The Prediction Markets

US Lecce vs Juventus Turin: 1st Half Correct Score

Starts in 20 hKickoff
Traded
$15K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

US Lecce 4 - 5 Juventus FC 25.7%

Next is US Lecce 5 - 3 Juventus FC at 25%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
US Lecce 4 - 5 Juventus FC
25.7%
Polymarket 25.7%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 51.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $195 (1.95x)
Polymarket
Contract
US Lecce 4 - 5 Juventus FC
Last price
25.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
51.4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$195 (1.95x)
Trade this on Polymarket
US Lecce 5 - 3 Juventus FC
25%
Polymarket 25%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
US Lecce 5 - 3 Juventus FC
Last price
25%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Trade this on Polymarket
US Lecce 5 - 4 Juventus FC
25%
Polymarket 25%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
US Lecce 5 - 4 Juventus FC
Last price
25%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Trade this on Polymarket
US Lecce wins 1H 3-2
23.5%
Kalshi 23.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Kalshi
Contract
US Lecce wins 1H 3-2
Last price
23.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
47¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$213 (2.13x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Draw 1H 0-0
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Draw 1H 0-0
Last price
15%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Juventus Turin wins 1H 1-0
13.5%
Kalshi 13.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
Juventus Turin wins 1H 1-0
Last price
13.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Trade this on Kalshi
US Lecce 3 - 5 Juventus FC
13.3%
Polymarket 13.3%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 26.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $377 (3.77x)
Polymarket
Contract
US Lecce 3 - 5 Juventus FC
Last price
13.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
26.5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$377 (3.77x)
Trade this on Polymarket
US Lecce 0 - 1 Juventus FC
13%
Polymarket 13%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
US Lecce 0 - 1 Juventus FC
Last price
13%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$31
Trade this on Polymarket
US Lecce 0 - 2 Juventus FC
12%
Polymarket 12%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
US Lecce 0 - 2 Juventus FC
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$43
Trade this on Polymarket
US Lecce 1 - 1 Juventus FC
11%
Polymarket 11%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
US Lecce 1 - 1 Juventus FC
Last price
11%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$31
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 42 more outcomes
US Lecce 1 - 2 Juventus FC
10.5%
Polymarket 10.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
US Lecce 1 - 2 Juventus FC
Last price
10.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$37
Trade this on Polymarket
Any Other Score
10%
Polymarket 10%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Any Other Score
Last price
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$13K
Trade this on Polymarket
US Lecce 0 - 3 Juventus FC
8%
Polymarket 8%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
US Lecce 0 - 3 Juventus FC
Last price
8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$31
Trade this on Polymarket
US Lecce 0 - 0 Juventus FC
6.5%
Polymarket 6.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
US Lecce 0 - 0 Juventus FC
Last price
6.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$31
Trade this on Polymarket
US Lecce 1 - 3 Juventus FC
6.5%
Polymarket 6.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
US Lecce 1 - 3 Juventus FC
Last price
6.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$31
Trade this on Polymarket
Juventus Turin wins 1H 2-0
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Juventus Turin wins 1H 2-0
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
US Lecce 5 - 5 Juventus FC
5%
Polymarket 5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
US Lecce 5 - 5 Juventus FC
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
US Lecce wins 1H 1-0
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
US Lecce wins 1H 1-0
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Draw 1H 1-1
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Draw 1H 1-1
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Kalshi
US Lecce 2 - 2 Juventus FC
4.4%
Polymarket 4.4%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 4.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
US Lecce 2 - 2 Juventus FC
Last price
4.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.8¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,083 (20.8x)
Volume
$31
Trade this on Polymarket
US Lecce 1 - 0 Juventus FC
4%
Polymarket 4%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
US Lecce 1 - 0 Juventus FC
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$31
Trade this on Polymarket
US Lecce 2 - 1 Juventus FC
3.7%
Polymarket 3.7%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 4.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,381 (23.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
US Lecce 2 - 1 Juventus FC
Last price
3.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.2¢
Sell Yes
3.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,381 (23.8x)
Volume
$31
Trade this on Polymarket
US Lecce 4 - 4 Juventus FC
3.5%
Polymarket 3.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 6.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,449 (14.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
US Lecce 4 - 4 Juventus FC
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,449 (14.5x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Polymarket
US Lecce 0 - 4 Juventus FC
3.1%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 4.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,128 (21.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
US Lecce 0 - 4 Juventus FC
Last price
3.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.7¢
Sell Yes
1.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,128 (21.3x)
Volume
$31
Trade this on Polymarket
US Lecce 2 - 3 Juventus FC
2.7%
Polymarket 2.7%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 3.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,226 (32.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
US Lecce 2 - 3 Juventus FC
Last price
2.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.1¢
Sell Yes
2.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,226 (32.3x)
Volume
$31
Trade this on Polymarket
US Lecce 1 - 4 Juventus FC
2.2%
Polymarket 2.2%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 3.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,564 (25.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
US Lecce 1 - 4 Juventus FC
Last price
