Combined depth · both venues
Loading both order books…
What the markets expect
Max Verstappen 43.3%
Next is Andrea Kimi Antonelli at 33.3%. Polymarket and Kalshi agree within 1 point on each matched outcome.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Max VerstappenArb43.3%45%44¢ bid, 46¢ askpolled, 27s ago5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 27s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Max VerstappenArb43.3%Polymarket 45%polled, 27s agoKalshi 47%polled, 27s agoKalshi 76%polled, 27s agoKalshi 5%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Max VerstappenArb
43.3%
45%
44¢ bid, 46¢ ask
polled, 27s ago
5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 27s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Max VerstappenArb
43.3%
Polymarket 45%polled, 27s agoKalshi 47%polled, 27s agoKalshi 76%polled, 27s agoKalshi 5%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Max Verstappen
- Last price
- 45%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 46¢
- Sell Yes
- 44¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $217 (2.17x)
- Volume
- $4K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Max Verstappen
- Last price
- 47%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 47¢
- Sell Yes
- 46¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $213 (2.13x)
- Volume
- $28K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Max Verstappen
- Last price
- 76%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 76¢
- Sell Yes
- 75¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $132 (1.32x)
- Volume
- $2K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Max Verstappen
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $150
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Kalshi at 5¢ and selling on Polymarket at 44¢ nets 3900 bps before fees.
Andrea Kimi Antonelli33.3%Not listed13%3¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 27s ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Andrea Kimi Antonelli33.3%Kalshi 26%polled, 27s agoKalshi 68%polled, 27s agoKalshi 13%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
33.3%
Not listed
13%
3¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 27s ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
33.3%
Kalshi 26%polled, 27s agoKalshi 68%polled, 27s agoKalshi 13%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Andrea Kimi Antonelli
- Last price
- 26%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 26¢
- Sell Yes
- 25¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $385 (3.85x)
- Volume
- $23K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Andrea Kimi Antonelli
- Last price
- 68%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 69¢
- Sell Yes
- 65¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $145 (1.45x)
- Volume
- $1K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Andrea Kimi Antonelli
- Last price
- 13%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
- Volume
- $365
Kimi Antonelli26%26%25¢ bid, 27¢ askpolled, 27s agoNot listed27¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $370 (3.70x)Kimi Antonelli26%Polymarket 26%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 27¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kimi Antonelli
26%
26%
25¢ bid, 27¢ ask
polled, 27s ago
Not listed
27¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kimi Antonelli
26%
Polymarket 26%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 27¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Kimi Antonelli
- Last price
- 26%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 27¢
- Sell Yes
- 25¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $370 (3.70x)
- Volume
- $3K
George RussellArb15.6%9%8¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 27s ago2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 27s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)George RussellArb15.6%Polymarket 9%polled, 27s agoKalshi 9%polled, 27s agoKalshi 42%polled, 27s agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
George RussellArb
15.6%
9%
8¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 27s ago
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 27s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
George RussellArb
15.6%
Polymarket 9%polled, 27s agoKalshi 9%polled, 27s agoKalshi 42%polled, 27s agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- George Russell
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $2K
Kalshi
- Contract
- George Russell
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $14K
Kalshi
- Contract
- George Russell
- Last price
- 42%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 42¢
- Sell Yes
- 38¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $238 (2.38x)
- Volume
- $2K
Kalshi
- Contract
- George Russell
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 10¢ and selling on Kalshi at 38¢ nets 2800 bps before fees.
Lewis HamiltonArb14.3%8%7¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 27s ago5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 27s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Lewis HamiltonArb14.3%Polymarket 8%polled, 27s agoKalshi 8%polled, 27s agoKalshi 36%polled, 27s agoKalshi 5%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Lewis HamiltonArb
14.3%
8%
7¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 27s ago
5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 27s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Lewis HamiltonArb
14.3%
Polymarket 8%polled, 27s agoKalshi 8%polled, 27s agoKalshi 36%polled, 27s agoKalshi 5%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Lewis Hamilton
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $221
Kalshi
- Contract
- Lewis Hamilton
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $22K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Lewis Hamilton
- Last price
- 36%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 36¢
- Sell Yes
- 35¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $278 (2.78x)
- Volume
- $4K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Lewis Hamilton
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $206
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 9¢ and selling on Kalshi at 35¢ nets 2600 bps before fees.
