Combined depth · both venues
Loading both order books…
What the markets expect
Max Verstappen 49.1%
Next is Kimi Antonelli at 34.5%. Polymarket and Kalshi agree within 1 point on each matched outcome.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 4 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Max VerstappenArb49.1%72.5%72¢ bid, 73¢ askpolled, 60s ago34%31¢ bid, 35¢ askpolled, 2 min ago35¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $286 (2.86x)Max VerstappenArb49.1%Polymarket 45%polled, 60s agoPolymarket 72.5%polled, 60s agoKalshi 34%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Max VerstappenArb
49.1%
72.5%
72¢ bid, 73¢ ask
polled, 60s ago
34%
31¢ bid, 35¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
35¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Max VerstappenArb
49.1%
Polymarket 45%polled, 60s agoPolymarket 72.5%polled, 60s agoKalshi 34%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Max Verstappen
- Last price
- 45%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 46¢
- Sell Yes
- 44¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $217 (2.17x)
- Volume
- $4K
Polymarket
- Contract
- Max Verstappen
- Last price
- 72.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 73¢
- Sell Yes
- 72¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $137 (1.37x)
- Volume
- $702
Kalshi
- Contract
- Max Verstappen
- Last price
- 34%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 35¢
- Sell Yes
- 31¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $286 (2.86x)
- Volume
- $542
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Kalshi at 35¢ and selling on Polymarket at 72¢ nets 3700 bps before fees.
Kimi Antonelli34.5%64.5%63¢ bid, 66¢ askpolled, 60s agoNot listed26¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $385 (3.85x)Kimi Antonelli34.5%Polymarket 24.5%polled, 60s agoPolymarket 64.5%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 26¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Kimi Antonelli
34.5%
64.5%
63¢ bid, 66¢ ask
polled, 60s ago
Not listed
26¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Kimi Antonelli
34.5%
Polymarket 24.5%polled, 60s agoPolymarket 64.5%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 26¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Kimi Antonelli
- Last price
- 24.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 26¢
- Sell Yes
- 23¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $385 (3.85x)
- Volume
- $3K
Polymarket
- Contract
- Kimi Antonelli
- Last price
- 64.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 66¢
- Sell Yes
- 63¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $152 (1.52x)
- Volume
- $132
Andrea Kimi Antonelli23%Not listed23%22¢ bid, 24¢ askpolled, 2 min ago24¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $417 (4.17x)Andrea Kimi Antonelli23%Kalshi 23%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
23%
Not listed
23%
22¢ bid, 24¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
24¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Andrea Kimi Antonelli
- Last price
- 23%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 24¢
- Sell Yes
- 22¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $417 (4.17x)
- Volume
- $276
Lando NorrisArb18.9%34%31¢ bid, 37¢ askpolled, 60s ago9%6¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 2 min ago9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Lando NorrisArb18.9%Polymarket 7.5%polled, 60s agoPolymarket 34%polled, 60s agoKalshi 9%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Lando NorrisArb
18.9%
34%
31¢ bid, 37¢ ask
polled, 60s ago
9%
6¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Lando NorrisArb
18.9%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 60s agoPolymarket 34%polled, 60s agoKalshi 9%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Lando Norris
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $310
Polymarket
- Contract
- Lando Norris
- Last price
- 34%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 37¢
- Sell Yes
- 31¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $270 (2.70x)
- Volume
- $421
Kalshi
- Contract
- Lando Norris
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $63
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Kalshi at 9¢ and selling on Polymarket at 31¢ nets 2200 bps before fees.
George RussellArb17%39%38¢ bid, 40¢ askpolled, 60s ago12%11¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 2 min ago9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)George RussellArb17%Polymarket 8.5%polled, 60s agoPolymarket 39%polled, 60s agoKalshi 12%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
George RussellArb
17%
39%
38¢ bid, 40¢ ask
polled, 60s ago
12%
11¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
George RussellArb
17%
Polymarket 8.5%polled, 60s agoPolymarket 39%polled, 60s agoKalshi 12%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- George Russell
- Last price
- 8.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $3K
Polymarket
- Contract
- George Russell
- Last price
- 39%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 40¢
- Sell Yes
- 38¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $250 (2.50x)
- Volume
- $710
Kalshi
- Contract
- George Russell
- Last price
- 12%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
- Volume
- $37
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Kalshi at 12¢ and selling on Polymarket at 38¢ nets 2600 bps before fees.
