The Prediction Markets

US Men's Clay Court Championships: Colton Smith vs Thiago Agustin Tirante

Closed
Apr 6, 2026
Traded
$130K
Venues
Polymarket
Share

This market has closed

Trading ended on Apr 6, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 208 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Colton Smith vs Thiago Agustin Tirante
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4997 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Colton Smith vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 1 Winner
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 208 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$781
Trade this on Polymarket
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Colton Smith vs Thiago Agustin Tirante
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4997 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Colton Smith vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 1 O/U 10.5
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 208 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$181
Trade this on Polymarket
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Colton Smith vs Thiago Agustin Tirante
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4997 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Colton Smith vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 1 O/U 9.5
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 208 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$770
Trade this on Polymarket
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Colton Smith vs Thiago Agustin Tirante
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4997 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Colton Smith vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 1 O/U 8.5
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 208 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$311
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: atptour.com

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • US Men's Clay Court Championships: Colton Smith vs Thiago Agustin Tirante
  • US Men's Clay Court Championships: Colton Smith vs Thiago Agustin Tirante
  • US Men's Clay Court Championships: Colton Smith vs Thiago Agustin Tirante

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "US Men's Clay Court Championships: Colton Smith vs Thiago Agustin Tirante". US Men's Clay Court Championships: Colton Smith vs Thiago Agustin Tirante last traded at 0.1%. Next is US Men's Clay Court Championships: Colton Smith vs Thiago Agustin Tirante at 0.1%. $130K has traded across 4 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Apr 6, 2026.

This market refers on the tennis match between Colton Smith and Thiago Agustin Tirante in the US Men's Clay Court Championships, scheduled for March 30 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Colton Smith' if Colton Smith advances against Thiago Agustin Tirante. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Agustin Tirante' if Thiago Agustin Tirante advances against Colton Smith. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

More sports markets

See all sports markets