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What the markets expect
Andrea Kimi Antonelli 89%
Next is Max Verstappen at 60.5%. Polymarket and Kalshi agree within 1 point on each matched outcome.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Andrea Kimi Antonelli89%Not listed89%86¢ bid, 92¢ askpolled, 1 min ago92¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $109 (1.09x)Andrea Kimi Antonelli89%Kalshi 89%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
89%
Not listed
89%
86¢ bid, 92¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
92¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
89%
Kalshi 89%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Andrea Kimi Antonelli
- Last price
- 89%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 92¢
- Sell Yes
- 86¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $109 (1.09x)
Max VerstappenArb60.5%73%72¢ bid, 74¢ askpolled, 19s ago86%85¢ bid, 91¢ askpolled, 1 min ago42¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $238 (2.38x)Max VerstappenArb60.5%Polymarket 45%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 38%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 73%polled, 19s agoKalshi 86%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 42¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Max VerstappenArb
60.5%
73%
72¢ bid, 74¢ ask
polled, 19s ago
86%
85¢ bid, 91¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
42¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Max VerstappenArb
60.5%
Polymarket 45%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 38%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 73%polled, 19s agoKalshi 86%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 42¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Max Verstappen
- Last price
- 45%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 46¢
- Sell Yes
- 44¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $217 (2.17x)
- Volume
- $4K
Polymarket
- Contract
- Max Verstappen
- Last price
- 38%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 42¢
- Sell Yes
- 34¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $238 (2.38x)
- Volume
- $723
Polymarket
- Contract
- Max Verstappen
- Last price
- 73%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 74¢
- Sell Yes
- 72¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $135 (1.35x)
- Volume
- $682
Kalshi
- Contract
- Max Verstappen
- Last price
- 86%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 91¢
- Sell Yes
- 85¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $110 (1.10x)
- Volume
- $51
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 42¢ and selling on Kalshi at 85¢ nets 4300 bps before fees.
George RussellArb36.1%39%38¢ bid, 40¢ askpolled, 19s ago89%85¢ bid, 93¢ askpolled, 1 min ago9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)George RussellArb36.1%Polymarket 9%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 7.5%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 39%polled, 19s agoKalshi 89%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
George RussellArb
36.1%
39%
38¢ bid, 40¢ ask
polled, 19s ago
89%
85¢ bid, 93¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
George RussellArb
36.1%
Polymarket 9%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 7.5%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 39%polled, 19s agoKalshi 89%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- George Russell
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $2K
Polymarket
- Contract
- George Russell
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $666
Polymarket
- Contract
- George Russell
- Last price
- 39%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 40¢
- Sell Yes
- 38¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $250 (2.50x)
- Volume
- $461
Kalshi
- Contract
- George Russell
- Last price
- 89%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 93¢
- Sell Yes
- 85¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $108 (1.08x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 9¢ and selling on Kalshi at 85¢ nets 7600 bps before fees.
Kimi Antonelli36.1%66.5%65¢ bid, 68¢ askpolled, 19s agoNot listed27¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $370 (3.70x)Kimi Antonelli36.1%Polymarket 26%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 26%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 66.5%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 27¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kimi Antonelli
36.1%
66.5%
65¢ bid, 68¢ ask
polled, 19s ago
Not listed
27¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kimi Antonelli
36.1%
Polymarket 26%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 26%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 66.5%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 27¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Kimi Antonelli
- Last price
- 26%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 27¢
- Sell Yes
- 25¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $370 (3.70x)
- Volume
- $3K
Polymarket
- Contract
- Kimi Antonelli
- Last price
- 26%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 31¢
- Sell Yes
- 21¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $323 (3.23x)
- Volume
- $12
Polymarket
- Contract
- Kimi Antonelli
- Last price
- 66.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 68¢
- Sell Yes
- 65¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $147 (1.47x)
- Volume
- $124
Lando NorrisArb34.9%35%30¢ bid, 40¢ askpolled, 19s ago87.5%84¢ bid, 91¢ askpolled, 1 min ago8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Lando NorrisArb34.9%Polymarket 7.5%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 9.5%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 35%polled, 19s agoKalshi 87.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Lando NorrisArb
34.9%
35%
30¢ bid, 40¢ ask
polled, 19s ago
87.5%
84¢ bid, 91¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Lando NorrisArb
34.9%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 9.5%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 35%polled, 19s agoKalshi 87.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Lando Norris
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $284
Polymarket
- Contract
- Lando Norris
- Last price
- 9.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
- Volume
- $271
Polymarket
- Contract
- Lando Norris
- Last price
- 35%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 40¢
- Sell Yes
- 30¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $250 (2.50x)
- Volume
- $421
Kalshi
- Contract
- Lando Norris
- Last price
- 87.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 91¢
- Sell Yes
- 84¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $110 (1.10x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 8¢ and selling on Kalshi at 84¢ nets 7600 bps before fees.
