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What the markets expect
Over 214.5 points 94%
Next is Over 216.5 points at 93%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 3 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Over 214.5 points94%94%94¢ bid, 96¢ askpolled, 3 min ago96¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $104 (1.04x)Over 214.5 points94%Kalshi 94%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Over 214.5 points
94%
94%
94¢ bid, 96¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
96¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Over 214.5 points
94%
Kalshi 94%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 214.5 points
- Last price
- 94%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 96¢
- Sell Yes
- 94¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $104 (1.04x)
- Volume
- $400
Over 216.5 points93%93%92¢ bid, 94¢ askpolled, 3 min ago94¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $106 (1.06x)Over 216.5 points93%Kalshi 93%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Over 216.5 points
93%
93%
92¢ bid, 94¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
94¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Over 216.5 points
93%
Kalshi 93%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 216.5 points
- Last price
- 93%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 94¢
- Sell Yes
- 92¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $106 (1.06x)
Over 218.5 points92%92%90¢ bid, 94¢ askpolled, 3 min ago94¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $106 (1.06x)Over 218.5 points92%Kalshi 92%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Over 218.5 points
92%
92%
90¢ bid, 94¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
94¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Over 218.5 points
92%
Kalshi 92%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 218.5 points
- Last price
- 92%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 94¢
- Sell Yes
- 90¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $106 (1.06x)
Over 220.5 points91%91%89¢ bid, 93¢ askpolled, 3 min ago93¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $108 (1.08x)Over 220.5 points91%Kalshi 91%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Over 220.5 points
91%
91%
89¢ bid, 93¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
93¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Over 220.5 points
91%
Kalshi 91%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 220.5 points
- Last price
- 91%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 93¢
- Sell Yes
- 89¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $108 (1.08x)
Over 222.5 points89%89%87¢ bid, 91¢ askpolled, 3 min ago91¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $110 (1.10x)Over 222.5 points89%Kalshi 89%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 91¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Over 222.5 points
89%
89%
87¢ bid, 91¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
91¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Over 222.5 points
89%
Kalshi 89%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 91¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 222.5 points
- Last price
- 89%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 91¢
- Sell Yes
- 87¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $110 (1.10x)
Over 224.5 points86.5%86.5%84¢ bid, 89¢ askpolled, 3 min ago89¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $112 (1.12x)Over 224.5 points86.5%Kalshi 86.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Over 224.5 points
86.5%
86.5%
84¢ bid, 89¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
89¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Over 224.5 points
86.5%
Kalshi 86.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 224.5 points
- Last price
- 86.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 89¢
- Sell Yes
- 84¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $112 (1.12x)
Over 226.5 points85%85%82¢ bid, 86¢ askpolled, 3 min ago86¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $116 (1.16x)Over 226.5 points85%Kalshi 85%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 86¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Over 226.5 points
85%
85%
82¢ bid, 86¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
86¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Over 226.5 points
85%
Kalshi 85%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 86¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 226.5 points
- Last price
- 85%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 86¢
- Sell Yes
- 82¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $116 (1.16x)
Over 228.5 points80%80%79¢ bid, 81¢ askpolled, 3 min ago81¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $123 (1.23x)Over 228.5 points80%Kalshi 80%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Over 228.5 points
80%
80%
79¢ bid, 81¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
81¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Over 228.5 points
80%
Kalshi 80%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 228.5 points
- Last price
- 80%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 81¢
- Sell Yes
- 79¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $123 (1.23x)
Over 230.5 points77%77%76¢ bid, 78¢ askpolled, 3 min ago78¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $128 (1.28x)Over 230.5 points77%Kalshi 77%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 78¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Over 230.5 points
77%
77%
76¢ bid, 78¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
78¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Over 230.5 points
77%
Kalshi 77%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 78¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 230.5 points
- Last price
- 77%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 78¢
- Sell Yes
- 76¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $128 (1.28x)
Over 232.5 points73%73%72¢ bid, 74¢ askpolled, 3 min ago74¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $135 (1.35x)Over 232.5 points73%Kalshi 73%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Over 232.5 points
