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What the markets expect
Max Verstappen 53.9%
Next is Kimi Antonelli at 52.1%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Max Verstappen53.9%79%78¢ bid, 80¢ askpolled, 53s agoNot listed46¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $217 (2.17x)Max Verstappen53.9%Polymarket 45.5%polled, 53s agoPolymarket 79%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 46¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Max Verstappen
53.9%
79%
78¢ bid, 80¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
Not listed
46¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Max Verstappen
53.9%
Polymarket 45.5%polled, 53s agoPolymarket 79%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 46¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Max Verstappen
- Last price
- 45.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 46¢
- Sell Yes
- 45¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $217 (2.17x)
- Volume
- $21K
Polymarket
- Contract
- Max Verstappen
- Last price
- 79%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 80¢
- Sell Yes
- 78¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $125 (1.25x)
- Volume
- $1K
Kimi Antonelli52.1%78%76¢ bid, 80¢ askpolled, 53s agoNot listed44¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $227 (2.27x)Kimi Antonelli52.1%Polymarket 43.5%polled, 53s agoPolymarket 78%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 44¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Kimi Antonelli
52.1%
78%
76¢ bid, 80¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
Not listed
44¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Kimi Antonelli
52.1%
Polymarket 43.5%polled, 53s agoPolymarket 78%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 44¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Kimi Antonelli
- Last price
- 43.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 44¢
- Sell Yes
- 43¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $227 (2.27x)
- Volume
- $21K
Polymarket
- Contract
- Kimi Antonelli
- Last price
- 78%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 80¢
- Sell Yes
- 76¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $125 (1.25x)
- Volume
- $472
Red Bull Racing42%Not listed42%38¢ bid, 42¢ askpolled, 53s ago42¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $238 (2.38x)Red Bull Racing42%Kalshi 42%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Red Bull Racing
42%
Not listed
42%
38¢ bid, 42¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
42¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Red Bull Racing
42%
Kalshi 42%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Red Bull Racing
- Last price
- 42%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 42¢
- Sell Yes
- 38¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $238 (2.38x)
- Volume
- $328
Mercedes AMG Motorsport37%Not listed37%37¢ bid, 42¢ askpolled, 53s ago42¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $238 (2.38x)Mercedes AMG Motorsport37%Kalshi 37%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Mercedes AMG Motorsport
37%
Not listed
37%
37¢ bid, 42¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
42¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Mercedes AMG Motorsport
37%
Kalshi 37%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Mercedes AMG Motorsport
- Last price
- 37%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 42¢
- Sell Yes
- 37¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $238 (2.38x)
- Volume
- $385
Charles Leclerc16.8%50.5%46¢ bid, 55¢ askpolled, 53s agoNot listed6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Charles Leclerc16.8%Polymarket 5.5%polled, 53s agoPolymarket 50.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Charles Leclerc
16.8%
50.5%
46¢ bid, 55¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
Not listed
6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Charles Leclerc
16.8%
Polymarket 5.5%polled, 53s agoPolymarket 50.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Charles Leclerc
- Last price
- 5.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $21K
Polymarket
- Contract
- Charles Leclerc
- Last price
- 50.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 55¢
- Sell Yes
- 46¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $182 (1.82x)
- Volume
- $1K
Ferrari15%Not listed15%14¢ bid, 16¢ askpolled, 53s ago16¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $625 (6.25x)Ferrari15%Kalshi 15%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Ferrari
15%
Not listed
15%
14¢ bid, 16¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
16¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Ferrari
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ferrari
- Last price
- 15%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 14¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
- Volume
- $990
Lewis Hamilton14%41%40¢ bid, 42¢ askpolled, 53s agoNot listed5.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)Lewis Hamilton14%Polymarket 5.1%polled, 53s agoPolymarket 41%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 5.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
Lewis Hamilton
14%
41%
40¢ bid, 42¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
Not listed
5.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
Lewis Hamilton
14%
Polymarket 5.1%polled, 53s agoPolymarket 41%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 5.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Lewis Hamilton
- Last price
- 5.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 4.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,695 (16.9x)
- Volume
- $10K
Polymarket
- Contract
- Lewis Hamilton
- Last price
- 41%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 42¢
- Sell Yes
- 40¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $238 (2.38x)
- Volume
- $2K
Isack Hadjar8%27%20¢ bid, 34¢ askpolled, 53s agoNot listed2.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $4,762 (47.6x)Isack Hadjar8%Polymarket 1.7%polled, 53s agoPolymarket 27%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 2.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,762 (47.6x)
Isack Hadjar
8%
