The Prediction Markets

Violent Night 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score

Full timeKickoff Waiting for the venues to settle
Traded
$33K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

94+ 98.8%

Next is 92+ at 98.8%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
94+
98.8%
Polymarket 98.8%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 99.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
94+
Last price
98.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99.9¢
Sell Yes
97.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$900
Trade this on Polymarket
92+
98.8%
Polymarket 98.8%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
92+
Last price
98.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
98.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$784
Trade this on Polymarket
85+
98.5%
Polymarket 98.5%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 99.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
85+
Last price
98.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99.6¢
Sell Yes
97.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$30
Trade this on Polymarket
96+
97%
Polymarket 97%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 98.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
96+
Last price
97%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98.8¢
Sell Yes
95.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
40+
93%
Polymarket 93%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
40+
Last price
93%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
89¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$900
Trade this on Polymarket
50+
80.9%
Polymarket 99.6%polled, 2 min agoPolymarket 30%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 53¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Polymarket
Contract
50+
Last price
99.6%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
99.9¢
Sell Yes
99.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
50+
Last price
30%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
53¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$189 (1.89x)
Volume
$500
Trade this on Polymarket
98+
78.5%
Polymarket 78.5%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 89¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Polymarket
Contract
98+
Last price
78.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
89¢
Sell Yes
68¢
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 45
77%
Kalshi 77%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 45
Last price
77%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
77¢
Sell Yes
76¢
$100 on Yes pays
$130 (1.30x)
Volume
$33
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 50
73%
Kalshi 73%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 73¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 50
Last price
73%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
73¢
Sell Yes
72¢
$100 on Yes pays
$137 (1.37x)
Volume
$26
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 55
67%
Kalshi 67%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 67¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 55
Last price
67%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
67¢
Sell Yes
66¢
$100 on Yes pays
$149 (1.49x)
Volume
$46
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 12 more outcomes
Above 60
55.5%
Kalshi 55.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 56¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 60
Last price
55.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
56¢
Sell Yes
55¢
$100 on Yes pays
$179 (1.79x)
Trade this on Kalshi
75+
53%
Polymarket 53%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 55¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Polymarket
Contract
75+
Last price
53%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
55¢
Sell Yes
51¢
$100 on Yes pays
$182 (1.82x)
Volume
$114
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 65
51%
Kalshi 51%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 52¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 65
Last price
51%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
52¢
Sell Yes
51¢
$100 on Yes pays
$192 (1.92x)
Volume
$100
Trade this on Kalshi
60+
51%
Polymarket 99.3%polled, 2 min agoPolymarket 26%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
60+
Last price
99.3%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
99.9¢
Sell Yes
98.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$851
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
60+
Last price
26%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
90+
40.4%
Polymarket 98.7%polled, 58s agoPolymarket 0.6%polled, 2 min agoPolymarket 0.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
90+
Last price
98.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99.9¢
Sell Yes
97.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
90+
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
90+
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$479
Trade this on Polymarket
70+
39.6%
Polymarket 94%polled, 2 min agoPolymarket 4.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,316 (13.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
70+
Last price
94%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
93¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
70+
Last price
4.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
7.6¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,316 (13.2x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 70
38%
Kalshi 38%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 70
Last price
38%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$80
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 75
28%
Kalshi 28%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 75
Last price
28%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
28¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$206
Trade this on Kalshi
80+
20.7%
Polymarket 27%polled, 2 min agoPolymarket 1.7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
80+
Last price
27%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
80+
Last price
1.7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$197
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 80
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 80
Last price
13%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 85
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 85
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 90
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 90
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Rotten Tomatoes

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 94+
  • 92+
  • 85+

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Kalshi doesn’t list 94+ for this event.

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Violent Night 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score". 94+ leads at 98.8%. Next is 92+ at 98.8%. $33K has traded across 22 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 7, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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