Lando NorrisArb14%7.5%7¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 27s ago2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 27s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Lando NorrisArb14%Polymarket 7.5%polled, 27s agoKalshi 10%polled, 27s agoKalshi 36%polled, 27s agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Lando NorrisArb
14%
7.5%
7¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 27s ago
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 27s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Lando NorrisArb
14%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 27s agoKalshi 10%polled, 27s agoKalshi 36%polled, 27s agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Lando Norris
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $284
Kalshi
- Contract
- Lando Norris
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $23K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Lando Norris
- Last price
- 36%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 36¢
- Sell Yes
- 32¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $278 (2.78x)
- Volume
- $1K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Lando Norris
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 8¢ and selling on Kalshi at 32¢ nets 2400 bps before fees.
Charles LeclercArb13.4%7.5%6¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 27s ago5%4¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 27s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Charles LeclercArb13.4%Polymarket 7.5%polled, 27s agoKalshi 7%polled, 27s agoKalshi 34%polled, 27s agoKalshi 5%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Charles LeclercArb
13.4%
7.5%
6¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 27s ago
5%
4¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 27s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Charles LeclercArb
13.4%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 27s agoKalshi 7%polled, 27s agoKalshi 34%polled, 27s agoKalshi 5%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Charles Leclerc
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $108
Kalshi
- Contract
- Charles Leclerc
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $11K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Charles Leclerc
- Last price
- 34%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- 33¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
- Volume
- $1K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Charles Leclerc
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $216
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 9¢ and selling on Kalshi at 33¢ nets 2400 bps before fees.
Isack HadjarArb5.9%2.2%1¢ bid, 3.4¢ askpolled, 27s ago2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 27s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Isack HadjarArb5.9%Polymarket 2.2%polled, 27s agoKalshi 1%polled, 27s agoKalshi 18%polled, 27s agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Isack HadjarArb
5.9%
2.2%
1¢ bid, 3.4¢ ask
polled, 27s ago
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 27s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Isack HadjarArb
5.9%
Polymarket 2.2%polled, 27s agoKalshi 1%polled, 27s agoKalshi 18%polled, 27s agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Isack Hadjar
- Last price
- 2.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,941 (29.4x)
- Volume
- $446
Kalshi
- Contract
- Isack Hadjar
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $2K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Isack Hadjar
- Last price
- 18%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 20¢
- Sell Yes
- 16¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $500 (5.00x)
- Volume
- $723
Kalshi
- Contract
- Isack Hadjar
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 3.4¢ and selling on Kalshi at 16¢ nets 1260 bps before fees.
Oscar PiastriArb5.5%3.3%1.7¢ bid, 4.9¢ askpolled, 27s ago2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 27s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Oscar PiastriArb5.5%Polymarket 3.3%polled, 27s agoKalshi 2%polled, 27s agoKalshi 14%polled, 27s agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Oscar PiastriArb
5.5%
3.3%
1.7¢ bid, 4.9¢ ask
polled, 27s ago
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 27s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Oscar PiastriArb
5.5%
Polymarket 3.3%polled, 27s agoKalshi 2%polled, 27s agoKalshi 14%polled, 27s agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Oscar Piastri
- Last price
- 3.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,041 (20.4x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Oscar Piastri
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $6K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Oscar Piastri
- Last price
- 14%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 18¢
- Sell Yes
- 14¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $556 (5.56x)
- Volume
- $770
Kalshi
- Contract
- Oscar Piastri
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 4.9¢ and selling on Kalshi at 14¢ nets 910 bps before fees.
Oliver Bearman3.8%1.6%0.1¢ bid, 3¢ askpolled, 27s ago11%2¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 27s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Oliver Bearman3.8%Polymarket 1.6%polled, 27s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 27s agoKalshi 2%polled, 27s agoKalshi 11%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Oliver Bearman
3.8%
1.6%
0.1¢ bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 27s ago
11%
2¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 27s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Oliver Bearman
3.8%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 27s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 27s agoKalshi 2%polled, 27s agoKalshi 11%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Oliver Bearman
- Last price
- 1.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Oliver Bearman
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Oliver Bearman
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Oliver Bearman
- Last price
- 11%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
- Volume
- $9
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.
