The Prediction Markets

VALORANT Offseason: Derke Next Team

Closes
Jan 1, 2027, in 2 months
Traded
$8K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Team Vitality 43.5%

Next is GIANTX at 4.1%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Team Vitality
43.5%
Polymarket 43.5%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 44¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Polymarket
Contract
Team Vitality
Last price
43.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
43¢
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
GIANTX
4.1%
Polymarket 4.1%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
GIANTX
Last price
4.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
2.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$377
Trade this on Polymarket
Team Liquid
3.6%
Polymarket 3.6%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 6.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,449 (14.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Team Liquid
Last price
3.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.9¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,449 (14.5x)
Volume
$371
Trade this on Polymarket
BBL Esports
3.4%
Polymarket 3.4%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 6.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,515 (15.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
BBL Esports
Last price
3.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.6¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,515 (15.2x)
Volume
$171
Trade this on Polymarket
FUT Esports
3.1%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 5.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
FUT Esports
Last price
3.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.9¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,695 (16.9x)
Volume
$553
Trade this on Polymarket
Fnatic
2.9%
Polymarket 2.9%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 5.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Fnatic
Last price
2.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.5¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,818 (18.2x)
Volume
$172
Trade this on Polymarket
Gentle Mates
2.3%
Polymarket 2.3%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 4.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,326 (23.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gentle Mates
Last price
2.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.3¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,326 (23.3x)
Volume
$421
Trade this on Polymarket
Eternal Fire
1.6%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 2.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Eternal Fire
Last price
1.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.9¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,448 (34.5x)
Volume
$341
Trade this on Polymarket
Team Heretics
1%
Polymarket 1%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 1.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Team Heretics
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.8¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,556 (55.6x)
Volume
$334
Trade this on Polymarket
Natus Vincere
0.7%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Natus Vincere
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$9,091 (90.9x)
Volume
$748
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 3 more outcomes
Karmine Corp
0.4%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Polymarket
Contract
Karmine Corp
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.6¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$16,667 (167x)
Volume
$492
Trade this on Polymarket
Pcific Esports
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Pcific Esports
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$127
Trade this on Polymarket
ULF Esports
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
ULF Esports
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$257
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Team Vitality
  • GIANTX
  • Team Liquid

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "VALORANT Offseason: Derke Next Team". Team Vitality leads at 43.5%. Next is GIANTX at 4.1%. $8K has traded across 13 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2027.

This market will resolve to the next team Derke officially joins by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If Derke does not officially join a new team by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Team Vitality". If Derke joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other". If Derke is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". An official signing announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Team Vitality and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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