The Prediction Markets

Valorant: Fancy United vs Motiv Esports (BO3) - VCL Southeast Asia: Playoffs

Closed
Mar 21, 2026
Traded
$33K
Venues
Polymarket
Share

This market has closed

Trading ended on Mar 21, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 217 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Map Handicap: MTV (-1.5) vs Fancy United (+1.5)
99.9%
Polymarket 100%polled, 5208 h ago
Polymarket
Contract
Map Handicap: MTV (-1.5) vs Fancy United (+1.5)
Last price
100%
As of
Polled 217 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99.9¢
Volume
$353
Trade this on Polymarket
Map 2 Winner
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5208 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Map 2 Winner
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 217 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$741
Trade this on Polymarket
Match Winner
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5208 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Match Winner
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 217 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$17K
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 2.5 Games
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5208 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 2.5 Games
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 217 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$190
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: twitch.tv

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Map Handicap: MTV (-1.5) vs Fancy United (+1.5)
  • Map 2 Winner
  • Match Winner

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "Valorant: Fancy United vs Motiv Esports (BO3) - VCL Southeast Asia: Playoffs". Map Handicap: MTV (-1.5) vs Fancy United (+1.5) last traded at 99.9%. Next is Map 2 Winner at 0.1%. $33K has traded across 4 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Mar 21, 2026.

This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between Fancy United and Motiv Esports in the VCL Southeast Asia: Playoffs, initially scheduled for March 21 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Fancy United" if Fancy United win the match against Motiv Esports. This market will resolve to "Motiv Esports" if Motiv Esports win the match against Fancy United. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

More sports markets

See all sports markets