Show 14 more outcomesHide 14 outcomes
Valtteri BottasArb3.6%0.7%0.2¢ bid, 1.2¢ askpolled, 27s ago8.5%4¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 27s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Valtteri BottasArb3.6%Polymarket 0.7%polled, 27s agoKalshi 1%polled, 27s agoKalshi 4%polled, 27s agoKalshi 8.5%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Valtteri BottasArb
3.6%
0.7%
0.2¢ bid, 1.2¢ ask
polled, 27s ago
8.5%
4¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 27s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Valtteri BottasArb
3.6%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 27s agoKalshi 1%polled, 27s agoKalshi 4%polled, 27s agoKalshi 8.5%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Valtteri Bottas
- Last price
- 0.7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $8,333 (83.3x)
- Volume
- $271
Kalshi
- Contract
- Valtteri Bottas
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $1K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Valtteri Bottas
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $351
Kalshi
- Contract
- Valtteri Bottas
- Last price
- 8.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.2¢ and selling on Kalshi at 4¢ nets 280 bps before fees.
Nico Hulkenberg3.4%1.6%0.1¢ bid, 3¢ askpolled, 27s ago9%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, 27s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Nico Hulkenberg3.4%Polymarket 1.6%polled, 27s agoKalshi 1%polled, 27s agoKalshi 2%polled, 27s agoKalshi 9%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Nico Hulkenberg
3.4%
1.6%
0.1¢ bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 27s ago
9%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 27s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Nico Hulkenberg
3.4%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 27s agoKalshi 1%polled, 27s agoKalshi 2%polled, 27s agoKalshi 9%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Nico Hulkenberg
- Last price
- 1.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Nico Hulkenberg
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $94
Kalshi
- Contract
- Nico Hulkenberg
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Nico Hulkenberg
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $9
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.
Alexander AlbonArb3.4%1.5%0.2¢ bid, 2.8¢ askpolled, 27s ago9%4¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 27s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Alexander AlbonArb3.4%Polymarket 1.5%polled, 27s agoKalshi 1%polled, 27s agoKalshi 2%polled, 27s agoKalshi 9%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Alexander AlbonArb
3.4%
1.5%
0.2¢ bid, 2.8¢ ask
polled, 27s ago
9%
4¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 27s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Alexander AlbonArb
3.4%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 27s agoKalshi 1%polled, 27s agoKalshi 2%polled, 27s agoKalshi 9%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Alexander Albon
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,571 (35.7x)
- Volume
- $94
Kalshi
- Contract
- Alexander Albon
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $1K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Alexander Albon
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Alexander Albon
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 2.8¢ and selling on Kalshi at 4¢ nets 120 bps before fees.
Carlos Sainz Jr.Arb3.3%1.6%0.2¢ bid, 3¢ askpolled, 27s ago8.5%4¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 27s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Carlos Sainz Jr.Arb3.3%Polymarket 1.6%polled, 27s agoKalshi 1%polled, 27s agoKalshi 2%polled, 27s agoKalshi 8.5%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Carlos Sainz Jr.Arb
3.3%
1.6%
0.2¢ bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 27s ago
8.5%
4¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 27s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Carlos Sainz Jr.Arb
3.3%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 27s agoKalshi 1%polled, 27s agoKalshi 2%polled, 27s agoKalshi 8.5%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Carlos Sainz Jr.
- Last price
- 1.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $10
Kalshi
- Contract
- Carlos Sainz Jr.
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $1K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Carlos Sainz Jr.
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Carlos Sainz Jr.
- Last price
- 8.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 3¢ and selling on Kalshi at 4¢ nets 100 bps before fees.