Charles LeclercArb34.6%32.5%32¢ bid, 33¢ askpolled, 19s ago87%83¢ bid, 91¢ askpolled, 1 min ago9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Charles LeclercArb34.6%Polymarket 7.5%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 11.5%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 32.5%polled, 19s agoKalshi 87%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Charles LeclercArb
34.6%
32.5%
32¢ bid, 33¢ ask
polled, 19s ago
87%
83¢ bid, 91¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Charles LeclercArb
34.6%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 11.5%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 32.5%polled, 19s agoKalshi 87%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Charles Leclerc
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $108
Polymarket
- Contract
- Charles Leclerc
- Last price
- 11.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Charles Leclerc
- Last price
- 32.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 33¢
- Sell Yes
- 32¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $303 (3.03x)
- Volume
- $44
Kalshi
- Contract
- Charles Leclerc
- Last price
- 87%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 91¢
- Sell Yes
- 83¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $110 (1.10x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 9¢ and selling on Kalshi at 83¢ nets 7400 bps before fees.
Lewis HamiltonArb34.6%34.5%33¢ bid, 36¢ askpolled, 19s ago88%83¢ bid, 91¢ askpolled, 1 min ago9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Lewis HamiltonArb34.6%Polymarket 8%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 8%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 34.5%polled, 19s agoKalshi 88%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Lewis HamiltonArb
34.6%
34.5%
33¢ bid, 36¢ ask
polled, 19s ago
88%
83¢ bid, 91¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Lewis HamiltonArb
34.6%
Polymarket 8%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 8%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 34.5%polled, 19s agoKalshi 88%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Lewis Hamilton
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $221
Polymarket
- Contract
- Lewis Hamilton
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $287
Polymarket
- Contract
- Lewis Hamilton
- Last price
- 34.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 36¢
- Sell Yes
- 33¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $278 (2.78x)
- Volume
- $134
Kalshi
- Contract
- Lewis Hamilton
- Last price
- 88%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 91¢
- Sell Yes
- 83¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $110 (1.10x)
- Volume
- $7
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 9¢ and selling on Kalshi at 83¢ nets 7400 bps before fees.
Oscar PiastriArb28.8%21.5%17¢ bid, 26¢ askpolled, 19s ago86%82¢ bid, 90¢ askpolled, 1 min ago4.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)Oscar PiastriArb28.8%Polymarket 3.3%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 4.3%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 21.5%polled, 19s agoKalshi 86%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Oscar PiastriArb
28.8%
21.5%
17¢ bid, 26¢ ask
polled, 19s ago
86%
82¢ bid, 90¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
4.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Oscar PiastriArb
28.8%
Polymarket 3.3%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 4.3%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 21.5%polled, 19s agoKalshi 86%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Oscar Piastri
- Last price
- 3.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,041 (20.4x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Oscar Piastri
- Last price
- 4.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,220 (12.2x)
- Volume
- $430
Polymarket
- Contract
- Oscar Piastri
- Last price
- 21.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 26¢
- Sell Yes
- 17¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $385 (3.85x)
- Volume
- $98
Kalshi
- Contract
- Oscar Piastri
- Last price
- 86%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 90¢
- Sell Yes
- 82¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $111 (1.11x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 4.9¢ and selling on Kalshi at 82¢ nets 7710 bps before fees.
