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Trading ended on Aug 4, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 126 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Best Yes price
John Braun97.1%97.1%95.5¢ bid, 98.7¢ askpolled, 3033 h ago98.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $101 (1.01x)John Braun97.1%Polymarket 97.1%polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 98.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
John Braun
97.1%
97.1%
95.5¢ bid, 98.7¢ ask
polled, 3033 h ago
98.7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
John Braun
97.1%
Polymarket 97.1%polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 98.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- John Braun
- Last price
- 97.1%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 98.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 95.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
- Volume
- $6K
Marie Gluesenkamp Perez89%89%86.2¢ bid, 91.7¢ askpolled, 3033 h ago91.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $109 (1.09x)Marie Gluesenkamp Perez89%Polymarket 89%polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 91.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Marie Gluesenkamp Perez
89%
89%
86.2¢ bid, 91.7¢ ask
polled, 3033 h ago
91.7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Marie Gluesenkamp Perez
89%
Polymarket 89%polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 91.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Marie Gluesenkamp Perez
- Last price
- 89%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 91.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 86.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $109 (1.09x)
- Volume
- $10K
Antony Barran15.9%15.9%2¢ bid, 29.8¢ askpolled, 3033 h ago29.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $336 (3.36x)Antony Barran15.9%Polymarket 15.9%polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 29.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $336 (3.36x)
Antony Barran
15.9%
15.9%
2¢ bid, 29.8¢ ask
polled, 3033 h ago
29.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $336 (3.36x)
Antony Barran
15.9%
Polymarket 15.9%polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 29.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $336 (3.36x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Antony Barran
- Last price
- 15.9%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 29.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $336 (3.36x)
- Volume
- $187
Brent Hennrich9.4%9.4%3.8¢ bid, 14.9¢ askpolled, 3033 h ago14.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $671 (6.71x)Brent Hennrich9.4%Polymarket 9.4%polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 14.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $671 (6.71x)
Brent Hennrich
9.4%
9.4%
3.8¢ bid, 14.9¢ ask
polled, 3033 h ago
14.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $671 (6.71x)
Brent Hennrich
9.4%
Polymarket 9.4%polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 14.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $671 (6.71x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Brent Hennrich
- Last price
- 9.4%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 14.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 3.8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $671 (6.71x)
- Volume
- $19K
Lawrence Kellogg5.4%5.4%2.7¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 3033 h ago8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Lawrence Kellogg5.4%Polymarket 5.4%polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Lawrence Kellogg
5.4%
5.4%
2.7¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 3033 h ago
8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Lawrence Kellogg
5.4%
Polymarket 5.4%polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Lawrence Kellogg
- Last price
- 5.4%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 2.7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $5K
Suzzanna V. Tanner3.5%3.5%0.8¢ bid, 6.2¢ askpolled, 3033 h ago6.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,613 (16.1x)Suzzanna V. Tanner3.5%Polymarket 3.5%polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 6.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,613 (16.1x)
Suzzanna V. Tanner
3.5%
3.5%
0.8¢ bid, 6.2¢ ask
polled, 3033 h ago
6.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,613 (16.1x)
Suzzanna V. Tanner
3.5%
Polymarket 3.5%polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 6.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,613 (16.1x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Suzzanna V. Tanner
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 6.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,613 (16.1x)
- Volume
- $1K
Eric Vaughan3.1%3.1%1.9¢ bid, 4.3¢ askpolled, 3033 h ago4.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,326 (23.3x)Eric Vaughan3.1%Polymarket 3.1%polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 4.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,326 (23.3x)
Eric Vaughan
3.1%
3.1%
1.9¢ bid, 4.3¢ ask
polled, 3033 h ago
4.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,326 (23.3x)
Eric Vaughan
3.1%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 4.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,326 (23.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Eric Vaughan
- Last price
- 3.1%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 4.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,326 (23.3x)
- Volume
- $4K
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- John Braun
- Marie Gluesenkamp Perez
- Antony Barran
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
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Buy
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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Final prediction market prices for "WA-03 Primary Winners". John Braun last traded at 97.1%. Next is Marie Gluesenkamp Perez at 89%. $46K has traded across 7 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Aug 4, 2026.
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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