27%
20¢ bid, 34¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
Not listed
2.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $4,762 (47.6x)
Isack Hadjar
8%
Polymarket 1.7%polled, 53s agoPolymarket 27%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 2.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,762 (47.6x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Isack Hadjar
- Last price
- 1.7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $4,762 (47.6x)
- Volume
- $7K
Polymarket
- Contract
- Isack Hadjar
- Last price
- 27%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- 20¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
- Volume
- $813
George Russell7.2%23%21¢ bid, 25¢ askpolled, 53s agoNot listed2.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)George Russell7.2%Polymarket 2%polled, 53s agoPolymarket 23%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 2.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
George Russell
7.2%
23%
21¢ bid, 25¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
Not listed
2.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
George Russell
7.2%
Polymarket 2%polled, 53s agoPolymarket 23%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 2.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- George Russell
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,571 (35.7x)
- Volume
- $12K
Polymarket
- Contract
- George Russell
- Last price
- 23%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 25¢
- Sell Yes
- 21¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $400 (4.00x)
- Volume
- $836
Lando Norris5.2%16%11¢ bid, 21¢ askpolled, 53s agoNot listed3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Lando Norris5.2%Polymarket 1.7%polled, 53s agoPolymarket 16%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Lando Norris
5.2%
16%
11¢ bid, 21¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
Not listed
3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Lando Norris
5.2%
Polymarket 1.7%polled, 53s agoPolymarket 16%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Lando Norris
- Last price
- 1.7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $7K
Polymarket
- Contract
- Lando Norris
- Last price
- 16%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 21¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $476 (4.76x)
- Volume
- $510
Show 25 more outcomesHide 25 outcomes
Yes4.5%4.5%1.4¢ bid, 7.5¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed7.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,333 (13.3x)Yes4.5%Polymarket 4.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,333 (13.3x)
Yes
4.5%
4.5%
1.4¢ bid, 7.5¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
7.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,333 (13.3x)
Yes
4.5%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,333 (13.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Yes
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 7.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,333 (13.3x)
- Volume
- $3K
McLaren3%Not listed3%— bid, 19¢ askpolled, 53s ago19¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $526 (5.26x)McLaren3%Kalshi 3%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
McLaren
3%
Not listed
3%
— bid, 19¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
19¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $526 (5.26x)
McLaren
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- McLaren
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 19¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $526 (5.26x)
- Volume
- $336
Oscar Piastri2.6%7.5%3¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 53s agoNot listed1.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)Oscar Piastri2.6%Polymarket 1%polled, 53s agoPolymarket 7.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Oscar Piastri
2.6%
7.5%
3¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
Not listed
1.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Oscar Piastri
2.6%
Polymarket 1%polled, 53s agoPolymarket 7.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Oscar Piastri
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,556 (55.6x)
- Volume
- $3K
Polymarket
- Contract
- Oscar Piastri
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
- Volume
- $493
Yuki Tsunoda1.8%5%— bid, 10¢ askpolled, 53s agoNot listed1.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)Yuki Tsunoda1.8%Polymarket 0.6%polled, 53s agoPolymarket 5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Yuki Tsunoda
1.8%
5%
— bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
Not listed
1.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Yuki Tsunoda
1.8%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 53s agoPolymarket 5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Yuki Tsunoda
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1.2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $8,333 (83.3x)
- Volume
- $26
Polymarket
- Contract
- Yuki Tsunoda
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $10
Liam Lawson1.5%2.2%— bid, 4.4¢ askpolled, 53s agoNot listed1.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)Liam Lawson1.5%Polymarket 0.8%polled, 53s agoPolymarket 2.2%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Liam Lawson
1.5%
2.2%
— bid, 4.4¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
Not listed
1.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Liam Lawson
1.5%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 53s agoPolymarket 2.2%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Liam Lawson
- Last price
- 0.8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1.5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $6,667 (66.7x)
- Volume
- $5
Polymarket
- Contract
- Liam Lawson
- Last price
- 2.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4.4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,273 (22.7x)
Nico Hulkenberg1.4%2%— bid, 3.9¢ askpolled, 53s agoNot listed1.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)Nico Hulkenberg1.4%Polymarket 0.8%polled, 53s agoPolymarket 2%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Nico Hulkenberg
1.4%
2%
— bid, 3.9¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