Yes16.5%16.5%16¢ bid, 17¢ askpolled, 4 min agoNot listed17¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $588 (5.88x)Yes16.5%Polymarket 16.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Yes
16.5%
16.5%
16¢ bid, 17¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
Not listed
17¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Yes
16.5%
Polymarket 16.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Yes
- Last price
- 16.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- 16¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
- Volume
- $2K
Lewis HamiltonArb15.1%35.5%35¢ bid, 36¢ askpolled, 60s ago10%9¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 2 min ago8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Lewis HamiltonArb15.1%Polymarket 7.5%polled, 60s agoPolymarket 35.5%polled, 60s agoKalshi 10%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Lewis HamiltonArb
15.1%
35.5%
35¢ bid, 36¢ ask
polled, 60s ago
10%
9¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Lewis HamiltonArb
15.1%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 60s agoPolymarket 35.5%polled, 60s agoKalshi 10%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Lewis Hamilton
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $601
Polymarket
- Contract
- Lewis Hamilton
- Last price
- 35.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 36¢
- Sell Yes
- 35¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $278 (2.78x)
- Volume
- $189
Kalshi
- Contract
- Lewis Hamilton
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $36
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Kalshi at 10¢ and selling on Polymarket at 35¢ nets 2500 bps before fees.
Charles LeclercArb14.1%32.5%32¢ bid, 33¢ askpolled, 60s ago9%5¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 2 min ago9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Charles LeclercArb14.1%Polymarket 7.5%polled, 60s agoPolymarket 32.5%polled, 60s agoKalshi 9%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Charles LeclercArb
14.1%
32.5%
32¢ bid, 33¢ ask
polled, 60s ago
9%
5¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Charles LeclercArb
14.1%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 60s agoPolymarket 32.5%polled, 60s agoKalshi 9%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Charles Leclerc
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $174
Polymarket
- Contract
- Charles Leclerc
- Last price
- 32.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 33¢
- Sell Yes
- 32¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $303 (3.03x)
- Volume
- $51
Kalshi
- Contract
- Charles Leclerc
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $56
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Kalshi at 9¢ and selling on Polymarket at 32¢ nets 2300 bps before fees.
Oscar PiastriArb7.7%14%13¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, 60s ago6%4¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 2 min ago4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Oscar PiastriArb7.7%Polymarket 3.1%polled, 60s agoPolymarket 14%polled, 60s agoKalshi 6%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Oscar PiastriArb
7.7%
14%
13¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 60s ago
6%
4¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Oscar PiastriArb
7.7%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 60s agoPolymarket 14%polled, 60s agoKalshi 6%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Oscar Piastri
- Last price
- 3.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 2.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Oscar Piastri
- Last price
- 14%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 13¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
- Volume
- $298
Kalshi
- Contract
- Oscar Piastri
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $24
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Kalshi at 6¢ and selling on Polymarket at 13¢ nets 700 bps before fees.
Isack HadjarArb6.8%17.5%15¢ bid, 20¢ askpolled, 60s ago6%1¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 2 min ago3.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $3,226 (32.3x)Isack HadjarArb6.8%Polymarket 1.8%polled, 60s agoPolymarket 17.5%polled, 60s agoKalshi 6%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 3.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,226 (32.3x)
Isack HadjarArb
6.8%
17.5%
15¢ bid, 20¢ ask
polled, 60s ago
6%
1¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
3.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $3,226 (32.3x)
Isack HadjarArb
6.8%
Polymarket 1.8%polled, 60s agoPolymarket 17.5%polled, 60s agoKalshi 6%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 3.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,226 (32.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Isack Hadjar
- Last price
- 1.8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,226 (32.3x)
- Volume
- $446
Polymarket
- Contract
- Isack Hadjar
- Last price
- 17.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 20¢
- Sell Yes
- 15¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $500 (5.00x)
- Volume
- $57
Kalshi
- Contract
- Isack Hadjar
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $13
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Kalshi at 6¢ and selling on Polymarket at 15¢ nets 900 bps before fees.
