The Prediction Markets

United States Grand Prix Main Race: Top 5 Finishers

Starts in 45 hKickoff
Traded
$15K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Andrea Kimi Antonelli 85%

Next is Max Verstappen at 60.4%. Polymarket and Kalshi agree within 1 point on each matched outcome.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
85%
Kalshi 85%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Kalshi
Contract
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
Last price
85%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
77¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$7
Trade this on Kalshi
Max VerstappenArb
60.4%
Polymarket 44.5%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 37.5%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 72.5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 87%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 41¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Polymarket
Contract
Max Verstappen
Last price
44.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
44¢
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Max Verstappen
Last price
37.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
41¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$244 (2.44x)
Volume
$690
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Max Verstappen
Last price
72.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
73¢
Sell Yes
72¢
$100 on Yes pays
$137 (1.37x)
Volume
$482
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Max Verstappen
Last price
87%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
87¢
Sell Yes
82¢
$100 on Yes pays
$115 (1.15x)
Volume
$132
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 41¢ and selling on Kalshi at 82¢ nets 4100 bps before fees.

Kimi Antonelli
34.4%
Polymarket 24%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 24.5%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 65%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kimi Antonelli
Last price
24%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
23¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Kimi Antonelli
Last price
24.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Volume
$12
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Kimi Antonelli
Last price
65%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
66¢
Sell Yes
64¢
$100 on Yes pays
$152 (1.52x)
Volume
$95
Trade this on Polymarket
George RussellArb
31.1%
Polymarket 9%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 8.5%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 39%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 68%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
George Russell
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
George Russell
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$655
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
George Russell
Last price
39%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Volume
$461
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
George Russell
Last price
68%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
70¢
Sell Yes
62¢
$100 on Yes pays
$143 (1.43x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 10¢ and selling on Kalshi at 62¢ nets 5200 bps before fees.

Lewis HamiltonArb
29.4%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 7.5%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 34.5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 68%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lewis Hamilton
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$210
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Lewis Hamilton
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$287
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Lewis Hamilton
Last price
34.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
33¢
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Volume
$35
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Lewis Hamilton
Last price
68%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
68¢
Sell Yes
60¢
$100 on Yes pays
$147 (1.47x)
Volume
$46
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 8¢ and selling on Kalshi at 60¢ nets 5200 bps before fees.

Charles LeclercArb
27.1%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 11.5%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 34.5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 55%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Charles Leclerc
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$108
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Charles Leclerc
Last price
11.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Charles Leclerc
Last price
34.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
33¢
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Charles Leclerc
Last price
55%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
58¢
Sell Yes
55¢
$100 on Yes pays
$172 (1.72x)
Volume
$33
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 9¢ and selling on Kalshi at 55¢ nets 4600 bps before fees.

Lando NorrisArb
26.5%
Polymarket 7%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 6.5%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 34.5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 58%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lando Norris
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$143
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Lando Norris
Last price
6.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$261
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Lando Norris
Last price
34.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
31¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Volume
$39
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Lando Norris
Last price
58%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
58¢
Sell Yes
50¢
$100 on Yes pays
$172 (1.72x)
Volume
$113
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 7¢ and selling on Kalshi at 50¢ nets 4300 bps before fees.

Isack HadjarArb
17.4%
Polymarket 2.2%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 3.3%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 18%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 46%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 3.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,030 (30.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Isack Hadjar
Last price
2.2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
3.3¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,030 (30.3x)
Volume
$446
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Isack Hadjar
Last price
3.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,818 (18.2x)
Volume
$235
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Isack Hadjar
Last price
18%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$57
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Isack Hadjar
Last price
46%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
42¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$437
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 3.3¢ and selling on Kalshi at 42¢ nets 3870 bps before fees.

Oscar PiastriArb
17%
Polymarket 3%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 3.2%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 19%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 43%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 4.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,381 (23.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Oscar Piastri
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4.2¢
Sell Yes
1.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,381 (23.8x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Oscar Piastri
Last price
3.2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
6.1¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,639 (16.4x)
Volume
$430
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Oscar Piastri
Last price
19%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$98
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Oscar Piastri
Last price
43%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
35¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Volume
$73
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 4.2¢ and selling on Kalshi at 35¢ nets 3080 bps before fees.

Yuki Tsunoda
4.8%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 11%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Yuki Tsunoda
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$15
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Yuki Tsunoda
Last price
11%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Yuki Tsunoda
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 14 more outcomes
Liam LawsonArb
3.4%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 1.5%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 3.5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 8%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 1.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Liam Lawson
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1.5¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$6,667 (66.7x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Liam Lawson
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
2.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,448 (34.5x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Liam Lawson
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
6.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,449 (14.5x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Liam Lawson
Last price
8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$100
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 1.5¢ and selling on Kalshi at 3¢ nets 150 bps before fees.

