The Prediction Markets

VALORANT Offseason: Asuna Next Team

Closes
Jan 1, 2027, in 57 days
Traded
$3K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
2 h ago
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What the markets expect

100 Thieves 45.5%

Next is Team Envy at 40.1%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
100 Thieves
45.5%
Polymarket 45.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 77¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Polymarket
Contract
100 Thieves
Last price
45.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
77¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$130 (1.30x)
Volume
$562
Trade this on Polymarket
Team Envy
40.1%
Polymarket 40.1%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 79.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Polymarket
Contract
Team Envy
Last price
40.1%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
79.7¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$60
Trade this on Polymarket
Leviatán Esports
35.7%
Polymarket 35.7%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 71.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $140 (1.40x)
Polymarket
Contract
Leviatán Esports
Last price
35.7%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
71.3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$140 (1.40x)
Volume
$44
Trade this on Polymarket
Evil Geniuses
11.6%
Polymarket 11.6%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 22.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $439 (4.39x)
Polymarket
Contract
Evil Geniuses
Last price
11.6%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
22.8¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$439 (4.39x)
Volume
$60
Trade this on Polymarket
LOUD
10.9%
Polymarket 10.9%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 11.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $847 (8.47x)
Polymarket
Contract
LOUD
Last price
10.9%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
11.8¢
Sell Yes
9.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$847 (8.47x)
Volume
$907
Trade this on Polymarket
KRÜ Esports
4.9%
Polymarket 4.9%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 7.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,389 (13.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
KRÜ Esports
Last price
4.9%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
7.2¢
Sell Yes
2.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,389 (13.9x)
Volume
$81
Trade this on Polymarket
MIBR
4.5%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 8.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,190 (11.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
MIBR
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
8.4¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,190 (11.9x)
Volume
$149
Trade this on Polymarket
Sentinels
3.3%
Polymarket 3.3%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sentinels
Last price
3.3%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$110
Trade this on Polymarket
Cloud9
2.7%
Polymarket 2.7%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 4.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,273 (22.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cloud9
Last price
2.7%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
4.4¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,273 (22.7x)
Volume
$140
Trade this on Polymarket
FURIA Esports
2.4%
Polymarket 2.4%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 4.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,326 (23.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
FURIA Esports
Last price
2.4%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
4.3¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,326 (23.3x)
Volume
$95
Trade this on Polymarket
G2 Esports
2.2%
Polymarket 2.2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 3.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,564 (25.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
G2 Esports
Last price
2.2%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
3.9¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,564 (25.6x)
Volume
$65
Trade this on Polymarket
NRG
1.8%
Polymarket 1.8%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 3.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,125 (31.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
NRG
Last price
1.8%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
3.2¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,125 (31.3x)
Volume
$262
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 100 Thieves
  • Team Envy
  • Leviatán Esports

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
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Spread
—
Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "VALORANT Offseason: Asuna Next Team". 100 Thieves leads at 45.5%. Next is Team Envy at 40.1%. $3K has traded across 12 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2027.

This market will resolve to the next team Asuna officially joins by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If Asuna does not officially join a new team by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "100 Thieves". If Asuna joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other". If Asuna is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". An official signing announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from 100 Thieves and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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