73%
73%
72¢ bid, 74¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
74¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Over 232.5 points
73%
Kalshi 73%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 232.5 points
- Last price
- 73%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 74¢
- Sell Yes
- 72¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $135 (1.35x)
Show 19 more outcomesHide 19 outcomes
Over 234.5 points69.5%69.5%68¢ bid, 71¢ askpolled, 3 min ago71¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $141 (1.41x)Over 234.5 points69.5%Kalshi 69.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 71¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Over 234.5 points
69.5%
69.5%
68¢ bid, 71¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
71¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Over 234.5 points
69.5%
Kalshi 69.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 71¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 234.5 points
- Last price
- 69.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 71¢
- Sell Yes
- 68¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $141 (1.41x)
Over 236.5 points65.5%65.5%64¢ bid, 67¢ askpolled, 3 min ago67¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $149 (1.49x)Over 236.5 points65.5%Kalshi 65.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 67¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Over 236.5 points
65.5%
65.5%
64¢ bid, 67¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
67¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Over 236.5 points
65.5%
Kalshi 65.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 67¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 236.5 points
- Last price
- 65.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 67¢
- Sell Yes
- 64¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $149 (1.49x)
Over 238.5 points61.5%61.5%60¢ bid, 63¢ askpolled, 3 min ago63¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $159 (1.59x)Over 238.5 points61.5%Kalshi 61.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 63¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Over 238.5 points
61.5%
61.5%
60¢ bid, 63¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
63¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Over 238.5 points
61.5%
Kalshi 61.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 63¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 238.5 points
- Last price
- 61.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 63¢
- Sell Yes
- 60¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $159 (1.59x)
Over 240.5 points57%57%56¢ bid, 58¢ askpolled, 3 min ago58¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $172 (1.72x)Over 240.5 points57%Kalshi 57%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 58¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Over 240.5 points
57%
57%
56¢ bid, 58¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
58¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Over 240.5 points
57%
Kalshi 57%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 58¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 240.5 points
- Last price
- 57%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 58¢
- Sell Yes
- 56¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $172 (1.72x)
Over 242.5 points52%52%52¢ bid, 54¢ askpolled, 3 min ago54¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $185 (1.85x)Over 242.5 points52%Kalshi 52%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Over 242.5 points
52%
52%
52¢ bid, 54¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
54¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Over 242.5 points
52%
Kalshi 52%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 242.5 points
- Last price
- 52%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 54¢
- Sell Yes
- 52¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $185 (1.85x)
- Volume
- $1K
Over 244.5 points48%48%48¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 3 min ago50¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Over 244.5 points48%Kalshi 48%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Over 244.5 points
48%
48%
48¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
50¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Over 244.5 points
48%
Kalshi 48%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 244.5 points
- Last price
- 48%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 48¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Over 246.5 points44%44%43¢ bid, 45¢ askpolled, 3 min ago45¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $222 (2.22x)Over 246.5 points44%Kalshi 44%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Over 246.5 points
44%
44%
43¢ bid, 45¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
45¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Over 246.5 points
44%
Kalshi 44%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 246.5 points
- Last price
- 44%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 45¢
- Sell Yes
- 43¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $222 (2.22x)
Over 248.5 points40.5%40.5%39¢ bid, 42¢ askpolled, 3 min ago42¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $238 (2.38x)Over 248.5 points40.5%Kalshi 40.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Over 248.5 points
40.5%
40.5%
39¢ bid, 42¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
42¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Over 248.5 points
40.5%
Kalshi 40.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 248.5 points
- Last price
- 40.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 42¢
- Sell Yes
- 39¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $238 (2.38x)
Over 250.5 points36%36%34¢ bid, 38¢ askpolled, 3 min ago38¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $263 (2.63x)Over 250.5 points36%Kalshi 36%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Over 250.5 points
36%
36%
34¢ bid, 38¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
38¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Over 250.5 points
