled, 16s agoKalshi 1%polled, 16s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 16s agoKalshi 9%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Nico Hulkenberg
3%
1.4%
— bid, 2.8¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
9%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 5 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Nico Hulkenberg
3%
Polymarket 1.4%polled, 16s agoKalshi 1%polled, 16s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 16s agoKalshi 9%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Nico Hulkenberg
- Last price
- 1.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2.8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,571 (35.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Nico Hulkenberg
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Nico Hulkenberg
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Nico Hulkenberg
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled 5 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $9
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Fernando Alonso3%1.4%— bid, 2.7¢ askpolled, 16s ago9%4¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 5 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Fernando Alonso3%Polymarket 1.4%polled, 16s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 16s agoKalshi 1%polled, 16s agoKalshi 9%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Fernando Alonso
3%
1.4%
— bid, 2.7¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
9%
4¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 5 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Fernando Alonso
3%
Polymarket 1.4%polled, 16s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 16s agoKalshi 1%polled, 16s agoKalshi 9%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fernando Alonso
- Last price
- 1.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2.7¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,704 (37.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Fernando Alonso
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Fernando Alonso
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $251
Kalshi
- Contract
- Fernando Alonso
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled 5 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Indicative only, prices are 5 min old: Buying on Polymarket at 2.7¢ and selling on Kalshi at 4¢ nets 130 bps before fees.
Carlos Sainz Jr.3%1.3%— bid, 2.6¢ askpolled, 16s ago9%4¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 5 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Carlos Sainz Jr.3%Polymarket 1.3%polled, 16s agoKalshi 1%polled, 16s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 16s agoKalshi 9%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Carlos Sainz Jr.
3%
1.3%
— bid, 2.6¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
9%
4¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 5 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Carlos Sainz Jr.
3%
Polymarket 1.3%polled, 16s agoKalshi 1%polled, 16s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 16s agoKalshi 9%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Carlos Sainz Jr.
- Last price
- 1.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2.6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,846 (38.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Carlos Sainz Jr.
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $1K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Carlos Sainz Jr.
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Carlos Sainz Jr.
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled 5 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Indicative only, prices are 5 min old: Buying on Polymarket at 2.6¢ and selling on Kalshi at 4¢ nets 140 bps before fees.
Lance Stroll2.9%1.4%— bid, 2.8¢ askpolled, 16s ago9%4¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 5 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Lance Stroll2.9%Polymarket 1.4%polled, 16s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 16s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 16s agoKalshi 9%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Lance Stroll
2.9%
1.4%
— bid, 2.8¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
9%
4¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 5 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Lance Stroll
2.9%
Polymarket 1.4%polled, 16s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 16s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 16s agoKalshi 9%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Lance Stroll
- Last price
- 1.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2.8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,571 (35.7x)
- Volume
- $10
Kalshi
- Contract
- Lance Stroll
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Lance Stroll
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Lance Stroll
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled 5 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Indicative only, prices are 5 min old: Buying on Polymarket at 2.8¢ and selling on Kalshi at 4¢ nets 120 bps before fees.
Sergio Perez2.9%1.4%— bid, 2.8¢ askpolled, 16s ago9%4¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 5 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Sergio Perez2.9%Polymarket 1.4%polled, 16s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 16s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 16s agoKalshi 9%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Sergio Perez
2.9%
1.4%
— bid, 2.8¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
9%
4¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 5 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Sergio Perez
2.9%
Polymarket 1.4%polled, 16s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 16s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 16s agoKalshi 9%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Sergio Perez
- Last price
- 1.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2.8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,571 (35.7x)
- Volume
- $10
Kalshi
- Contract
- Sergio Perez
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Sergio Perez
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Sergio Perez
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled 5 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Indicative only, prices are 5 min old: Buying on Polymarket at 2.8¢ and selling on Kalshi at 4¢ nets 120 bps before fees.
Arvid Lindblad2.5%1.5%— bid, 2.9¢ askpolled, 16s ago7%3¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 5 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Arvid Lindblad2.5%Polymarket 1.5%polled, 16s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 16s agoKalshi 1%polled, 16s agoKalshi 7%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Arvid Lindblad
2.5%
1.5%
— bid, 2.9¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
7%
3¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 5 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Arvid Lindblad
2.5%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 16s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 16s agoKalshi 1%polled, 16s agoKalshi 7%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Arvid Lindblad
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2.9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,448 (34.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Arvid Lindblad
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Arvid Lindblad
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $23
Kalshi
- Contract
- Arvid Lindblad
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled 5 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $71
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Indicative only, prices are 5 min old: Buying on Polymarket at 2.9¢ and selling on Kalshi at 3¢ nets 10 bps before fees.
Oscar Piastri2.4%4.3%2¢ bid, 6.5¢ askpolled, 16s ago2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 5 min ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Oscar Piastri2.4%Polymarket 4.3%polled, 16s agoKalshi 1%polled, 16s agoKalshi 2%polled, 16s agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Oscar Piastri
2.4%
4.3%
2¢ bid, 6.5¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 5 min ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Oscar Piastri
2.4%
Polymarket 4.3%polled, 16s agoKalshi 1%polled, 16s agoKalshi 2%polled, 16s agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Oscar Piastri
- Last price
- 4.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,538 (15.4x)
- Volume
- $430
Kalshi
- Contract
- Oscar Piastri
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $4K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Oscar Piastri
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $2K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Oscar Piastri
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 5 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Indicative only, prices are 5 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.