Show 15 more outcomesHide 15 outcomes
Alexander Albon2.9%5%— bid, 10¢ askpolled, 60s ago2.5%1¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 2 min ago2.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)Alexander Albon2.9%Polymarket 1.3%polled, 60s agoPolymarket 5%polled, 60s agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 2.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)
Alexander Albon
2.9%
5%
— bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 60s ago
2.5%
1¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
2.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)
Alexander Albon
2.9%
Polymarket 1.3%polled, 60s agoPolymarket 5%polled, 60s agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 2.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Alexander Albon
- Last price
- 1.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $4,545 (45.5x)
- Volume
- $134
Polymarket
- Contract
- Alexander Albon
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Alexander Albon
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2.2¢.
Esteban Ocon2.9%5%— bid, 10¢ askpolled, 60s ago2.5%1¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 2 min ago2.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $4,348 (43.5x)Esteban Ocon2.9%Polymarket 1.2%polled, 60s agoPolymarket 5%polled, 60s agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 2.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,348 (43.5x)
Esteban Ocon
2.9%
5%
— bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 60s ago
2.5%
1¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
2.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $4,348 (43.5x)
Esteban Ocon
2.9%
Polymarket 1.2%polled, 60s agoPolymarket 5%polled, 60s agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 2.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,348 (43.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Esteban Ocon
- Last price
- 1.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $4,348 (43.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Esteban Ocon
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Esteban Ocon
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2.3¢.
Franco Colapinto2.9%5%— bid, 10¢ askpolled, 60s ago2.5%1¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 2 min ago2.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $4,348 (43.5x)Franco Colapinto2.9%Polymarket 1.2%polled, 60s agoPolymarket 5%polled, 60s agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 2.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,348 (43.5x)
Franco Colapinto
2.9%
5%
— bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 60s ago
2.5%
1¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
2.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $4,348 (43.5x)
Franco Colapinto
2.9%
Polymarket 1.2%polled, 60s agoPolymarket 5%polled, 60s agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 2.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,348 (43.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Franco Colapinto
- Last price
- 1.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $4,348 (43.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Franco Colapinto
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Franco Colapinto
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2.3¢.
Gabriel Bortoleto2.9%5%— bid, 10¢ askpolled, 60s ago2.5%1¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 2 min ago2.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $4,348 (43.5x)Gabriel Bortoleto2.9%Polymarket 1.2%polled, 60s agoPolymarket 5%polled, 60s agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 2.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,348 (43.5x)
Gabriel Bortoleto
2.9%
5%
— bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 60s ago
2.5%
1¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
2.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $4,348 (43.5x)
Gabriel Bortoleto
2.9%
Polymarket 1.2%polled, 60s agoPolymarket 5%polled, 60s agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 2.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,348 (43.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Gabriel Bortoleto
- Last price
- 1.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $4,348 (43.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Gabriel Bortoleto
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Gabriel Bortoleto
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2.3¢.
Nico Hulkenberg2.9%5%— bid, 10¢ askpolled, 60s ago2.5%1¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 2 min ago2.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $4,348 (43.5x)Nico Hulkenberg2.9%Polymarket 1.2%polled, 60s agoPolymarket 5%polled, 60s agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 2.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,348 (43.5x)
Nico Hulkenberg
2.9%
5%
— bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 60s ago
2.5%
1¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
2.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $4,348 (43.5x)
Nico Hulkenberg
2.9%
Polymarket 1.2%polled, 60s agoPolymarket 5%polled, 60s agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 2.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,348 (43.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Nico Hulkenberg
- Last price
- 1.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $4,348 (43.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Nico Hulkenberg
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Nico Hulkenberg
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2.3¢.