Isack HadjarArb27.9%18.5%15¢ bid, 22¢ askpolled, 19s ago88%81¢ bid, 88¢ askpolled, 1 min ago3.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,941 (29.4x)Isack HadjarArb27.9%Polymarket 2.2%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 3.1%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 18.5%polled, 19s agoKalshi 88%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,941 (29.4x)
Isack HadjarArb
27.9%
18.5%
15¢ bid, 22¢ ask
polled, 19s ago
88%
81¢ bid, 88¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
3.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,941 (29.4x)
Isack HadjarArb
27.9%
Polymarket 2.2%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 3.1%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 18.5%polled, 19s agoKalshi 88%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,941 (29.4x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Isack Hadjar
- Last price
- 2.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,941 (29.4x)
- Volume
- $446
Polymarket
- Contract
- Isack Hadjar
- Last price
- 3.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,754 (17.5x)
- Volume
- $235
Polymarket
- Contract
- Isack Hadjar
- Last price
- 18.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 22¢
- Sell Yes
- 15¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $455 (4.55x)
- Volume
- $57
Kalshi
- Contract
- Isack Hadjar
- Last price
- 88%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 88¢
- Sell Yes
- 81¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $114 (1.14x)
- Volume
- $1
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 3.4¢ and selling on Kalshi at 81¢ nets 7760 bps before fees.
Liam LawsonArb17.4%3.5%— bid, 6.9¢ askpolled, 19s ago63%56¢ bid, 63¢ askpolled, 1 min ago2.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)Liam LawsonArb17.4%Polymarket 1.6%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 1.5%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 3.5%polled, 19s agoKalshi 63%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Liam LawsonArb
17.4%
3.5%
— bid, 6.9¢ ask
polled, 19s ago
63%
56¢ bid, 63¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
2.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Liam LawsonArb
17.4%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 1.5%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 3.5%polled, 19s agoKalshi 63%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Liam Lawson
- Last price
- 1.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Liam Lawson
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2.9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,448 (34.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Liam Lawson
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6.9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,449 (14.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Liam Lawson
- Last price
- 63%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 63¢
- Sell Yes
- 56¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $159 (1.59x)
- Volume
- $258
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 2.9¢ and selling on Kalshi at 56¢ nets 5310 bps before fees.
Show 14 more outcomesHide 14 outcomes
Pierre GaslyArb14.9%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 19s ago54%50¢ bid, 54¢ askpolled, 1 min ago2.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)Pierre GaslyArb14.9%Polymarket 1.5%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 1.5%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 2.5%polled, 19s agoKalshi 54%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Pierre GaslyArb
14.9%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 19s ago
54%
50¢ bid, 54¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
2.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Pierre GaslyArb
14.9%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 1.5%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 2.5%polled, 19s agoKalshi 54%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Pierre Gasly
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,448 (34.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Pierre Gasly
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2.9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,448 (34.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Pierre Gasly
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Pierre Gasly
- Last price
- 54%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 54¢
- Sell Yes
- 50¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $185 (1.85x)
- Volume
- $71
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 2.9¢ and selling on Kalshi at 50¢ nets 4710 bps before fees.