Liam Lawson3.1%1.6%0.1¢ bid, 3¢ askpolled, 27s ago5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 27s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Liam Lawson3.1%Polymarket 1.6%polled, 27s agoKalshi 1%polled, 27s agoKalshi 5%polled, 27s agoKalshi 5%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Liam Lawson
3.1%
1.6%
0.1¢ bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 27s ago
5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 27s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Liam Lawson
3.1%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 27s agoKalshi 1%polled, 27s agoKalshi 5%polled, 27s agoKalshi 5%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Liam Lawson
- Last price
- 1.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Liam Lawson
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $94
Kalshi
- Contract
- Liam Lawson
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $507
Kalshi
- Contract
- Liam Lawson
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $20
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.
Fernando AlonsoArb3.1%1.5%0.1¢ bid, 2.9¢ askpolled, 27s ago8.5%4¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 27s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Fernando AlonsoArb3.1%Polymarket 1.5%polled, 27s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 27s agoKalshi 2%polled, 27s agoKalshi 8.5%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Fernando AlonsoArb
3.1%
1.5%
0.1¢ bid, 2.9¢ ask
polled, 27s ago
8.5%
4¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 27s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Fernando AlonsoArb
3.1%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 27s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 27s agoKalshi 2%polled, 27s agoKalshi 8.5%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fernando Alonso
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,448 (34.5x)
- Volume
- $165
Kalshi
- Contract
- Fernando Alonso
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Fernando Alonso
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Fernando Alonso
- Last price
- 8.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 2.9¢ and selling on Kalshi at 4¢ nets 110 bps before fees.
Lance StrollArb2.9%0.6%0.1¢ bid, 1.1¢ askpolled, 27s ago8.5%4¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 27s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Lance StrollArb2.9%Polymarket 0.6%polled, 27s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 27s agoKalshi 2%polled, 27s agoKalshi 8.5%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Lance StrollArb
2.9%
0.6%
0.1¢ bid, 1.1¢ ask
polled, 27s ago
8.5%
4¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 27s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Lance StrollArb
2.9%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 27s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 27s agoKalshi 2%polled, 27s agoKalshi 8.5%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Lance Stroll
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $9,091 (90.9x)
- Volume
- $421
Kalshi
- Contract
- Lance Stroll
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Lance Stroll
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Lance Stroll
- Last price
- 8.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 4¢ nets 290 bps before fees.
Sergio PerezArb2.9%0.6%0.1¢ bid, 1.1¢ askpolled, 27s ago8.5%4¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 27s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Sergio PerezArb2.9%Polymarket 0.6%polled, 27s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 27s agoKalshi 2%polled, 27s agoKalshi 8.5%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Sergio PerezArb
2.9%
0.6%
0.1¢ bid, 1.1¢ ask
polled, 27s ago
8.5%
4¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 27s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Sergio PerezArb
2.9%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 27s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 27s agoKalshi 2%polled, 27s agoKalshi 8.5%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Sergio Perez
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $9,091 (90.9x)
- Volume
- $464
Kalshi
- Contract
- Sergio Perez
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Sergio Perez
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Sergio Perez
- Last price
- 8.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 4¢ nets 290 bps before fees.
Arvid Lindblad2.8%1.6%0.1¢ bid, 3¢ askpolled, 27s ago7%3¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 27s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Arvid Lindblad2.8%Polymarket 1.6%polled, 27s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 27s agoKalshi 2%polled, 27s agoKalshi 7%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Arvid Lindblad
2.8%
1.6%
0.1¢ bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 27s ago
7%
3¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 27s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Arvid Lindblad
2.8%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 27s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 27s agoKalshi 2%polled, 27s agoKalshi 7%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Arvid Lindblad
- Last price
- 1.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Arvid Lindblad
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Arvid Lindblad
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Arvid Lindblad
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $71
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 3¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 3¢.
Pierre Gasly2.8%1.5%0.1¢ bid, 2.9¢ askpolled, 27s ago5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 27s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Pierre Gasly2.8%Polymarket 1.5%polled, 27s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 27s agoKalshi 4%polled, 27s agoKalshi 5%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Pierre Gasly
2.8%
1.5%
0.1¢ bid, 2.9¢ ask
polled, 27s ago
5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 27s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Pierre Gasly
2.8%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 27s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 27s agoKalshi 4%polled, 27s agoKalshi 5%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Pierre Gasly
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,448 (34.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Pierre Gasly
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Pierre Gasly
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $83
Kalshi
- Contract
- Pierre Gasly
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $38
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.