Carlos Sainz Jr.2.7%4.5%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, 60s ago2.5%1¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 2 min ago2.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)Carlos Sainz Jr.2.7%Polymarket 1.2%polled, 60s agoPolymarket 4.5%polled, 60s agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 2.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)
Carlos Sainz Jr.
2.7%
4.5%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 60s ago
2.5%
1¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
2.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)
Carlos Sainz Jr.
2.7%
Polymarket 1.2%polled, 60s agoPolymarket 4.5%polled, 60s agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 2.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Carlos Sainz Jr.
- Last price
- 1.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $4,545 (45.5x)
- Volume
- $10
Polymarket
- Contract
- Carlos Sainz Jr.
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Carlos Sainz Jr.
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2.2¢.
Fernando Alonso2.7%4.5%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, 60s ago2.5%1¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 2 min ago2.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)Fernando Alonso2.7%Polymarket 1.2%polled, 60s agoPolymarket 4.5%polled, 60s agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 2.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)
Fernando Alonso
2.7%
4.5%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 60s ago
2.5%
1¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
2.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)
Fernando Alonso
2.7%
Polymarket 1.2%polled, 60s agoPolymarket 4.5%polled, 60s agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 2.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fernando Alonso
- Last price
- 1.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $4,545 (45.5x)
- Volume
- $165
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fernando Alonso
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $10
Kalshi
- Contract
- Fernando Alonso
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2.2¢.
Sergio Perez2.6%4.8%0.1¢ bid, 9.5¢ askpolled, 60s ago2.5%1¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 2 min ago1.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)Sergio Perez2.6%Polymarket 0.6%polled, 60s agoPolymarket 4.8%polled, 60s agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Sergio Perez
2.6%
4.8%
0.1¢ bid, 9.5¢ ask
polled, 60s ago
2.5%
1¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
1.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Sergio Perez
2.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 60s agoPolymarket 4.8%polled, 60s agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Sergio Perez
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $9,091 (90.9x)
- Volume
- $464
Polymarket
- Contract
- Sergio Perez
- Last price
- 4.8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,053 (10.5x)
- Volume
- $10
Kalshi
- Contract
- Sergio Perez
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1.1¢.
Lance Stroll2.6%4.8%— bid, 9.5¢ askpolled, 60s ago2.5%1¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 2 min ago1.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)Lance Stroll2.6%Polymarket 0.6%polled, 60s agoPolymarket 4.8%polled, 60s agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Lance Stroll
2.6%
4.8%
— bid, 9.5¢ ask
polled, 60s ago
2.5%
1¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
1.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Lance Stroll
2.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 60s agoPolymarket 4.8%polled, 60s agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Lance Stroll
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $9,091 (90.9x)
- Volume
- $421
Polymarket
- Contract
- Lance Stroll
- Last price
- 4.8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9.5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,053 (10.5x)
- Volume
- $10
Kalshi
- Contract
- Lance Stroll
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1.1¢.
Yuki Tsunoda2.3%5%— bid, 10¢ askpolled, 60s agoNot listed1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Yuki Tsunoda2.3%Polymarket 0.5%polled, 60s agoPolymarket 5%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Yuki Tsunoda
2.3%
5%
— bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 60s ago
Not listed
1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Yuki Tsunoda
2.3%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 60s agoPolymarket 5%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Yuki Tsunoda
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $15
Polymarket
- Contract
- Yuki Tsunoda
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $10
Valtteri Bottas2.3%4.8%0.1¢ bid, 9.5¢ askpolled, 60s ago3%1¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 2 min ago1.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)Valtteri Bottas2.3%Polymarket 0.7%polled, 60s agoPolymarket 4.8%polled, 60s agoKalshi 3%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Valtteri Bottas
2.3%
4.8%
0.1¢ bid, 9.5¢ ask
polled, 60s ago
3%
1¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
1.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Valtteri Bottas
2.3%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 60s agoPolymarket 4.8%polled, 60s agoKalshi 3%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Valtteri Bottas
- Last price
- 0.7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $8,333 (83.3x)
- Volume
- $421
Polymarket
- Contract
- Valtteri Bottas
- Last price
- 4.8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,053 (10.5x)
- Volume
- $10
Kalshi
- Contract
- Valtteri Bottas
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $3
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1.2¢.