Not listed
1.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Nico Hulkenberg
1.4%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 53s agoPolymarket 2%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Nico Hulkenberg
- Last price
- 0.8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1.5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $6,667 (66.7x)
- Volume
- $5
Polymarket
- Contract
- Nico Hulkenberg
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3.9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,564 (25.6x)
Pierre Gasly1.4%2%— bid, 3.9¢ askpolled, 53s agoNot listed1.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)Pierre Gasly1.4%Polymarket 0.8%polled, 53s agoPolymarket 2%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Pierre Gasly
1.4%
2%
— bid, 3.9¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
Not listed
1.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Pierre Gasly
1.4%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 53s agoPolymarket 2%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Pierre Gasly
- Last price
- 0.8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1.5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $6,667 (66.7x)
- Volume
- $5
Polymarket
- Contract
- Pierre Gasly
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3.9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,564 (25.6x)
Arvid Lindblad1.3%1.8%— bid, 3.5¢ askpolled, 53s agoNot listed1.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)Arvid Lindblad1.3%Polymarket 0.8%polled, 53s agoPolymarket 1.8%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Arvid Lindblad
1.3%
1.8%
— bid, 3.5¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
Not listed
1.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Arvid Lindblad
1.3%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 53s agoPolymarket 1.8%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Arvid Lindblad
- Last price
- 0.8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1.5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $6,667 (66.7x)
- Volume
- $5
Polymarket
- Contract
- Arvid Lindblad
- Last price
- 1.8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3.5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,857 (28.6x)
Oliver Bearman1.2%1.7%— bid, 3.3¢ askpolled, 53s agoNot listed1.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)Oliver Bearman1.2%Polymarket 0.8%polled, 53s agoPolymarket 1.7%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Oliver Bearman
1.2%
1.7%
— bid, 3.3¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
Not listed
1.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Oliver Bearman
1.2%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 53s agoPolymarket 1.7%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Oliver Bearman
- Last price
- 0.8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1.5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $6,667 (66.7x)
- Volume
- $5
Polymarket
- Contract
- Oliver Bearman
- Last price
- 1.7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3.3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,030 (30.3x)
Gabriel Bortoleto1.2%1.6%— bid, 3.2¢ askpolled, 53s agoNot listed1.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)Gabriel Bortoleto1.2%Polymarket 0.8%polled, 53s agoPolymarket 1.6%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Gabriel Bortoleto
1.2%
1.6%
— bid, 3.2¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
Not listed
1.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Gabriel Bortoleto
1.2%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 53s agoPolymarket 1.6%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Gabriel Bortoleto
- Last price
- 0.8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1.5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $6,667 (66.7x)
- Volume
- $5
Polymarket
- Contract
- Gabriel Bortoleto
- Last price
- 1.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3.2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,125 (31.3x)
Esteban Ocon1.2%1.6%— bid, 3.2¢ askpolled, 53s agoNot listed1.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)Esteban Ocon1.2%Polymarket 0.7%polled, 53s agoPolymarket 1.6%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Esteban Ocon
1.2%
1.6%
— bid, 3.2¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
Not listed
1.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Esteban Ocon
1.2%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 53s agoPolymarket 1.6%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Esteban Ocon
- Last price
- 0.7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1.4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $7,143 (71.4x)
- Volume
- $5
Polymarket
- Contract
- Esteban Ocon
- Last price
- 1.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3.2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,125 (31.3x)
Franco Colapinto1.2%1.6%— bid, 3.2¢ askpolled, 53s agoNot listed1.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)Franco Colapinto1.2%Polymarket 0.7%polled, 53s agoPolymarket 1.6%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Franco Colapinto
1.2%
1.6%
— bid, 3.2¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
Not listed
1.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Franco Colapinto
1.2%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 53s agoPolymarket 1.6%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Franco Colapinto
- Last price
- 0.7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1.4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $7,143 (71.4x)
- Volume
- $5
Polymarket
- Contract
- Franco Colapinto
- Last price
- 1.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3.2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,125 (31.3x)
Carlos Sainz Jr.1.1%1.5%— bid, 2.9¢ askpolled, 53s agoNot listed1.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)Carlos Sainz Jr.1.1%Polymarket 0.7%polled, 53s agoPolymarket 1.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)
Carlos Sainz Jr.
1.1%
1.5%
— bid, 2.9¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
Not listed
1.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)
Carlos Sainz Jr.
