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Trading ended on Jul 27, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 126 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Folarin Balogun80%80%75¢ bid, 90¢ askpolled, 3026 h ago90¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $111 (1.11x)Folarin Balogun80%Kalshi 80%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Folarin Balogun
80%
80%
75¢ bid, 90¢ ask
polled, 3026 h ago
90¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Folarin Balogun
80%
Kalshi 80%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Folarin Balogun
- Last price
- 80%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 90¢
- Sell Yes
- 75¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $111 (1.11x)
- Volume
- $19K
Gio Reyna13%13%2¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 3026 h ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Gio Reyna13%Kalshi 13%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Gio Reyna
13%
13%
2¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 3026 h ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Gio Reyna
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Gio Reyna
- Last price
- 13%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
- Volume
- $824
Brenden Aaronson10%10%— bid, 8¢ askpolled, 3026 h ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Brenden Aaronson10%Kalshi 10%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Brenden Aaronson
10%
10%
— bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 3026 h ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Brenden Aaronson
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Brenden Aaronson
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $43
Tim Weah10%10%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, 3026 h ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Tim Weah10%Kalshi 10%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Tim Weah
10%
10%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 3026 h ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Tim Weah
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tim Weah
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $405
Haji Wright9%9%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, 3026 h ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Haji Wright9%Kalshi 9%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Haji Wright
9%
9%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 3026 h ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Haji Wright
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Haji Wright
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $180
Ricardo Pepi6%6%1¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 3026 h ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Ricardo Pepi6%Kalshi 6%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Ricardo Pepi
6%
6%
1¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 3026 h ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Ricardo Pepi
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ricardo Pepi
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $3K
Antonee Robinson4%4%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 3026 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Antonee Robinson4%Kalshi 4%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Antonee Robinson
4%
4%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 3026 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Antonee Robinson
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Antonee Robinson
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $136
Christian Pulisic4%4%4¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 3026 h ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Christian Pulisic4%Kalshi 4%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Christian Pulisic
4%
4%
4¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 3026 h ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Christian Pulisic
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Christian Pulisic
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $20K
Malik Tillman4%4%1¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 3026 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Malik Tillman4%Kalshi 4%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Malik Tillman
4%
4%
1¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 3026 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Malik Tillman
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Malik Tillman
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $656
Alex Zendejas3.5%3.5%— bid, 7¢ askpolled, 3026 h ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Alex Zendejas3.5%Kalshi 3.5%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Alex Zendejas
3.5%
3.5%
— bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 3026 h ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Alex Zendejas
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Alex Zendejas
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
Show 14 more outcomesHide 14 outcomes
Max Arfsten2.5%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 3026 h ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Max Arfsten2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Max Arfsten
2.5%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 3026 h ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Max Arfsten
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Max Arfsten
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
No Goalscorer2.5%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 3026 h ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)No Goalscorer2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
No Goalscorer
2.5%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 3026 h ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
No Goalscorer
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- No Goalscorer
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Alex Freeman2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 3026 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Alex Freeman2%Kalshi 2%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Alex Freeman
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 3026 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Alex Freeman
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Alex Freeman
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Chris Richards2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 3026 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Chris Richards2%Kalshi 2%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Chris Richards
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 3026 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Chris Richards
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chris Richards
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Cristian Roldan2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 3026 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Cristian Roldan2%Kalshi 2%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Cristian Roldan
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 3026 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Cristian Roldan
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cristian Roldan
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Joe Scally2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 3026 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Joe Scally2%Kalshi 2%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Joe Scally
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 3026 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Joe Scally
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Joe Scally
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Miles Robinson2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 3026 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Miles Robinson2%Kalshi 2%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Miles Robinson
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 3026 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Miles Robinson
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Miles Robinson
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Sebastian Berhalter2%2%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3026 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Sebastian Berhalter2%Kalshi 2%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Sebastian Berhalter
2%
2%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3026 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Sebastian Berhalter
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Sebastian Berhalter
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $140
Tyler Adams2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 3026 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Tyler Adams2%Kalshi 2%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Tyler Adams
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 3026 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Tyler Adams
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tyler Adams
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Auston Trusty1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 3026 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Auston Trusty1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Auston Trusty
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 3026 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Auston Trusty
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Auston Trusty
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Mark McKenzie1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 3026 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Mark McKenzie1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Mark McKenzie
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 3026 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Mark McKenzie
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Mark McKenzie
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Tim Ream1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 3026 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Tim Ream1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Tim Ream
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 3026 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Tim Ream
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tim Ream
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Sergino Dest1%1%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 3026 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Sergino Dest1%Kalshi 1%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Sergino Dest
1%
1%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 3026 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Sergino Dest
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Sergino Dest
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $263
Weston McKennie1%1%— bid, 7¢ askpolled, 3026 h ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Weston McKennie1%Kalshi 1%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Weston McKennie
1%
1%
— bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 3026 h ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Weston McKennie
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Weston McKennie
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $2K
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: FIFA
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Folarin Balogun
- Gio Reyna
- Brenden Aaronson
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Final prediction market prices for "USA: Goal Leader". Folarin Balogun last traded at 80%. Next is Gio Reyna at 13%. $46K has traded across 24 outcomes on Kalshi. The market closed on Jul 27, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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