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What the markets expect
Over 119.5 points scored 99%
Next is Over 129.5 points scored at 99%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Over 119.5 points scored99%Not listed99%61¢ bid, — askpolled, 32s agoNo askOver 119.5 points scored99%Kalshi 99%polled, 32s ago
Over 119.5 points scored
99%
Not listed
99%
61¢ bid, — ask
polled, 32s ago
No ask
Over 119.5 points scored
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 32s ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 119.5 points scored
- Last price
- 99%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 61¢
- Volume
- $906
Over 129.5 points scored99%Not listed99%61¢ bid, — askpolled, 32s agoNo askOver 129.5 points scored99%Kalshi 99%polled, 32s ago
Over 129.5 points scored
99%
Not listed
99%
61¢ bid, — ask
polled, 32s ago
No ask
Over 129.5 points scored
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 32s ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 129.5 points scored
- Last price
- 99%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 61¢
- Volume
- $906
Over 139.5 points scored99%Not listed99%67¢ bid, — askpolled, 32s agoNo askOver 139.5 points scored99%Kalshi 99%polled, 32s ago
Over 139.5 points scored
99%
Not listed
99%
67¢ bid, — ask
polled, 32s ago
No ask
Over 139.5 points scored
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 32s ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 139.5 points scored
- Last price
- 99%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 67¢
- Volume
- $328
Over 149.5 points scored99%Not listed99%79¢ bid, — askpolled, 32s agoNo askOver 149.5 points scored99%Kalshi 99%polled, 32s ago
Over 149.5 points scored
99%
Not listed
99%
79¢ bid, — ask
polled, 32s ago
No ask
Over 149.5 points scored
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 32s ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 149.5 points scored
- Last price
- 99%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 79¢
- Volume
- $806
Over 159.5 points scored88%Not listed88%78¢ bid, 98¢ askpolled, 32s ago98¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $102 (1.02x)Over 159.5 points scored88%Kalshi 88%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Over 159.5 points scored
88%
Not listed
88%
78¢ bid, 98¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
98¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Over 159.5 points scored
88%
Kalshi 88%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 159.5 points scored
- Last price
- 88%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 98¢
- Sell Yes
- 78¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $102 (1.02x)
Over 164.5 points scored87.5%Not listed87.5%77¢ bid, 98¢ askpolled, 32s ago98¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $102 (1.02x)Over 164.5 points scored87.5%Kalshi 87.5%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Over 164.5 points scored
87.5%
Not listed
87.5%
77¢ bid, 98¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
98¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Over 164.5 points scored
87.5%
Kalshi 87.5%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 164.5 points scored
- Last price
- 87.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 98¢
- Sell Yes
- 77¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $102 (1.02x)
Over 169.5 points scored85.5%Not listed85.5%73¢ bid, 98¢ askpolled, 32s ago98¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $102 (1.02x)Over 169.5 points scored85.5%Kalshi 85.5%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Over 169.5 points scored
85.5%
Not listed
85.5%
73¢ bid, 98¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
98¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Over 169.5 points scored
85.5%
Kalshi 85.5%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 169.5 points scored
- Last price
- 85.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 98¢
- Sell Yes
- 73¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $102 (1.02x)
Over 174.5 points scored81.5%Not listed81.5%65¢ bid, 98¢ askpolled, 32s ago98¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $102 (1.02x)Over 174.5 points scored81.5%Kalshi 81.5%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Over 174.5 points scored
81.5%
Not listed
81.5%
65¢ bid, 98¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
98¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Over 174.5 points scored
81.5%
Kalshi 81.5%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 174.5 points scored
- Last price
- 81.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 98¢
- Sell Yes
- 65¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $102 (1.02x)
Over 179.5 points scored68%Not listed68%64¢ bid, 72¢ askpolled, 32s ago72¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $139 (1.39x)Over 179.5 points scored68%Kalshi 68%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 72¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Over 179.5 points scored
68%
Not listed
68%
64¢ bid, 72¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
72¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Over 179.5 points scored
68%
Kalshi 68%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 72¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 179.5 points scored
- Last price
- 68%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 72¢
- Sell Yes
- 64¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $139 (1.39x)
O/U 184.557.5%57.5%57¢ bid, 58¢ askpolled, 32s agoNot listed58¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $172 (1.72x)O/U 184.557.5%Polymarket 57.5%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 58¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
O/U 184.5
57.5%
57.5%
57¢ bid, 58¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
Not listed
58¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $172 (1.72x)
O/U 184.5
57.5%
Polymarket 57.5%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 58¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- O/U 184.5
- Last price
- 57.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 58¢
- Sell Yes
- 57¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $172 (1.72x)
- Volume
- $219
Show 4 more outcomesHide 4 outcomes
Valencia (-3.5)56%56%55¢ bid, 57¢ askpolled, 32s agoNot listed57¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $175 (1.75x)Valencia (-3.5)56%Polymarket 56%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 57¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Valencia (-3.5)
56%
56%
55¢ bid, 57¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
Not listed
57¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Valencia (-3.5)
56%
Polymarket 56%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 57¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Valencia (-3.5)
- Last price
- 56%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 57¢
- Sell Yes
- 55¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $175 (1.75x)
- Volume
- $18
Over 189.5 points scored43%Not listed43%43¢ bid, 45¢ askpolled, 32s ago45¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $222 (2.22x)Over 189.5 points scored43%Kalshi 43%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Over 189.5 points scored
43%
Not listed
43%
43¢ bid, 45¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
45¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Over 189.5 points scored
43%
Kalshi 43%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 189.5 points scored
- Last price
- 43%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 45¢
- Sell Yes
- 43¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $222 (2.22x)
- Volume
- $51
Paris Basketball vs. Valencia35.5%35.5%35¢ bid, 36¢ askpolled, 32s agoNot listed36¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $278 (2.78x)Paris Basketball vs. Valencia35.5%Polymarket 35.5%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 36¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Paris Basketball vs. Valencia
35.5%
35.5%
35¢ bid, 36¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
Not listed
36¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Paris Basketball vs. Valencia
35.5%
Polymarket 35.5%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 36¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Paris Basketball vs. Valencia
- Last price
- 35.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 36¢
- Sell Yes
- 35¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $278 (2.78x)
- Volume
- $1K
Over 199.5 points scored18.5%Not listed18.5%2¢ bid, 35¢ askpolled, 32s ago35¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $286 (2.86x)Over 199.5 points scored18.5%Kalshi 18.5%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Over 199.5 points scored
18.5%
Not listed
18.5%
2¢ bid, 35¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
35¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Over 199.5 points scored
18.5%
Kalshi 18.5%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 199.5 points scored
- Last price
- 18.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 35¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $286 (2.86x)
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle, source: euroleaguebasketball.net
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Over 119.5 points scored
- Over 129.5 points scored
- Over 139.5 points scored
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Polymarket
Polymarket doesn’t list Over 119.5 points scored for this event.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Valencia Basket vs Paris Basketball: Total Points". Over 119.5 points scored leads at 99%. Next is Over 129.5 points scored at 99%. $5K has traded across 14 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 25, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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