The Prediction Markets

US gasoline CPI for October

Closes
Nov 10, 2026, in 18 days
Traded
$51K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Above 330 99%

Next is Above 335 at 99%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Above 330
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 58s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 330
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 335
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 58s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 335
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 340
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 58s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 340
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 345
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 58s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 345
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 350
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 58s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 350
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 355
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 58s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 355
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 360
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 58s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 360
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 365
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 58s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 365
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
94¢
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 370
93%
Kalshi 93%polled, 58s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 370
Last price
93%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
93¢
Volume
$558
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 375
92%
Kalshi 92%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 375
Last price
92%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
87¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$120
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 24 more outcomes
2.6%
76.5%
Polymarket 76.5%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 77¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Polymarket
Contract
2.6%
Last price
76.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
77¢
Sell Yes
76¢
$100 on Yes pays
$130 (1.30x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 380
68%
Kalshi 68%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 380
Last price
68%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
69¢
Sell Yes
59¢
$100 on Yes pays
$145 (1.45x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
0.2%
32.5%
Polymarket 32.5%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 33¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
0.2%
Last price
32.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
32¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
0.3%
31.5%
Polymarket 31.5%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
0.3%
Last price
31.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
31¢
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Volume
$884
Trade this on Polymarket
0.1%
19%
Polymarket 19%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
0.1%
Last price
19%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$558
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 385
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 385
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
0.4%
12.5%
Polymarket 12.5%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
0.4%
Last price
12.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$861
Trade this on Polymarket
3.0%
8.4%
Polymarket 8.4%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 16.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $613 (6.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
3.0%
Last price
8.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
16.3¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$613 (6.13x)
Volume
$398
Trade this on Polymarket
2.7%
6.9%
Polymarket 6.9%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 8.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,149 (11.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
2.7%
Last price
6.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8.7¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,149 (11.5x)
Volume
$530
Trade this on Polymarket
2.5%
5.6%
Polymarket 5.6%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 9.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,064 (10.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
2.5%
Last price
5.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9.4¢
Sell Yes
1.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,064 (10.6x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 390
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 390
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$721
Trade this on Kalshi
0.0%
3.6%
Polymarket 3.6%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 6.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,563 (15.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
0.0%
Last price
3.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.4¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,563 (15.6x)
Volume
$560
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 395
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 395
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 405
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 405
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$100
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 410
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 410
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$100
Trade this on Kalshi
0.5%
1.7%
Polymarket 1.7%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 3.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,226 (32.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
0.5%
Last price
1.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.1¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,226 (32.3x)
Volume
$212
Trade this on Polymarket
2.2%
1.6%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 2.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
2.2%
Last price
1.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.9¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,448 (34.5x)
Volume
$288
Trade this on Polymarket
2.3%
1.6%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 2.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
2.3%
Last price
1.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.9¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,448 (34.5x)
Volume
$258
Trade this on Polymarket
2.4%
1.6%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 2.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
2.4%
Last price
1.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.9¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,448 (34.5x)
Volume
$276
Trade this on Polymarket
0.6%+
1.2%
Polymarket 1.2%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 2.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,762 (47.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
0.6%+
Last price
1.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,762 (47.6x)
Volume
$374
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 400
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 400
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$209
Trade this on Kalshi
3.1%
0.7%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
3.1%
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$8,333 (83.3x)
Volume
$296
Trade this on Polymarket
2.8%
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
2.8%
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$280
Trade this on Polymarket
2.9%
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
2.9%
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$299
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: bls.gov
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: FRED

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Above 330
  • Above 335
  • Above 340

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Above 330 for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (economics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "US gasoline CPI for October". Above 330 leads at 99%. Next is Above 335 at 99%. $51K has traded across 34 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 10, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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