1.1%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 53s agoPolymarket 1.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Carlos Sainz Jr.
- Last price
- 0.7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1.3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $7,692 (76.9x)
- Volume
- $176
Polymarket
- Contract
- Carlos Sainz Jr.
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2.9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,448 (34.5x)
Alexander Albon1%1.5%— bid, 2.9¢ askpolled, 53s agoNot listed0.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $11,111 (111x)Alexander Albon1%Polymarket 0.5%polled, 53s agoPolymarket 1.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Alexander Albon
1%
1.5%
— bid, 2.9¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
Not listed
0.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Alexander Albon
1%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 53s agoPolymarket 1.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Alexander Albon
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $11,111 (111x)
- Volume
- $624
Polymarket
- Contract
- Alexander Albon
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2.9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,448 (34.5x)
Fernando Alonso0.9%1.8%— bid, 3.5¢ askpolled, 53s agoNot listed1.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)Fernando Alonso0.9%Polymarket 0.6%polled, 53s agoPolymarket 1.8%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Fernando Alonso
0.9%
1.8%
— bid, 3.5¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
Not listed
1.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Fernando Alonso
0.9%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 53s agoPolymarket 1.8%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fernando Alonso
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $9,091 (90.9x)
- Volume
- $472
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fernando Alonso
- Last price
- 1.8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3.5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,857 (28.6x)
- Volume
- $10
Lance Stroll0.8%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 53s agoNot listed1.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)Lance Stroll0.8%Polymarket 0.6%polled, 53s agoPolymarket 1.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Lance Stroll
0.8%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
Not listed
1.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Lance Stroll
0.8%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 53s agoPolymarket 1.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Lance Stroll
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $9,091 (90.9x)
- Volume
- $570
Polymarket
- Contract
- Lance Stroll
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $10
Sergio Perez0.8%1.5%0.1¢ bid, 2.8¢ askpolled, 53s agoNot listed1.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)Sergio Perez0.8%Polymarket 0.6%polled, 53s agoPolymarket 1.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Sergio Perez
0.8%
1.5%
0.1¢ bid, 2.8¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
Not listed
1.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Sergio Perez
0.8%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 53s agoPolymarket 1.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Sergio Perez
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $9,091 (90.9x)
- Volume
- $613
Polymarket
- Contract
- Sergio Perez
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,571 (35.7x)
- Volume
- $10
Alpine F1 Team0.5%Not listed0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 53s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Alpine F1 Team0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Alpine F1 Team
0.5%
Not listed
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Alpine F1 Team
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Alpine F1 Team
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Aston Martin F1 Team0.5%Not listed0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 53s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Aston Martin F1 Team0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Aston Martin F1 Team
0.5%
Not listed
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Aston Martin F1 Team
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Aston Martin F1 Team
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Audi F1 Team0.5%Not listed0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 53s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Audi F1 Team0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Audi F1 Team
0.5%
Not listed
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Audi F1 Team
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Audi F1 Team
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Cadillac0.5%Not listed0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 53s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Cadillac0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Cadillac
0.5%
Not listed
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Cadillac
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cadillac
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Haas F1 Team0.5%Not listed0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 53s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Haas F1 Team0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Haas F1 Team
0.5%
Not listed
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Haas F1 Team
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Haas F1 Team
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Racing Bulls0.5%Not listed0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 53s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Racing Bulls0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Racing Bulls
0.5%
Not listed
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Racing Bulls
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Racing Bulls
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Williams0.5%Not listed0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 53s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Williams0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Williams
0.5%
Not listed
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Williams
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Williams
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Valtteri Bottas0.5%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 53s agoNot listed0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Valtteri Bottas0.5%Polymarket 0.6%polled, 53s agoPolymarket 0.1%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Valtteri Bottas
0.5%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
Not listed
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Valtteri Bottas
0.5%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 53s agoPolymarket 0.1%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Valtteri Bottas
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $9,091 (90.9x)
- Volume
- $593
Polymarket
- Contract
- Valtteri Bottas
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $20
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle, source: formula1.com
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: FIA
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Max Verstappen
- Kimi Antonelli
- Red Bull Racing
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Kalshi
Kalshi doesn’t list Max Verstappen for this event.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "United States Grand Prix Main Race: Top Constructor". Max Verstappen leads at 53.9%. Next is Kimi Antonelli at 52.1%. $118K has traded across 35 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 2, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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