Pierre GaslyArb
3.4%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 1.5%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 2.5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 8%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 2.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Pierre Gasly
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
2.9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,448 (34.5x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Pierre Gasly
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
2.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,448 (34.5x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Pierre Gasly
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,041 (20.4x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Pierre Gasly
Last price
8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$50
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 2.9¢ and selling on Kalshi at 4¢ nets 110 bps before fees.

Franco Colapinto
2.6%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 1.4%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 3%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 1.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Franco Colapinto
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1.5¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$6,667 (66.7x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Franco Colapinto
Last price
1.4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
2.8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,571 (35.7x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Franco Colapinto
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Franco Colapinto
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 6¢.

Nico Hulkenberg
2.6%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 1.4%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 3%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 1.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Nico Hulkenberg
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1.5¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$6,667 (66.7x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Nico Hulkenberg
Last price
1.4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
2.8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,571 (35.7x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Nico Hulkenberg
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Nico Hulkenberg
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$317
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 3¢.

Alexander Albon
2.4%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 1.4%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 1.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Alexander Albon
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1.4¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,143 (71.4x)
Volume
$94
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Alexander Albon
Last price
1.4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
2.8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,571 (35.7x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Alexander Albon
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Alexander Albon
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 5¢.

Esteban Ocon
2.4%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 1.4%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 1.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Esteban Ocon
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1.5¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$6,667 (66.7x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Esteban Ocon
Last price
1.4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
2.8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,571 (35.7x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Esteban Ocon
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Esteban Ocon
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 5¢.

Gabriel Bortoleto
2.4%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 1.4%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 1.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gabriel Bortoleto
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1.5¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$6,667 (66.7x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Gabriel Bortoleto
Last price
1.4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
2.8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,571 (35.7x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Gabriel Bortoleto
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Gabriel Bortoleto
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 5¢.

Arvid Lindblad
2.3%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 1.5%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 3.1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 4%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 1.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Arvid Lindblad
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1.5¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$6,667 (66.7x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Arvid Lindblad
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
2.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,448 (34.5x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Arvid Lindblad
Last price
3.1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
6.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,613 (16.1x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Arvid Lindblad
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 8¢.

Valtteri Bottas
2.3%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 1.4%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 4.8%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Valtteri Bottas
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$8,333 (83.3x)
Volume
$271
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Valtteri Bottas
Last price
1.4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
2.8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,571 (35.7x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Valtteri Bottas
Last price
4.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9.5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,053 (10.5x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Valtteri Bottas
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 5¢.

Lance Stroll
2.3%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 1.4%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 4.8%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lance Stroll
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1.1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$9,091 (90.9x)
Volume
$421
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Lance Stroll
Last price
1.4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
2.8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,571 (35.7x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Lance Stroll
Last price
4.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9.5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,053 (10.5x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Lance Stroll
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 5¢.

Sergio Perez
2.3%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 1.4%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 4.8%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sergio Perez
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1.1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$9,091 (90.9x)
Volume
$464
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Sergio Perez
Last price
1.4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
2.8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,571 (35.7x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Sergio Perez
Last price
4.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9.5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,053 (10.5x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Sergio Perez
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 5¢.

Fernando Alonso
2.3%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 1.4%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 4.5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 1.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Fernando Alonso
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1.5¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$6,667 (66.7x)
Volume
$165
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Fernando Alonso
Last price
1.4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
2.7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,704 (37.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Fernando Alonso
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Fernando Alonso
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 5¢.

Carlos Sainz Jr.
2.3%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 1.3%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 4.5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 1.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Carlos Sainz Jr.
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1.5¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$6,667 (66.7x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Carlos Sainz Jr.
Last price
1.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
2.6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,846 (38.5x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Carlos Sainz Jr.
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Carlos Sainz Jr.
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 5¢.

Oliver Bearman
2.2%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 1.5%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 4%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 1.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Oliver Bearman
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1.5¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$6,667 (66.7x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Oliver Bearman
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
2.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,448 (34.5x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Oliver Bearman
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Oliver Bearman
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 5¢.

Possible arbitrage before fees: buy George Russell on Polymarket at 10¢, sell on Kalshi at 62¢ (5200 bps). Check the rules below before trading. See all live spreads

Mostly the same bet: one difference

Where they differ

  • Trading closes at different times: Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 PM UTC on Polymarket and Nov 2, 2026, 2:00 AM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: formula1.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: FIA
Show full rule comparison
  • Trading closes Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 PM UTC on Polymarket and Nov 2, 2026, 2:00 AM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Andrea Kimi Antonelli
  • Max Verstappen
  • Kimi Antonelli

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Andrea Kimi Antonelli for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "United States Grand Prix Main Race: Top 5 Finishers". Andrea Kimi Antonelli leads at 85%. Next is Max Verstappen at 60.4%. $15K has traded across 24 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 2, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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