The Prediction Markets

VALORANT Offseason: Skuba Next Team

Closes
Jan 1, 2027, in 57 days
Traded
$1K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
1 h ago
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What the markets expect

NRG 53.4%

Next is Evil Geniuses at 14.5%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

NRG 53.4%Evil Geniuses 14.5%FURIA Esports 13.6%KRÜ Esports 3.5%Sentinels 3.5%7 others 11.5%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
NRG
53.4%
Polymarket 75.5%(53.5% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 90¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Polymarket
Contract
NRG
Last price
75.5%
Fair, margin removed
53.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
61¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$341
Trade this on Polymarket
Evil Geniuses
14.5%
Polymarket 20.5%(14.5% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 40.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $246 (2.46x)
Polymarket
Contract
Evil Geniuses
Last price
20.5%
Fair, margin removed
14.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
40.6¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$246 (2.46x)
Volume
$49
Trade this on Polymarket
FURIA Esports
13.6%
Polymarket 19.2%(13.6% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 37.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $265 (2.65x)
Polymarket
Contract
FURIA Esports
Last price
19.2%
Fair, margin removed
13.6%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
37.7¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$265 (2.65x)
Volume
$44
Trade this on Polymarket
KRÜ Esports
3.5%
Polymarket 5%(3.5% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 9.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,010 (10.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
KRÜ Esports
Last price
5%
Fair, margin removed
3.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
9.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,010 (10.1x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Polymarket
Sentinels
3.5%
Polymarket 5%(3.5% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 8.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,124 (11.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sentinels
Last price
5%
Fair, margin removed
3.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
8.9¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,124 (11.2x)
Volume
$64
Trade this on Polymarket
G2 Esports
2.2%
Polymarket 3.2%(2.2% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 5.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,786 (17.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
G2 Esports
Last price
3.2%
Fair, margin removed
2.2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
5.6¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,786 (17.9x)
Volume
$122
Trade this on Polymarket
Team Envy
2.1%
Polymarket 2.9%(2.1% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 4.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Team Envy
Last price
2.9%
Fair, margin removed
2.1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
4.8¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,083 (20.8x)
Volume
$72
Trade this on Polymarket
Cloud9
2%
Polymarket 2.9%(2% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 4.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cloud9
Last price
2.9%
Fair, margin removed
2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
4.8¢
Sell Yes
0.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,083 (20.8x)
Volume
$44
Trade this on Polymarket
LOUD
1.8%
Polymarket 2.6%(1.8% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 4.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,174 (21.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
LOUD
Last price
2.6%
Fair, margin removed
1.8%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
4.6¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,174 (21.7x)
Volume
$44
Trade this on Polymarket
100 Thieves
1.7%
Polymarket 2.4%(1.7% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 3.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,941 (29.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
100 Thieves
Last price
2.4%
Fair, margin removed
1.7%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
3.4¢
Sell Yes
1.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,941 (29.4x)
Volume
$44
Trade this on Polymarket
MIBR
1%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 2.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
MIBR
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
2.2¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,545 (45.5x)
Volume
$97
Trade this on Polymarket
Leviatán Esports
0.7%
Polymarket 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Leviatán Esports
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,263 (52.6x)
Volume
$44
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • NRG
  • Evil Geniuses
  • FURIA Esports

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
—
Spread
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Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "VALORANT Offseason: Skuba Next Team". NRG leads at 53.4%. Next is Evil Geniuses at 14.5%. $1K has traded across 12 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2027.

This market will resolve to the next team Skuba officially joins by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If Skuba does not officially join a new team by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "NRG". If Skuba joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other". If Skuba is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". An official signing announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from NRG and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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