Arvid LindbladArb14.3%3.1%— bid, 6.2¢ askpolled, 19s ago51%48¢ bid, 51¢ askpolled, 1 min ago2.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)Arvid LindbladArb14.3%Polymarket 1.6%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 1.5%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 3.1%polled, 19s agoKalshi 51%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Arvid LindbladArb
14.3%
3.1%
— bid, 6.2¢ ask
polled, 19s ago
51%
48¢ bid, 51¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
2.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Arvid LindbladArb
14.3%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 1.5%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 3.1%polled, 19s agoKalshi 51%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Arvid Lindblad
- Last price
- 1.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Arvid Lindblad
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2.9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,448 (34.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Arvid Lindblad
- Last price
- 3.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6.2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,613 (16.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Arvid Lindblad
- Last price
- 51%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 51¢
- Sell Yes
- 48¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $196 (1.96x)
- Volume
- $215
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 2.9¢ and selling on Kalshi at 48¢ nets 4510 bps before fees.
Franco ColapintoArb13.5%5%— bid, 10¢ askpolled, 19s ago46%38¢ bid, 46¢ askpolled, 1 min ago2.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)Franco ColapintoArb13.5%Polymarket 1.5%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 1.4%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 5%polled, 19s agoKalshi 46%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Franco ColapintoArb
13.5%
5%
— bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 19s ago
46%
38¢ bid, 46¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
2.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Franco ColapintoArb
13.5%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 1.4%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 5%polled, 19s agoKalshi 46%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Franco Colapinto
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,448 (34.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Franco Colapinto
- Last price
- 1.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2.8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,571 (35.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Franco Colapinto
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Franco Colapinto
- Last price
- 46%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 46¢
- Sell Yes
- 38¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $217 (2.17x)
- Volume
- $44
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 2.8¢ and selling on Kalshi at 38¢ nets 3520 bps before fees.
Nico HulkenbergArb9%5%— bid, 10¢ askpolled, 19s ago28%20¢ bid, 28¢ askpolled, 1 min ago2.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)Nico HulkenbergArb9%Polymarket 1.6%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 1.4%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 5%polled, 19s agoKalshi 28%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Nico HulkenbergArb
9%
5%
— bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 19s ago
28%
20¢ bid, 28¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
2.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Nico HulkenbergArb
9%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 1.4%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 5%polled, 19s agoKalshi 28%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Nico Hulkenberg
- Last price
- 1.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Nico Hulkenberg
- Last price
- 1.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2.8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,571 (35.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Nico Hulkenberg
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Nico Hulkenberg
- Last price
- 28%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 28¢
- Sell Yes
- 20¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $357 (3.57x)
- Volume
- $23
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 2.8¢ and selling on Kalshi at 20¢ nets 1720 bps before fees.
Gabriel BortoletoArb9%5%— bid, 10¢ askpolled, 19s ago28%25¢ bid, 32¢ askpolled, 1 min ago2.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)Gabriel BortoletoArb9%Polymarket 1.5%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 1.4%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 5%polled, 19s agoKalshi 28%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Gabriel BortoletoArb
9%
5%
— bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 19s ago
28%
25¢ bid, 32¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
2.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Gabriel BortoletoArb
9%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 1.4%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 5%polled, 19s agoKalshi 28%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Gabriel Bortoleto
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,448 (34.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Gabriel Bortoleto
- Last price
- 1.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2.8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,571 (35.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Gabriel Bortoleto
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Gabriel Bortoleto
- Last price
- 28%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 32¢
- Sell Yes
- 25¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $313 (3.13x)
- Volume
- $200
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 2.8¢ and selling on Kalshi at 25¢ nets 2220 bps before fees.
Fernando AlonsoArb7%5%— bid, 10¢ askpolled, 19s ago20%14¢ bid, 20¢ askpolled, 1 min ago2.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)Fernando AlonsoArb7%Polymarket 1.5%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 1.4%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 5%polled, 19s agoKalshi 20%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Fernando AlonsoArb
7%
5%
— bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 19s ago
20%
14¢ bid, 20¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
2.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Fernando AlonsoArb
7%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 1.4%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 5%polled, 19s agoKalshi 20%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fernando Alonso
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,448 (34.5x)
- Volume
- $165
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fernando Alonso
- Last price
- 1.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2.8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,571 (35.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fernando Alonso
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $10
Kalshi
- Contract
- Fernando Alonso
- Last price
- 20%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 20¢
- Sell Yes
- 14¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $500 (5.00x)
- Volume
- $1K
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 2.8¢ and selling on Kalshi at 14¢ nets 1120 bps before fees.
