The Prediction Markets

US airline fares CPI for May

Closed
Jun 10, 2026
Traded
$19K
Venues
Kalshi
Share

This market has closed

Trading ended on Jun 10, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 159 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Above 294.0ㅤ
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 3817 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 294.0ㅤ
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
87¢
Volume
$450
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 298.0ㅤ
90%
Kalshi 90%polled, 3817 h agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 298.0ㅤ
Last price
90%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
73¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 296.0ㅤ
88%
Kalshi 88%polled, 3817 h agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 296.0ㅤ
Last price
88%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
80¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 300.0ㅤ
61%
Kalshi 61%polled, 3817 h agoBest Yes 65¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 300.0ㅤ
Last price
61%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
65¢
Sell Yes
53¢
$100 on Yes pays
$154 (1.54x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 304.0ㅤ
56%
Kalshi 56%polled, 3817 h agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 304.0ㅤ
Last price
56%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
36¢
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 302.0ㅤ
53%
Kalshi 53%polled, 3817 h agoBest Yes 57¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 302.0ㅤ
Last price
53%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
57¢
Sell Yes
44¢
$100 on Yes pays
$175 (1.75x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 308.0ㅤ
38%
Kalshi 38%polled, 3817 h agoBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 308.0ㅤ
Last price
38%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Volume
$456
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 306.0ㅤ
28%
Kalshi 28%polled, 3817 h agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 306.0ㅤ
Last price
28%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
27¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 310.0ㅤ
28%
Kalshi 28%polled, 3817 h agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 310.0ㅤ
Last price
28%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Volume
$371
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 312.0ㅤ
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 3817 h agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 312.0ㅤ
Last price
16%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$203
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 314.0ㅤ
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 3817 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 314.0ㅤ
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$419
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange)

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Above 294.0ㅤ
  • Above 298.0ㅤ
  • Above 296.0ㅤ

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

Loading…

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (economics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "US airline fares CPI for May". Above 294.0ㅤ last traded at 99%. Next is Above 298.0ㅤ at 90%. $19K has traded across 11 outcomes on Kalshi. The market closed on Jun 10, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

More economics markets

See all economics markets