The Prediction Markets

U.S. Open: Top Asian/Oceanic Golfer

Closed
Jul 2, 2026
Traded
$69K
Venues
Kalshi
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This market has closed

Trading ended on Jul 2, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 126 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Adam Scott
21.3%
Kalshi 30%(21.3% fair)polled, 3032 h agoBest Yes 57¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Kalshi
Contract
Adam Scott
Last price
30%
Fair, margin removed
21.3%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
57¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$175 (1.75x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Ryo Hisatsune
20.6%
Kalshi 29%(20.6% fair)polled, 3032 h agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ryo Hisatsune
Last price
29%
Fair, margin removed
20.6%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Tom Kim
14.2%
Kalshi 20%(14.2% fair)polled, 3032 h agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tom Kim
Last price
20%
Fair, margin removed
14.2%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$419
Trade this on Kalshi
Ryan Fox
12.1%
Kalshi 17%(12.1% fair)polled, 3032 h agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ryan Fox
Last price
17%
Fair, margin removed
12.1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Hideki Matsuyama
8.5%
Kalshi 12%(8.5% fair)polled, 3032 h agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Kalshi
Contract
Hideki Matsuyama
Last price
12%
Fair, margin removed
8.5%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Cameron Smith
5.7%
Kalshi 8%(5.7% fair)polled, 3032 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cameron Smith
Last price
8%
Fair, margin removed
5.7%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$13K
Trade this on Kalshi
Jason Day
5.7%
Kalshi 8%(5.7% fair)polled, 3032 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jason Day
Last price
8%
Fair, margin removed
5.7%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$759
Trade this on Kalshi
Sungjae Im
4.2%
Kalshi 6%(4.3% fair)polled, 3032 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sungjae Im
Last price
6%
Fair, margin removed
4.3%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$655
Trade this on Kalshi
Si Woo Kim
2.1%
Kalshi 3%(2.1% fair)polled, 3032 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Si Woo Kim
Last price
3%
Fair, margin removed
2.1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Carl Yuan
1.4%
Kalshi 2%(1.4% fair)polled, 3032 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Carl Yuan
Last price
2%
Fair, margin removed
1.4%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 5 more outcomes
Lucas Herbert
1.4%
Kalshi 2%(1.4% fair)polled, 3032 h agoBest Yes 59¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Lucas Herbert
Last price
2%
Fair, margin removed
1.4%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
59¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$169 (1.69x)
Volume
$704
Trade this on Kalshi
Kaito Onishi
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3032 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kaito Onishi
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$17K
Trade this on Kalshi
Min Woo Lee
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3032 h agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Kalshi
Contract
Min Woo Lee
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Ryuichi Oiwa
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3032 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ryuichi Oiwa
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$17K
Trade this on Kalshi
Taihei Sato
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3032 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Taihei Sato
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$746
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, the Governing League

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Adam Scott
  • Ryo Hisatsune
  • Tom Kim

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "U.S. Open: Top Asian/Oceanic Golfer". Adam Scott last traded at 21.3%. Next is Ryo Hisatsune at 20.6%. $69K has traded across 15 outcomes on Kalshi. The market closed on Jul 2, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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