36%
Kalshi 36%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 250.5 points
- Last price
- 36%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 38¢
- Sell Yes
- 34¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $263 (2.63x)
Over 252.5 points32.5%32.5%32¢ bid, 33¢ askpolled, 3 min ago33¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $303 (3.03x)Over 252.5 points32.5%Kalshi 32.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Over 252.5 points
32.5%
32.5%
32¢ bid, 33¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
33¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Over 252.5 points
32.5%
Kalshi 32.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 252.5 points
- Last price
- 32.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 33¢
- Sell Yes
- 32¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $303 (3.03x)
Over 254.5 points29%29%28¢ bid, 30¢ askpolled, 3 min ago30¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $333 (3.33x)Over 254.5 points29%Kalshi 29%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Over 254.5 points
29%
29%
28¢ bid, 30¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
30¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Over 254.5 points
29%
Kalshi 29%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 254.5 points
- Last price
- 29%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 30¢
- Sell Yes
- 28¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $333 (3.33x)
Over 256.5 points26%26%25¢ bid, 27¢ askpolled, 3 min ago27¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $370 (3.70x)Over 256.5 points26%Kalshi 26%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Over 256.5 points
26%
26%
25¢ bid, 27¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
27¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Over 256.5 points
26%
Kalshi 26%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 256.5 points
- Last price
- 26%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 27¢
- Sell Yes
- 25¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $370 (3.70x)
Over 258.5 points22%22%21¢ bid, 23¢ askpolled, 3 min ago23¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $435 (4.35x)Over 258.5 points22%Kalshi 22%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Over 258.5 points
22%
22%
21¢ bid, 23¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
23¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Over 258.5 points
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 258.5 points
- Last price
- 22%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 23¢
- Sell Yes
- 21¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $435 (4.35x)
Over 260.5 points19%19%18¢ bid, 20¢ askpolled, 3 min ago20¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $500 (5.00x)Over 260.5 points19%Kalshi 19%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Over 260.5 points
19%
19%
18¢ bid, 20¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
20¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Over 260.5 points
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 260.5 points
- Last price
- 19%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 20¢
- Sell Yes
- 18¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $500 (5.00x)
Over 262.5 points16.5%16.5%15¢ bid, 18¢ askpolled, 3 min ago18¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $556 (5.56x)Over 262.5 points16.5%Kalshi 16.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Over 262.5 points
16.5%
16.5%
15¢ bid, 18¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
18¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Over 262.5 points
16.5%
Kalshi 16.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 262.5 points
- Last price
- 16.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 18¢
- Sell Yes
- 15¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $556 (5.56x)
Over 264.5 points13.5%13.5%12¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, 3 min ago15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Over 264.5 points13.5%Kalshi 13.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Over 264.5 points
13.5%
13.5%
12¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Over 264.5 points
13.5%
Kalshi 13.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 264.5 points
- Last price
- 13.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
Over 266.5 points9%9%9¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 3 min ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Over 266.5 points9%Kalshi 9%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Over 266.5 points
9%
9%
9¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Over 266.5 points
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 266.5 points
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
Over 268.5 points9%9%7¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 3 min ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Over 268.5 points9%Kalshi 9%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Over 268.5 points
9%
9%
7¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Over 268.5 points
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 268.5 points
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
Over 270.5 points8.5%8.5%6¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 3 min ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Over 270.5 points8.5%Kalshi 8.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Over 270.5 points
8.5%
8.5%
6¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Over 270.5 points
8.5%
Kalshi 8.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 270.5 points
- Last price
- 8.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League, ESPN
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Over 214.5 points
- Over 216.5 points
- Over 218.5 points
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Washington vs Chicago: Total Points". Over 214.5 points leads at 94%. Next is Over 216.5 points at 93%. $2K has traded across 29 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 27, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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