Arvid Lindblad2.2%2.6%— bid, 5.2¢ askpolled, 60s ago2.5%1¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 2 min ago3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Arvid Lindblad2.2%Polymarket 1.6%polled, 60s agoPolymarket 2.6%polled, 60s agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Arvid Lindblad
2.2%
2.6%
— bid, 5.2¢ ask
polled, 60s ago
2.5%
1¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Arvid Lindblad
2.2%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 60s agoPolymarket 2.6%polled, 60s agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Arvid Lindblad
- Last price
- 1.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Arvid Lindblad
- Last price
- 2.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5.2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,923 (19.2x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Arvid Lindblad
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 3¢.
Liam Lawson2.2%2.6%— bid, 5.2¢ askpolled, 60s ago2.5%1¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 2 min ago3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Liam Lawson2.2%Polymarket 1.6%polled, 60s agoPolymarket 2.6%polled, 60s agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Liam Lawson
2.2%
2.6%
— bid, 5.2¢ ask
polled, 60s ago
2.5%
1¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Liam Lawson
2.2%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 60s agoPolymarket 2.6%polled, 60s agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Liam Lawson
- Last price
- 1.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Liam Lawson
- Last price
- 2.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5.2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,923 (19.2x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Liam Lawson
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 3¢.
Oliver Bearman2.2%2.6%— bid, 5.2¢ askpolled, 60s ago2.5%1¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 2 min ago3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Oliver Bearman2.2%Polymarket 1.6%polled, 60s agoPolymarket 2.6%polled, 60s agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Oliver Bearman
2.2%
2.6%
— bid, 5.2¢ ask
polled, 60s ago
2.5%
1¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Oliver Bearman
2.2%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 60s agoPolymarket 2.6%polled, 60s agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Oliver Bearman
- Last price
- 1.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Oliver Bearman
- Last price
- 2.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5.2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,923 (19.2x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Oliver Bearman
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 3¢.
Pierre Gasly2.2%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 60s ago2.5%1¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 2 min ago2.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)Pierre Gasly2.2%Polymarket 1.5%polled, 60s agoPolymarket 2.5%polled, 60s agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 2.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Pierre Gasly
2.2%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 60s ago
2.5%
1¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
2.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Pierre Gasly
2.2%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 60s agoPolymarket 2.5%polled, 60s agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 2.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Pierre Gasly
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,448 (34.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Pierre Gasly
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Pierre Gasly
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2.9¢.
Possible arbitrage before fees: buy Max Verstappen on Kalshi at 35¢, sell on Polymarket at 72¢ (3700 bps). Check the rules below before trading. See all live spreads
Mostly the same bet: one difference
Where they differ
- Trading closes at different times: Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 PM UTC on Polymarket and Nov 2, 2026, 2:00 AM UTC on Kalshi.
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle, source: formula1.com
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: FIA
Show full rule comparisonHide full rule comparison
- Trading closes Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 PM UTC on Polymarket and Nov 2, 2026, 2:00 AM UTC on Kalshi.
Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Max Verstappen
- Kimi Antonelli
- Andrea Kimi Antonelli
Live prices for Max Verstappen
What it costs to buy Yes, what you would get selling it, and the last trade on each exchange, updating as orders change. Hover a status for timing details.
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Polymarket
Open on Polymarket ↗Top of book
ConnectingBest bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—
Waiting for the first live quote…
Depth · top 8 levels
Loading snapshot…Recent trades
Loading…Kalshi
Open on Kalshi ↗Top of book
ConnectingBest bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—
Waiting for the first live quote…
Depth · top 8 levels
Loading snapshot…Recent trades
Loading…What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "United States Grand Prix Main Race: Fastest Lap". Max Verstappen leads at 49.1%. Next is Kimi Antonelli at 34.5%. $18K has traded across 25 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 2, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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