The Prediction Markets

Venezuelan Primera División: Teams relegated (2026)

Closes
Jan 1, 2027, in 2 months
Traded
$2K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
1 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

Anzoátegui 74.5%

Next is Deportivo La Guaira at 50%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Anzoátegui
74.5%
Polymarket 74.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Anzoátegui
Last price
74.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
51¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$230
Trade this on Polymarket
Deportivo La Guaira
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 98.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Deportivo La Guaira
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
98.9¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Deportivo Táchira
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 98.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Deportivo Táchira
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
98.9¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Estudiantes de Mérida
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 98.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Estudiantes de Mérida
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
98.9¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Monagas
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 98.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Monagas
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
98.9¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Zamora
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 98.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Zamora
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
98.9¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Academia Puerto Cabello
49.9%
Polymarket 49.9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 98.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Academia Puerto Cabello
Last price
49.9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
98.7¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$44
Trade this on Polymarket
Portuguesa
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Portuguesa
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Rayo Zuliano
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rayo Zuliano
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Carabobo
24.5%
Polymarket 24.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 47.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $209 (2.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
Carabobo
Last price
24.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
47.9¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$209 (2.09x)
Volume
$418
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 4 more outcomes
Trujillanos
19.5%
Polymarket 19.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 37¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
Trujillanos
Last price
19.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
37¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$270 (2.70x)
Volume
$932
Trade this on Polymarket
Metropolitanos
9%
Polymarket 9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Polymarket
Contract
Metropolitanos
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$56
Trade this on Polymarket
Caracas FC
5.1%
Polymarket 5.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Caracas FC
Last price
5.1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$93
Trade this on Polymarket
Universidad Central (UCV)
4.5%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Universidad Central (UCV)
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$122
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Anzoátegui
  • Deportivo La Guaira
  • Deportivo Táchira

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Venezuelan Primera División: Teams relegated (2026)". Anzoátegui leads at 74.5%. Next is Deportivo La Guaira at 50%. $2K has traded across 14 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from Venezuelan Primera División at the conclusion of the 2026 Venezuelan Primera División season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in Venezuelan Primera División for the following season through their final standing in the 2026 Venezuelan Primera División, via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by Venezuelan Primera División. If the 2026 Venezuelan Primera División season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for relegation within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Venezuelan Primera División. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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