Oliver BearmanArb6.3%4%— bid, 8¢ askpolled, 19s ago18%17¢ bid, 18¢ askpolled, 1 min ago2.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)Oliver BearmanArb6.3%Polymarket 1.6%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 1.5%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 4%polled, 19s agoKalshi 18%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Oliver BearmanArb
6.3%
4%
— bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 19s ago
18%
17¢ bid, 18¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
2.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Oliver BearmanArb
6.3%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 1.5%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 4%polled, 19s agoKalshi 18%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Oliver Bearman
- Last price
- 1.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Oliver Bearman
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2.9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,448 (34.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Oliver Bearman
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Oliver Bearman
- Last price
- 18%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 18¢
- Sell Yes
- 17¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $556 (5.56x)
- Volume
- $275
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 2.9¢ and selling on Kalshi at 17¢ nets 1410 bps before fees.
Esteban OconArb5.6%5%— bid, 10¢ askpolled, 19s ago14.5%12¢ bid, 17¢ askpolled, 1 min ago2.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)Esteban OconArb5.6%Polymarket 1.5%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 1.4%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 5%polled, 19s agoKalshi 14.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Esteban OconArb
5.6%
5%
— bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 19s ago
14.5%
12¢ bid, 17¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
2.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Esteban OconArb
5.6%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 1.4%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 5%polled, 19s agoKalshi 14.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Esteban Ocon
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,448 (34.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Esteban Ocon
- Last price
- 1.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2.8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,571 (35.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Esteban Ocon
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Esteban Ocon
- Last price
- 14.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 2.8¢ and selling on Kalshi at 12¢ nets 920 bps before fees.
Carlos Sainz Jr.Arb5%5%— bid, 10¢ askpolled, 19s ago12%3¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 1 min ago2.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)Carlos Sainz Jr.Arb5%Polymarket 1.6%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 1.4%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 5%polled, 19s agoKalshi 12%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Carlos Sainz Jr.Arb
5%
5%
— bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 19s ago
12%
3¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
2.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Carlos Sainz Jr.Arb
5%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 1.4%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 5%polled, 19s agoKalshi 12%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Carlos Sainz Jr.
- Last price
- 1.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $10
Polymarket
- Contract
- Carlos Sainz Jr.
- Last price
- 1.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2.8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,571 (35.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Carlos Sainz Jr.
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Carlos Sainz Jr.
- Last price
- 12%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
- Volume
- $40
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 2.8¢ and selling on Kalshi at 3¢ nets 20 bps before fees.
Yuki Tsunoda4.8%5%— bid, 10¢ askpolled, 19s agoNot listed1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Yuki Tsunoda4.8%Polymarket 0.5%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 11%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 5%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Yuki Tsunoda
4.8%
5%
— bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 19s ago
Not listed
1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Yuki Tsunoda
4.8%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 11%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 5%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Yuki Tsunoda
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $15
Polymarket
- Contract
- Yuki Tsunoda
- Last price
- 11%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 22¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $455 (4.55x)
- Volume
- $10
Polymarket
- Contract
- Yuki Tsunoda
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $10
Alexander AlbonArb4.7%5%— bid, 10¢ askpolled, 19s ago11%5¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 1 min ago2.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)Alexander AlbonArb4.7%Polymarket 1.5%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 1.4%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 5%polled, 19s agoKalshi 11%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Alexander AlbonArb
4.7%
5%
— bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 19s ago
11%
5¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
2.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Alexander AlbonArb
4.7%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 1.4%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 5%polled, 19s agoKalshi 11%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Alexander Albon
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,571 (35.7x)
- Volume
- $94
Polymarket
- Contract
- Alexander Albon
- Last price
- 1.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2.8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,571 (35.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Alexander Albon
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Alexander Albon
- Last price
- 11%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
- Volume
- $10
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 2.8¢ and selling on Kalshi at 5¢ nets 220 bps before fees.