Gabriel Bortoleto2.4%1.4%— bid, 2.8¢ askpolled, 16s ago7%2¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 5 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Gabriel Bortoleto2.4%Polymarket 1.4%polled, 16s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 16s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 16s agoKalshi 7%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Gabriel Bortoleto
2.4%
1.4%
— bid, 2.8¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
7%
2¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 5 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Gabriel Bortoleto
2.4%
Polymarket 1.4%polled, 16s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 16s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 16s agoKalshi 7%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Gabriel Bortoleto
- Last price
- 1.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2.8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,571 (35.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Gabriel Bortoleto
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Gabriel Bortoleto
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Gabriel Bortoleto
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled 5 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Indicative only, prices are 5 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2.8¢.
Isack Hadjar2.2%3.3%1¢ bid, 5.5¢ askpolled, 16s ago2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 5 min ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Isack Hadjar2.2%Polymarket 3.3%polled, 16s agoKalshi 1%polled, 16s agoKalshi 2%polled, 16s agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Isack Hadjar
2.2%
3.3%
1¢ bid, 5.5¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 5 min ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Isack Hadjar
2.2%
Polymarket 3.3%polled, 16s agoKalshi 1%polled, 16s agoKalshi 2%polled, 16s agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Isack Hadjar
- Last price
- 3.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,818 (18.2x)
- Volume
- $235
Kalshi
- Contract
- Isack Hadjar
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $821
Kalshi
- Contract
- Isack Hadjar
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $961
Kalshi
- Contract
- Isack Hadjar
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 5 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Indicative only, prices are 5 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.
Liam Lawson2.1%1.5%— bid, 2.9¢ askpolled, 16s ago5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 5 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Liam Lawson2.1%Polymarket 1.5%polled, 16s agoKalshi 1%polled, 16s agoKalshi 1%polled, 16s agoKalshi 5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Liam Lawson
2.1%
1.5%
— bid, 2.9¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 5 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Liam Lawson
2.1%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 16s agoKalshi 1%polled, 16s agoKalshi 1%polled, 16s agoKalshi 5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Liam Lawson
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2.9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,448 (34.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Liam Lawson
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $94
Kalshi
- Contract
- Liam Lawson
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $200
Kalshi
- Contract
- Liam Lawson
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 5 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $20
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Esteban Ocon2.1%1.4%— bid, 2.8¢ askpolled, 16s ago6%1¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 5 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Esteban Ocon2.1%Polymarket 1.4%polled, 16s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 16s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 16s agoKalshi 6%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Esteban Ocon
2.1%
1.4%
— bid, 2.8¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
6%
1¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 5 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Esteban Ocon
2.1%
Polymarket 1.4%polled, 16s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 16s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 16s agoKalshi 6%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Esteban Ocon
- Last price
- 1.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2.8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,571 (35.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Esteban Ocon
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Esteban Ocon
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Esteban Ocon
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled 5 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Indicative only, prices are 5 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2.8¢.
Pierre Gasly2%1.5%— bid, 2.9¢ askpolled, 16s ago5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 5 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Pierre Gasly2%Polymarket 1.5%polled, 16s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 16s agoKalshi 1%polled, 16s agoKalshi 5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Pierre Gasly
2%
1.5%
— bid, 2.9¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 5 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Pierre Gasly
2%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 16s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 16s agoKalshi 1%polled, 16s agoKalshi 5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Pierre Gasly
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2.9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,448 (34.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Pierre Gasly
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Pierre Gasly
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $467
Kalshi
- Contract
- Pierre Gasly
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 5 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $38
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Franco Colapinto1.6%1.4%— bid, 2.8¢ askpolled, 16s ago4%— bid, 8¢ askpolled, 5 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Franco Colapinto1.6%Polymarket 1.4%polled, 16s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 16s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 16s agoKalshi 4%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Franco Colapinto
1.6%
1.4%
— bid, 2.8¢ ask
polled, 16s ago
4%
— bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 5 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Franco Colapinto
1.6%
Polymarket 1.4%polled, 16s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 16s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 16s agoKalshi 4%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Franco Colapinto
- Last price
- 1.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2.8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,571 (35.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Franco Colapinto
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Franco Colapinto
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Franco Colapinto
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 5 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Indicative gap, prices are 5 min old: Max Verstappen asks 5¢ on Kalshi and bids 34¢ on Polymarket (2900 bps). Recheck both venues before trading. See all spreads
Mostly the same bet: one difference
Where they differ
- Trading closes at different times: Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC on Polymarket and Nov 2, 2026, 2:00 AM UTC on Kalshi.
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle, source: formula1.com
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: FIA
Show full rule comparisonHide full rule comparison
- Trading closes Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC on Polymarket and Nov 2, 2026, 2:00 AM UTC on Kalshi.
Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Max Verstappen
- Kimi Antonelli
- Andrea Kimi Antonelli
Live prices for Max Verstappen
What it costs to buy Yes, what you would get selling it, and the last trade on each exchange, updating as orders change. Hover a status for timing details.
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Polymarket
Open on Polymarket ↗Top of book
ConnectingBest bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels
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Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "United States Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position". Max Verstappen leads at 33.4%. Next is Kimi Antonelli at 24.5%. $140K has traded across 24 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 31, 2026.
This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix, scheduled for Oct 24, 2026. If the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Oct 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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