The Prediction Markets

United States Grand Prix Main Race: Podium Finishers

Starts in 37 hKickoff
Traded
$31K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Andrea Kimi Antonelli 68%

Next is Max Verstappen at 58%. Polymarket and Kalshi agree within 1 point on each matched outcome.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
68%
Kalshi 68%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 68¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Kalshi
Contract
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
Last price
68%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
68¢
Sell Yes
63¢
$100 on Yes pays
$147 (1.47x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Max VerstappenArb
58%
Polymarket 45%polled, 21s agoPolymarket 38%polled, 21s agoPolymarket 73%polled, 21s agoKalshi 76%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 42¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Polymarket
Contract
Max Verstappen
Last price
45%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
44¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Max Verstappen
Last price
38%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Volume
$723
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Max Verstappen
Last price
73%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
72¢
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Volume
$682
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Max Verstappen
Last price
76%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
76¢
Sell Yes
75¢
$100 on Yes pays
$132 (1.32x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 42¢ and selling on Kalshi at 75¢ nets 3300 bps before fees.

Kimi Antonelli
36.1%
Polymarket 26%polled, 21s agoPolymarket 26%polled, 21s agoPolymarket 66.5%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 27¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kimi Antonelli
Last price
26%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Kimi Antonelli
Last price
26%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
31¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$323 (3.23x)
Volume
$12
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Kimi Antonelli
Last price
66.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
68¢
Sell Yes
65¢
$100 on Yes pays
$147 (1.47x)
Volume
$124
Trade this on Polymarket
George RussellArb
24.4%
Polymarket 9%polled, 21s agoPolymarket 7.5%polled, 21s agoPolymarket 39%polled, 21s agoKalshi 42%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
George Russell
Last price
9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
George Russell
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$666
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
George Russell
Last price
39%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Volume
$461
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
George Russell
Last price
42%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 9¢ and selling on Kalshi at 38¢ nets 2900 bps before fees.

Lando NorrisArb
21.8%
Polymarket 7%polled, 21s agoPolymarket 9.5%polled, 21s agoPolymarket 34.5%polled, 21s agoKalshi 36%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lando Norris
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$284
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Lando Norris
Last price
9.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$271
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Lando Norris
Last price
34.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
30¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$421
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Lando Norris
Last price
36%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
32¢
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 8¢ and selling on Kalshi at 32¢ nets 2400 bps before fees.

Lewis HamiltonArb
21.6%
Polymarket 8%polled, 21s agoPolymarket 8%polled, 21s agoPolymarket 34.5%polled, 21s agoKalshi 36%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lewis Hamilton
Last price
8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$221
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Lewis Hamilton
Last price
8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$287
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Lewis Hamilton
Last price
34.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
33¢
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Volume
$134
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Lewis Hamilton
Last price
36%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
35¢
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 9¢ and selling on Kalshi at 35¢ nets 2600 bps before fees.

Charles LeclercArb
21.4%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 21s agoPolymarket 11.5%polled, 21s agoPolymarket 32.5%polled, 21s agoKalshi 34%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Charles Leclerc
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$108
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Charles Leclerc
Last price
11.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Charles Leclerc
Last price
32.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
32¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Volume
$44
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Charles Leclerc
Last price
34%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
33¢
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 9¢ and selling on Kalshi at 33¢ nets 2400 bps before fees.

Oscar PiastriArb
11%
Polymarket 3.3%polled, 21s agoPolymarket 4.3%polled, 21s agoPolymarket 21.5%polled, 21s agoKalshi 15%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Oscar Piastri
Last price
3.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.9¢
Sell Yes
1.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,041 (20.4x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Oscar Piastri
Last price
4.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8.2¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,220 (12.2x)
Volume
$430
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Oscar Piastri
Last price
21.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Volume
$98
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Oscar Piastri
Last price
15%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$770
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 4.9¢ and selling on Kalshi at 15¢ nets 1010 bps before fees.

Isack HadjarArb
10.4%
Polymarket 2.2%polled, 21s agoPolymarket 3.1%polled, 21s agoPolymarket 18.5%polled, 21s agoKalshi 18%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 3.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,941 (29.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Isack Hadjar
Last price
2.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.4¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,941 (29.4x)
Volume
$446
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Isack Hadjar
Last price
3.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.7¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,754 (17.5x)
Volume
$235
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Isack Hadjar
Last price
18.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$57
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Isack Hadjar
Last price
18%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$723
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 3.4¢ and selling on Kalshi at 16¢ nets 1260 bps before fees.

Yuki Tsunoda
4.8%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 21s agoPolymarket 11%polled, 21s agoPolymarket 5%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Yuki Tsunoda
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$15
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Yuki Tsunoda
Last price
11%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Yuki Tsunoda
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 14 more outcomes
Franco Colapinto
3%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 21s agoPolymarket 1.4%polled, 21s agoPolymarket 5%polled, 21s agoKalshi 4%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 2.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Franco Colapinto
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,448 (34.5x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Franco Colapinto
Last price
1.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,571 (35.7x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Franco Colapinto
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Franco Colapinto
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$4
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 4¢.

Liam Lawson
2.9%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 21s agoPolymarket 1.5%polled, 21s agoPolymarket 3.5%polled, 21s agoKalshi 5%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 2.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Liam Lawson
Last price
1.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Liam Lawson
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,448 (34.5x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Liam Lawson
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,449 (14.5x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Liam Lawson
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$507
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 5¢.