Lance StrollArb2.7%4.8%— bid, 9.5¢ askpolled, 19s ago4%4¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 1 min ago1.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)Lance StrollArb2.7%Polymarket 0.6%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 1.4%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 4.8%polled, 19s agoKalshi 4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Lance StrollArb
2.7%
4.8%
— bid, 9.5¢ ask
polled, 19s ago
4%
4¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
1.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Lance StrollArb
2.7%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 1.4%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 4.8%polled, 19s agoKalshi 4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Lance Stroll
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $9,091 (90.9x)
- Volume
- $421
Polymarket
- Contract
- Lance Stroll
- Last price
- 1.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2.8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,571 (35.7x)
- Volume
- $10
Polymarket
- Contract
- Lance Stroll
- Last price
- 4.8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9.5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,053 (10.5x)
- Volume
- $10
Kalshi
- Contract
- Lance Stroll
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $11
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 4¢ nets 290 bps before fees.
Valtteri Bottas2.5%4.8%— bid, 9.5¢ askpolled, 19s ago3%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 1 min ago1.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)Valtteri Bottas2.5%Polymarket 0.7%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 1.4%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 4.8%polled, 19s agoKalshi 3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Valtteri Bottas
2.5%
4.8%
— bid, 9.5¢ ask
polled, 19s ago
3%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
1.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Valtteri Bottas
2.5%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 1.4%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 4.8%polled, 19s agoKalshi 3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Valtteri Bottas
- Last price
- 0.7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $8,333 (83.3x)
- Volume
- $271
Polymarket
- Contract
- Valtteri Bottas
- Last price
- 1.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2.8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,571 (35.7x)
- Volume
- $10
Polymarket
- Contract
- Valtteri Bottas
- Last price
- 4.8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9.5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,053 (10.5x)
- Volume
- $10
Kalshi
- Contract
- Valtteri Bottas
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 6¢.
Sergio Perez2.4%4.8%— bid, 9.5¢ askpolled, 19s ago3%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 1 min ago1.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)Sergio Perez2.4%Polymarket 0.6%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 1.4%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 4.8%polled, 19s agoKalshi 3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Sergio Perez
2.4%
4.8%
— bid, 9.5¢ ask
polled, 19s ago
3%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
1.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Sergio Perez
2.4%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 1.4%polled, 19s agoPolymarket 4.8%polled, 19s agoKalshi 3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Sergio Perez
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $9,091 (90.9x)
- Volume
- $464
Polymarket
- Contract
- Sergio Perez
- Last price
- 1.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2.8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,571 (35.7x)
- Volume
- $10
Polymarket
- Contract
- Sergio Perez
- Last price
- 4.8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9.5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,053 (10.5x)
- Volume
- $10
Kalshi
- Contract
- Sergio Perez
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 6¢.
Possible arbitrage before fees: buy Isack Hadjar on Polymarket at 3.4¢, sell on Kalshi at 81¢ (7760 bps). Check the rules below before trading. See all live spreads
Mostly the same bet: one difference
Where they differ
- Trading closes at different times: Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 PM UTC on Polymarket and Nov 2, 2026, 2:00 AM UTC on Kalshi.
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle, source: formula1.com
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: FIA
Show full rule comparisonHide full rule comparison
- Trading closes Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 PM UTC on Polymarket and Nov 2, 2026, 2:00 AM UTC on Kalshi.
Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Andrea Kimi Antonelli
- Max Verstappen
- George Russell
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Polymarket
Polymarket doesn’t list Andrea Kimi Antonelli for this event.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "United States Grand Prix Main Race: Top 10 Finishers". Andrea Kimi Antonelli leads at 89%. Next is Max Verstappen at 60.5%. $18K has traded across 24 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 2, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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