The Prediction Markets

Virslīga (Latvia): Teams relegated (2026)

Closes
Jan 1, 2027, in 2 months
Traded
$5K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
1 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

Grobiņas SC 55%

Next is Tukums 2000 at 50%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Grobiņas SC
55%
Polymarket 55%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 88¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
Grobiņas SC
Last price
55%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$580
Trade this on Polymarket
Tukums 2000
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tukums 2000
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$330
Trade this on Polymarket
SK Super Nova
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 98.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
SK Super Nova
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
98.9¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$60
Trade this on Polymarket
Ogre United
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ogre United
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$60
Trade this on Polymarket
FS Jelgava
10.1%
Polymarket 10.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 12.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $781 (7.81x)
Polymarket
Contract
FS Jelgava
Last price
10.1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
12.8¢
Sell Yes
7.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$781 (7.81x)
Volume
$496
Trade this on Polymarket
FK Auda
5.2%
Polymarket 5.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,020 (10.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
FK Auda
Last price
5.2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9.8¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,020 (10.2x)
Volume
$768
Trade this on Polymarket
RFS
3%
Polymarket 3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,786 (17.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
RFS
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.6¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,786 (17.9x)
Volume
$895
Trade this on Polymarket
BFC Daugavpils
1.7%
Polymarket 1.7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,030 (30.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
BFC Daugavpils
Last price
1.7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
3.3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,030 (30.3x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
FK Liepāja
1.7%
Polymarket 1.7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
FK Liepāja
Last price
1.7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$634
Trade this on Polymarket
Riga FC
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Riga FC
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$341
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Grobiņas SC
  • Tukums 2000
  • SK Super Nova

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Virslīga (Latvia): Teams relegated (2026)". Grobiņas SC leads at 55%. Next is Tukums 2000 at 50%. $5K has traded across 10 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from Virslīga (Latvia) at the conclusion of the 2026 Virslīga (Latvia) season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in Virslīga (Latvia) for the following season through their final standing in the 2026 Virslīga (Latvia), via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by Virslīga (Latvia). If the 2026 Virslīga (Latvia) season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for relegation within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Virslīga (Latvia). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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