The Prediction Markets

VALORANT Offseason: primmie Next Team

Closes
Jan 1, 2027, in 2 months
Traded
$12K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

FULL SENSE 60%

Next is Paper Rex at 7%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

FULL SENSE 60%Paper Rex 7%DetonatioN FocusMe 5.9%Nongshim RedForce 5.2%ZETA DIVISION 4.6%7 others 17.3%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
FULL SENSE
60%
Polymarket 47.6%(60% fair)polled, 21s agoBest Yes 64¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
FULL SENSE
Last price
47.6%
Fair, margin removed
60%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
64¢
Sell Yes
31.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$156 (1.56x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Paper Rex
7%
Polymarket 5.6%(7% fair)polled, 21s agoBest Yes 10.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $926 (9.26x)
Polymarket
Contract
Paper Rex
Last price
5.6%
Fair, margin removed
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10.8¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$926 (9.26x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
DetonatioN FocusMe
5.9%
Polymarket 4.7%(5.9% fair)polled, 21s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
DetonatioN FocusMe
Last price
4.7%
Fair, margin removed
5.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$251
Trade this on Polymarket
Nongshim RedForce
5.2%
Polymarket 4.2%(5.2% fair)polled, 21s agoBest Yes 7.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,266 (12.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Nongshim RedForce
Last price
4.2%
Fair, margin removed
5.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7.9¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,266 (12.7x)
Volume
$130
Trade this on Polymarket
ZETA DIVISION
4.6%
Polymarket 3.7%(4.6% fair)polled, 21s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
ZETA DIVISION
Last price
3.7%
Fair, margin removed
4.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$692
Trade this on Polymarket
T1
4.2%
Polymarket 3.4%(4.2% fair)polled, 21s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
T1
Last price
3.4%
Fair, margin removed
4.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$520
Trade this on Polymarket
Rex Regum Qeon
3.4%
Polymarket 2.7%(3.3% fair)polled, 21s agoBest Yes 5.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,961 (19.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rex Regum Qeon
Last price
2.7%
Fair, margin removed
3.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,961 (19.6x)
Volume
$438
Trade this on Polymarket
VARREL
3.4%
Polymarket 2.7%(3.3% fair)polled, 21s agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
VARREL
Last price
2.7%
Fair, margin removed
3.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.9¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,041 (20.4x)
Volume
$627
Trade this on Polymarket
Global Esports
3.2%
Polymarket 2.5%(3.2% fair)polled, 21s agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Global Esports
Last price
2.5%
Fair, margin removed
3.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,041 (20.4x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
DRX
2.5%
Polymarket 2%(2.5% fair)polled, 21s agoBest Yes 3.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,632 (26.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
DRX
Last price
2%
Fair, margin removed
2.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.8¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,632 (26.3x)
Volume
$446
Trade this on Polymarket
Team Secret
0.4%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
Contract
Team Secret
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$188
Trade this on Polymarket
Global Esports
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gen.G Esports
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$881
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • FULL SENSE
  • Paper Rex
  • DetonatioN FocusMe

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "VALORANT Offseason: primmie Next Team". FULL SENSE leads at 60%. Next is Paper Rex at 7%. $12K has traded across 12 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2027.

This market will resolve to the next team primmie officially joins by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If primmie does not officially join a new team by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "FULL SENSE". If primmie joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other". If primmie is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". An official signing announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from FULL SENSE and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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