The Prediction Markets

Verizon postpaid phone net additions in Q3

Closes
Feb 17, 2027, in 4 months
Traded
$19K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
3 h ago
Share

What the markets expect

Above 150 thousand 92%

Next is Above 75 thousand at 90%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 3 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Above 150 thousand
92%
Kalshi 92%polled, 3 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 150 thousand
Last price
92%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
11¢
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 75 thousand
90%
Kalshi 90%polled, 3 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 75 thousand
Last price
90%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
11¢
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 100 thousand
89%
Kalshi 89%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 100 thousand
Last price
89%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Volume
$502
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 300 thousand
87%
Kalshi 87%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 300 thousand
Last price
87%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
87¢
Sell Yes
30¢
$100 on Yes pays
$115 (1.15x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 250 thousand
86%
Kalshi 86%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 250 thousand
Last price
86%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
87¢
Sell Yes
23¢
$100 on Yes pays
$115 (1.15x)
Volume
$949
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 125 thousand
84%
Kalshi 84%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 125 thousand
Last price
84%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$684
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 200 thousand
74%
Kalshi 74%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 200 thousand
Last price
74%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
29¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 25 thousand
53.5%
Kalshi 53.5%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 25 thousand
Last price
53.5%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 50 thousand
46.5%
Kalshi 46.5%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 50 thousand
Last price
46.5%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 275 thousand
40%
Kalshi 40%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 275 thousand
Last price
40%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
26¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 6 more outcomes
Above 325 thousand
25%
Kalshi 25%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 86¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 325 thousand
Last price
25%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
86¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$116 (1.16x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 175 thousand
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 86¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 175 thousand
Last price
22%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
86¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$116 (1.16x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 225 thousand
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 62¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 225 thousand
Last price
22%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
62¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$161 (1.61x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 350 thousand
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 350 thousand
Last price
22%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Volume
$524
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 375 thousand
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 375 thousand
Last price
22%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 400 thousand
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 400 thousand
Last price
19%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$923
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Fiscal.ai

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Above 150 thousand
  • Above 75 thousand
  • Above 100 thousand

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (economics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Verizon postpaid phone net additions in Q3". Above 150 thousand leads at 92%. Next is Above 75 thousand at 90%. $19K has traded across 16 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Feb 17, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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