2.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.9¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,564 (25.6x)
Volume
$31
Trade this on Polymarket
US Lecce 5 - 0 Juventus FC
2.1%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 4.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
US Lecce 5 - 0 Juventus FC
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,439 (24.4x)
Trade this on Polymarket
US Lecce 5 - 1 Juventus FC
2.1%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 4.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
US Lecce 5 - 1 Juventus FC
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,439 (24.4x)
Trade this on Polymarket
US Lecce 5 - 2 Juventus FC
2.1%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 4.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
US Lecce 5 - 2 Juventus FC
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,439 (24.4x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Juventus Turin wins 1H 2-1
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Juventus Turin wins 1H 2-1
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
US Lecce 4 - 3 Juventus FC
2%
Polymarket 2%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
US Lecce 4 - 3 Juventus FC
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Polymarket
US Lecce 2 - 0 Juventus FC
1.6%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 1.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
US Lecce 2 - 0 Juventus FC
Last price
1.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.9¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,263 (52.6x)
Volume
$31
Trade this on Polymarket
Juventus Turin wins 1H 3-0
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Juventus Turin wins 1H 3-0
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
US Lecce 4 - 0 Juventus FC
1.4%
Polymarket 1.4%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 2.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,704 (37.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
US Lecce 4 - 0 Juventus FC
Last price
1.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,704 (37.0x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Polymarket
US Lecce 4 - 1 Juventus FC
1.4%
Polymarket 1.4%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 2.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,704 (37.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
US Lecce 4 - 1 Juventus FC
Last price
1.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,704 (37.0x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Polymarket
US Lecce 4 - 2 Juventus FC
1.4%
Polymarket 1.4%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 2.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,704 (37.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
US Lecce 4 - 2 Juventus FC
Last price
1.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,704 (37.0x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Polymarket
US Lecce 0 - 5 Juventus FC
1.2%
Polymarket 1.2%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 2.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,348 (43.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
US Lecce 0 - 5 Juventus FC
Last price
1.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$4,348 (43.5x)
Trade this on Polymarket
US Lecce wins 1H 2-0
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
US Lecce wins 1H 2-0
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
US Lecce wins 1H 2-1
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
US Lecce wins 1H 2-1
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
US Lecce 1 - 5 Juventus FC
1%
Polymarket 1%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 1.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
US Lecce 1 - 5 Juventus FC
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,263 (52.6x)
Trade this on Polymarket
US Lecce 3 - 2 Juventus FC
0.9%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
US Lecce 3 - 2 Juventus FC
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.1¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$9,091 (90.9x)
Volume
$31
Trade this on Polymarket
US Lecce 2 - 4 Juventus FC
0.9%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 1.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
US Lecce 2 - 4 Juventus FC
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,882 (58.8x)
Trade this on Polymarket
US Lecce 3 - 1 Juventus FC
0.9%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
US Lecce 3 - 1 Juventus FC
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.1¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$9,091 (90.9x)
Trade this on Polymarket
US Lecce 3 - 3 Juventus FC
0.7%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
Contract
US Lecce 3 - 3 Juventus FC
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Draw 1H 2-2
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Draw 1H 2-2
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Juventus Turin wins 1H 3-1
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Juventus Turin wins 1H 3-1
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Juventus Turin wins 1H 3-2
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Juventus Turin wins 1H 3-2
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
US Lecce 2 - 5 Juventus FC
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
US Lecce 2 - 5 Juventus FC
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Polymarket
US Lecce wins 1H 3-0
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
US Lecce wins 1H 3-0
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
US Lecce wins 1H 3-1
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
US Lecce wins 1H 3-1
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
US Lecce 3 - 0 Juventus FC
0.4%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Polymarket
Contract
US Lecce 3 - 0 Juventus FC
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.6¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$16,667 (167x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Polymarket
US Lecce 3 - 4 Juventus FC
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Polymarket
Contract
US Lecce 3 - 4 Juventus FC
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$16,667 (167x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: legaseriea.it
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: FIFA

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • US Lecce 4 - 5 Juventus FC
  • US Lecce 5 - 3 Juventus FC
  • US Lecce 5 - 4 Juventus FC

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Kalshi doesn’t list US Lecce 4 - 5 Juventus FC for this event.

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "US Lecce vs Juventus Turin: 1st Half Correct Score". US Lecce 4 - 5 Juventus FC leads at 25.7%. Next is US Lecce 5 - 3 Juventus FC at 25%. $15K has traded across 52 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 27, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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