The Prediction Markets

USL Championship Champion

Closes
Dec 30, 2026, in 2 months
Traded
$2K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

El Paso Locomotive FC 45%

Next is Tampa Bay Rowdies at 45%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
El Paso Locomotive FC
45%
Kalshi 45%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 46¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
El Paso Locomotive FC
Last price
45%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Volume
$0
Trade this on Kalshi
Tampa Bay Rowdies
45%
Kalshi 45%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Last price
45%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Volume
$182
Trade this on Kalshi
Hartford Athletic
34.5%
Kalshi 34.5%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Hartford Athletic
Last price
34.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
69¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$145 (1.45x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Miami FC
34.5%
Kalshi 34.5%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Miami FC
Last price
34.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
69¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$145 (1.45x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Orange County SC
34.5%
Kalshi 34.5%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Oakland Roots SC
Last price
34.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
69¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$145 (1.45x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Phoenix Rising FC
34.5%
Kalshi 34.5%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Phoenix Rising FC
Last price
34.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
69¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$145 (1.45x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Sacramento Republic FC
34.5%
Kalshi 34.5%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
San Antonio FC
Last price
34.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
69¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$145 (1.45x)
Trade this on Kalshi
New Mexico United
32%
Kalshi 32%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Kalshi
Contract
New Mexico United
Last price
32%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Kalshi
FC Tulsa
31%
Kalshi 31%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Kalshi
Contract
FC Tulsa
Last price
31%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
31¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$323 (3.23x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Kalshi
Orange County SC
29%
Kalshi 29%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Orange County SC
Last price
29%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$7
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 15 more outcomes
Lexington SC
28%
Kalshi 28%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kalshi
Contract
Lexington SC
Last price
28%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Volume
$2
Trade this on Kalshi
Sacramento Republic FC
28%
Kalshi 28%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sacramento Republic FC
Last price
28%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Volume
$17
Trade this on Kalshi
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
25%
Kalshi 25%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Last price
25%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$32
Trade this on Kalshi
Rhode Island FC
25%
Kalshi 25%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Rhode Island FC
Last price
25%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$2
Trade this on Kalshi
Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kalshi
Contract
Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC
Last price
14%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Detroit City FC
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
Detroit City FC
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Charleston Battery
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Charleston Battery
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$260
Trade this on Kalshi
Indy Eleven
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
Indy Eleven
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Kalshi
Loudoun United FC
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Kalshi
Contract
Louisville City FC
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Volume
$132
Trade this on Kalshi
Brooklyn FC
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Brooklyn FC
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$2
Trade this on Kalshi
Loudoun United FC
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Loudoun United FC
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Brooklyn FC
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Birmingham Legion FC
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Las Vegas Lights
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Las Vegas Lights
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Miami FC
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Monterey Bay FC
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Sporting Jax
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sporting Jax
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Fox Sports, ESPN

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • El Paso Locomotive FC
  • Tampa Bay Rowdies
  • Hartford Athletic

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "USL Championship Champion". El Paso Locomotive FC leads at 45%. Next is Tampa Bay Rowdies at 45%. $2K has traded across 25 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 30, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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