The Prediction Markets

Vogue (US) 2026: Cover Models

Closes
Jun 30, 2027, in 8 months
Traded
$25K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
6 h ago
Share

What the markets expect

Alex Consani 50%

Next is Billie Eilish at 50%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 6 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Alex Consani
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 6 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Alex Consani
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 6 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
50¢
Volume
$170
Trade this on Kalshi
Billie Eilish
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 6 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Billie Eilish
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 6 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Kalshi
Chappell Roan
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 6 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Chappell Roan
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 6 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Kalshi
Jennifer Lawrence
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 6 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Jennifer Lawrence
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 6 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Kalshi
Selena Gomez
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 6 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Selena Gomez
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 6 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Kalshi
Sydney Sweeney
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 6 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Sydney Sweeney
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 6 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Kalshi
Taylor Swift
27%
Kalshi 27%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 60¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Taylor Swift
Last price
27%
As of
Polled 6 h ago
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Dua Lipa
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, 6 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Dua Lipa
Last price
23%
As of
Polled 6 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Volume
$931
Trade this on Kalshi
Hailey Bieber
20%
Kalshi 20%polled, 6 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Hailey Bieber
Last price
20%
As of
Polled 6 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
18¢
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kendall Jenner
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kendall Jenner
Last price
18%
As of
Polled 6 h ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 20 more outcomes
Rihanna
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 6 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Rihanna
Last price
18%
As of
Polled 6 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
8¢
Volume
$872
Trade this on Kalshi
A’ja Wilson
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 82¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Kalshi
Contract
A’ja Wilson
Last price
16%
As of
Polled 6 h ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Ariana Grande
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ariana Grande
Last price
16%
As of
Polled 6 h ago
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Miley Cyrus
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Miley Cyrus
Last price
14%
As of
Polled 6 h ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Nicole Kidman
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nicole Kidman
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 6 h ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Bella Hadid
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 6 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Bella Hadid
Last price
11%
As of
Polled 6 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Margot Robbie
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 6 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Margot Robbie
Last price
11%
As of
Polled 6 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Sabrina Carpenter
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sabrina Carpenter
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 6 h ago
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Jennie
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 6 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Jennie
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 6 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Jenna Ortega
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jenna Ortega
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 6 h ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$15
Trade this on Kalshi
Coco Gauff
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 6 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Coco Gauff
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 6 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Volume
$13
Trade this on Kalshi
Venus Williams
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
Contract
Venus Williams
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 6 h ago
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$1
Trade this on Kalshi
Beyoncé
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 6 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Beyoncé
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 6 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Volume
$346
Trade this on Kalshi
Charli xcx
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Kalshi
Contract
Charli xcx
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 6 h ago
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Volume
$78
Trade this on Kalshi
Florence Pugh
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 6 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Florence Pugh
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 6 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Zoë Kravitz
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Kalshi
Contract
Zoë Kravitz
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 6 h ago
Buy Yes
54¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$185 (1.85x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Teyana Taylor
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Teyana Taylor
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 6 h ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$272
Trade this on Kalshi
Tyla
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 6 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Tyla
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 6 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Volume
$36
Trade this on Kalshi
Pamela Anderson
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Pamela Anderson
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 6 h ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$28
Trade this on Kalshi
Lady Gaga
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 75¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Lady Gaga
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 6 h ago
Buy Yes
75¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Vogue

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Alex Consani
  • Billie Eilish
  • Chappell Roan

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Vogue (US) 2026: Cover Models". Alex Consani leads at 50%. Next is Billie Eilish at 50%. $25K has traded across 30 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jun 30, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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