Gabriel Bortoleto2.6%1.5%0.1¢ bid, 2.9¢ askpolled, 27s ago6.5%2¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 27s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Gabriel Bortoleto2.6%Polymarket 1.5%polled, 27s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 27s agoKalshi 2%polled, 27s agoKalshi 6.5%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Gabriel Bortoleto
2.6%
1.5%
0.1¢ bid, 2.9¢ ask
polled, 27s ago
6.5%
2¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 27s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Gabriel Bortoleto
2.6%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 27s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 27s agoKalshi 2%polled, 27s agoKalshi 6.5%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Gabriel Bortoleto
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,448 (34.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Gabriel Bortoleto
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Gabriel Bortoleto
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Gabriel Bortoleto
- Last price
- 6.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.
Franco Colapinto2.5%1.5%0.1¢ bid, 2.9¢ askpolled, 27s ago4%— bid, 8¢ askpolled, 27s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Franco Colapinto2.5%Polymarket 1.5%polled, 27s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 27s agoKalshi 4%polled, 27s agoKalshi 4%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Franco Colapinto
2.5%
1.5%
0.1¢ bid, 2.9¢ ask
polled, 27s ago
4%
— bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 27s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Franco Colapinto
2.5%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 27s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 27s agoKalshi 4%polled, 27s agoKalshi 4%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Franco Colapinto
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,448 (34.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Franco Colapinto
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Franco Colapinto
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $4
Kalshi
- Contract
- Franco Colapinto
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.
Esteban Ocon2.4%1.5%0.1¢ bid, 2.9¢ askpolled, 27s ago5.5%1¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 27s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Esteban Ocon2.4%Polymarket 1.5%polled, 27s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 27s agoKalshi 2%polled, 27s agoKalshi 5.5%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Esteban Ocon
2.4%
1.5%
0.1¢ bid, 2.9¢ ask
polled, 27s ago
5.5%
1¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 27s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Esteban Ocon
2.4%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 27s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 27s agoKalshi 2%polled, 27s agoKalshi 5.5%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Esteban Ocon
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,448 (34.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Esteban Ocon
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Esteban Ocon
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Esteban Ocon
- Last price
- 5.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.
Yuki Tsunoda0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 27s agoNot listed1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Yuki Tsunoda0.5%Polymarket 0.5%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Yuki Tsunoda
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 27s ago
Not listed
1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Yuki Tsunoda
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Yuki Tsunoda
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $15
Possible arbitrage before fees: buy Max Verstappen on Kalshi at 5¢, sell on Polymarket at 44¢ (3900 bps). Check the rules below before trading. See all live spreads
Mostly the same bet: one difference
Where they differ
- Trading closes at different times: Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 PM UTC on Polymarket and Nov 2, 2026, 2:00 AM UTC on Kalshi.
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle, source: formula1.com
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: FIA
Show full rule comparisonHide full rule comparison
- Trading closes Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 PM UTC on Polymarket and Nov 2, 2026, 2:00 AM UTC on Kalshi.
Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Max Verstappen
- Andrea Kimi Antonelli
- Kimi Antonelli
Live prices for Max Verstappen
What it costs to buy Yes, what you would get selling it, and the last trade on each exchange, updating as orders change. Hover a status for timing details.
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Polymarket
Open on Polymarket ↗Top of book
ConnectingBest bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Waiting for the first live quote…
Depth · top 8 levels
Loading snapshot…Recent trades
Loading…Kalshi
Open on Kalshi ↗Top of book
ConnectingBest bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—
Waiting for the first live quote…
Depth · top 8 levels
Loading snapshot…Recent trades
Loading…What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "United States Grand Prix: Driver Winner". Max Verstappen leads at 43.3%. Next is Andrea Kimi Antonelli at 33.3%. $159K has traded across 24 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 1, 2026.
This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix, scheduled for Oct 25, 2026. If the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Nov 1, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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