Valtteri Bottas
2.7%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 21s agoPolymarket 1.4%polled, 21s agoPolymarket 4.8%polled, 21s agoKalshi 4%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Valtteri Bottas
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.2¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$8,333 (83.3x)
Volume
$271
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Valtteri Bottas
Last price
1.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,571 (35.7x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Valtteri Bottas
Last price
4.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9.5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,053 (10.5x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Valtteri Bottas
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$351
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 4¢.

Carlos Sainz Jr.
2.5%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 21s agoPolymarket 1.4%polled, 21s agoPolymarket 5%polled, 21s agoKalshi 2%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 2.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Carlos Sainz Jr.
Last price
1.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Carlos Sainz Jr.
Last price
1.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,571 (35.7x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Carlos Sainz Jr.
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Carlos Sainz Jr.
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 4¢.

Nico Hulkenberg
2.5%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 21s agoPolymarket 1.4%polled, 21s agoPolymarket 5%polled, 21s agoKalshi 2%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 2.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Nico Hulkenberg
Last price
1.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Nico Hulkenberg
Last price
1.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,571 (35.7x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Nico Hulkenberg
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Nico Hulkenberg
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 4¢.

Alexander Albon
2.5%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 21s agoPolymarket 1.4%polled, 21s agoPolymarket 5%polled, 21s agoKalshi 2%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 2.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Alexander Albon
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.8¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,571 (35.7x)
Volume
$94
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Alexander Albon
Last price
1.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,571 (35.7x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Alexander Albon
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Alexander Albon
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 4¢.

Esteban Ocon
2.5%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 21s agoPolymarket 1.4%polled, 21s agoPolymarket 5%polled, 21s agoKalshi 2%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 2.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Esteban Ocon
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,448 (34.5x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Esteban Ocon
Last price
1.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,571 (35.7x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Esteban Ocon
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Esteban Ocon
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 4¢.

Fernando Alonso
2.5%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 21s agoPolymarket 1.4%polled, 21s agoPolymarket 5%polled, 21s agoKalshi 2%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 2.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Fernando Alonso
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,448 (34.5x)
Volume
$165
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Fernando Alonso
Last price
1.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,571 (35.7x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Fernando Alonso
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Fernando Alonso
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 4¢.

Gabriel Bortoleto
2.5%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 21s agoPolymarket 1.4%polled, 21s agoPolymarket 5%polled, 21s agoKalshi 2%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 2.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gabriel Bortoleto
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,448 (34.5x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Gabriel Bortoleto
Last price
1.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,571 (35.7x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Gabriel Bortoleto
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Gabriel Bortoleto
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 4¢.

Pierre Gasly
2.4%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 21s agoPolymarket 1.5%polled, 21s agoPolymarket 2.5%polled, 21s agoKalshi 4%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 2.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Pierre Gasly
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,448 (34.5x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Pierre Gasly
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,448 (34.5x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Pierre Gasly
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Pierre Gasly
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$83
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 4¢.

Oliver Bearman
2.3%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 21s agoPolymarket 1.5%polled, 21s agoPolymarket 4%polled, 21s agoKalshi 2%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 2.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Oliver Bearman
Last price
1.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Oliver Bearman
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,448 (34.5x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Oliver Bearman
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Oliver Bearman
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 4¢.

Lance Stroll
2.2%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 21s agoPolymarket 1.4%polled, 21s agoPolymarket 4.8%polled, 21s agoKalshi 2%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lance Stroll
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$9,091 (90.9x)
Volume
$421
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Lance Stroll
Last price
1.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,571 (35.7x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Lance Stroll
Last price
4.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9.5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,053 (10.5x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Lance Stroll
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 4¢.

Sergio Perez
2.2%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 21s agoPolymarket 1.4%polled, 21s agoPolymarket 4.8%polled, 21s agoKalshi 2%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sergio Perez
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$9,091 (90.9x)
Volume
$464
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Sergio Perez
Last price
1.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,571 (35.7x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Sergio Perez
Last price
4.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9.5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,053 (10.5x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Sergio Perez
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 4¢.

Arvid Lindblad
2%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 21s agoPolymarket 1.5%polled, 21s agoPolymarket 3.1%polled, 21s agoKalshi 2%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 2.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Arvid Lindblad
Last price
1.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Arvid Lindblad
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,448 (34.5x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Arvid Lindblad
Last price
3.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,613 (16.1x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Arvid Lindblad
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 4¢.

Possible arbitrage before fees: buy Max Verstappen on Polymarket at 42¢, sell on Kalshi at 75¢ (3300 bps). Check the rules below before trading. See all live spreads

Mostly the same bet: one difference

Where they differ

  • Trading closes at different times: Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 PM UTC on Polymarket and Nov 2, 2026, 2:00 AM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: formula1.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: FIA
Show full rule comparison
  • Trading closes Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 PM UTC on Polymarket and Nov 2, 2026, 2:00 AM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Andrea Kimi Antonelli
  • Max Verstappen
  • Kimi Antonelli

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Andrea Kimi Antonelli for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "United States Grand Prix Main Race: Podium Finishers". Andrea Kimi Antonelli leads at 68%. Next is Max Verstappen at 58%. $31K has traded across 24 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 2, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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