The Prediction Markets

Utah St. vs Texas St.: Spread

Closes
Oct 26, 2026, in 3 days
Traded
$35K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
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What the markets expect

Texas St. wins by over 1.5 points 81%

Next is Texas St. wins by over 2.5 points at 78.5%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Texas St. wins by over 1.5 points
81%
Kalshi 81%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 82¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Kalshi
Contract
Texas St. wins by over 1.5 points
Last price
81%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
80¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Texas St. wins by over 2.5 points
78.5%
Kalshi 78.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Kalshi
Contract
Texas St. wins by over 2.5 points
Last price
78.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
79¢
Sell Yes
78¢
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Texas St. wins by over 3.5 points
74.5%
Kalshi 74.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Kalshi
Contract
Texas St. wins by over 3.5 points
Last price
74.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
76¢
Sell Yes
73¢
$100 on Yes pays
$132 (1.32x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Texas St. wins by over 4.5 points
72.5%
Kalshi 72.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
Texas St. wins by over 4.5 points
Last price
72.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
71¢
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Texas St. wins by over 5.5 points
70.5%
Kalshi 70.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 72¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Kalshi
Contract
Texas St. wins by over 5.5 points
Last price
70.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
72¢
Sell Yes
69¢
$100 on Yes pays
$139 (1.39x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Texas St. wins by over 6.5 points
68%
Kalshi 68%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Texas St. wins by over 6.5 points
Last price
68%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
69¢
Sell Yes
66¢
$100 on Yes pays
$145 (1.45x)
Volume
$3
Trade this on Kalshi
Texas St. wins by over 7.5 points
62.5%
Kalshi 62.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 64¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Texas St. wins by over 7.5 points
Last price
62.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
64¢
Sell Yes
61¢
$100 on Yes pays
$156 (1.56x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Texas St. wins by over 8.5 points
59%
Kalshi 59%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Kalshi
Contract
Texas St. wins by over 8.5 points
Last price
59%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
61¢
Sell Yes
59¢
$100 on Yes pays
$164 (1.64x)
Volume
$577
Trade this on Kalshi
Texas St. wins by over 9.5 points
59%
Kalshi 59%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Kalshi
Contract
Texas St. wins by over 9.5 points
Last price
59%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
61¢
Sell Yes
59¢
$100 on Yes pays
$164 (1.64x)
Volume
$46
Trade this on Kalshi
Texas St. wins by over 10.5 points
55%
Kalshi 55%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 57¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Kalshi
Contract
Texas St. wins by over 10.5 points
Last price
55%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
57¢
Sell Yes
55¢
$100 on Yes pays
$175 (1.75x)
Volume
$626
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 22 more outcomes
Texas St. wins by over 11.5 points
55%
Kalshi 55%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 55¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Kalshi
Contract
Texas St. wins by over 11.5 points
Last price
55%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
55¢
Sell Yes
54¢
$100 on Yes pays
$182 (1.82x)
Volume
$808
Trade this on Kalshi
Texas St. wins by over 13.5 points
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Texas St. wins by over 13.5 points
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Texas St. wins by over 14.5 points
45%
Kalshi 45%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 46¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Texas St. wins by over 14.5 points
Last price
45%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
45¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Texas St. wins by over 16.5 points
41%
Kalshi 41%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Texas St. wins by over 16.5 points
Last price
41%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
40¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Volume
$76
Trade this on Kalshi
Texas St. wins by over 17.5 points
38.5%
Kalshi 38.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Texas St. wins by over 17.5 points
Last price
38.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Texas St. wins by over 20.5 points
33%
Kalshi 33%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
Texas St. wins by over 20.5 points
Last price
33%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
32¢
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Texas St. wins by over 21.5 points
30%
Kalshi 30%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Texas St. wins by over 21.5 points
Last price
30%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
28¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Volume
$627
Trade this on Kalshi
Texas St. wins by over 23.5 points
26%
Kalshi 26%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
Texas St. wins by over 23.5 points
Last price
26%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Texas St. wins by over 24.5 points
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Texas St. wins by over 24.5 points
Last price
23%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Texas St. wins by over 27.5 points
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Texas St. wins by over 27.5 points
Last price
19%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$2
Trade this on Kalshi
Utah St. wins by over 1.5 points
16.5%
Kalshi 16.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Utah St. wins by over 1.5 points
Last price
16.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Utah St. wins by over 2.5 points
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
Utah St. wins by over 2.5 points
Last price
14%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$474
Trade this on Kalshi
Utah St. wins by over 3.5 points
11.5%
Kalshi 11.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Utah St. wins by over 3.5 points
Last price
11.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Utah St. wins by over 4.5 points
10.5%
Kalshi 10.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Utah St. wins by over 4.5 points
Last price
10.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Utah St. wins by over 5.5 points
9.5%
Kalshi 9.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Utah St. wins by over 5.5 points
Last price
9.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Utah St. wins by over 6.5 points
8.5%
Kalshi 8.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Utah St. wins by over 6.5 points
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Utah St. wins by over 7.5 points
6.5%
Kalshi 6.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Utah St. wins by over 7.5 points
Last price
6.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Utah St. wins by over 9.5 points
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Utah St. wins by over 9.5 points
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Utah St. wins by over 10.5 points
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Utah St. wins by over 10.5 points
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Utah St. wins by over 11.5 points
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Utah St. wins by over 11.5 points
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Utah St. wins by over 13.5 points
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Utah St. wins by over 13.5 points
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$434
Trade this on Kalshi
Utah St. wins by over 14.5 points
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Utah St. wins by over 14.5 points
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$18K
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Texas St. wins by over 1.5 points
  • Texas St. wins by over 2.5 points
  • Texas St. wins by over 3.5 points

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Utah St. vs Texas St.: Spread". Texas St. wins by over 1.5 points leads at 81%. Next is Texas St. wins by over 2.5 points at 78.5%. $35K has traded across 32 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 26, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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