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Spread
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Best ask
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What the markets expect
Conor Benn 71%
Next is Mario Barrios at 49%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Conor Benn71%71%— bid, 71¢ askpolled, 1 min ago71¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $141 (1.41x)Conor Benn71%Kalshi 71%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 71¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Conor Benn
71%
71%
— bid, 71¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
71¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Conor Benn
71%
Kalshi 71%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 71¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Conor Benn
- Last price
- 71%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 71¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $141 (1.41x)
- Volume
- $559
Mario Barrios49%49%— bid, 49¢ askpolled, 1 min ago49¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $204 (2.04x)Mario Barrios49%Kalshi 49%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Mario Barrios
49%
49%
— bid, 49¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
49¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Mario Barrios
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Mario Barrios
- Last price
- 49%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 49¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $204 (2.04x)
- Volume
- $2
Samuel Molina49%49%— bid, 49¢ askpolled, 1 min ago49¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $204 (2.04x)Samuel Molina49%Kalshi 49%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Samuel Molina
49%
49%
— bid, 49¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
49¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Samuel Molina
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Samuel Molina
- Last price
- 49%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 49¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $204 (2.04x)
- Volume
- $2
Ryan Garcia32%32%32¢ bid, 93¢ askpolled, 1 min ago93¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $108 (1.08x)Ryan Garcia32%Kalshi 32%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Ryan Garcia
32%
32%
32¢ bid, 93¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
93¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Ryan Garcia
32%
Kalshi 32%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ryan Garcia
- Last price
- 32%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 93¢
- Sell Yes
- 32¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $108 (1.08x)
- Volume
- $1K
Arnold Barboza24.5%24.5%— bid, 49¢ askpolled, 1 min ago49¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $204 (2.04x)Arnold Barboza24.5%Kalshi 24.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Arnold Barboza
24.5%
24.5%
— bid, 49¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
49¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Arnold Barboza
24.5%
Kalshi 24.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Arnold Barboza
- Last price
- 24.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 49¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $204 (2.04x)
Brian Norman24.5%24.5%— bid, 49¢ askpolled, 1 min ago49¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $204 (2.04x)Brian Norman24.5%Kalshi 24.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Brian Norman
24.5%
24.5%
— bid, 49¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
49¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Brian Norman
24.5%
Kalshi 24.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Brian Norman
- Last price
- 24.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 49¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $204 (2.04x)
Devin Haney24.5%24.5%— bid, 49¢ askpolled, 1 min ago49¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $204 (2.04x)Devin Haney24.5%Kalshi 24.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Devin Haney
24.5%
24.5%
— bid, 49¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
49¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Devin Haney
24.5%
Kalshi 24.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Devin Haney
- Last price
- 24.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 49¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $204 (2.04x)
Egidijus Kavaliauskas24.5%24.5%— bid, 49¢ askpolled, 1 min ago49¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $204 (2.04x)Egidijus Kavaliauskas24.5%Kalshi 24.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Egidijus Kavaliauskas
24.5%
24.5%
— bid, 49¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
49¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Egidijus Kavaliauskas
24.5%
Kalshi 24.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Egidijus Kavaliauskas
- Last price
- 24.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 49¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $204 (2.04x)
Jack Catterall24.5%24.5%— bid, 49¢ askpolled, 1 min ago49¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $204 (2.04x)Jack Catterall24.5%Kalshi 24.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Jack Catterall
24.5%
24.5%
— bid, 49¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
49¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Jack Catterall
24.5%
Kalshi 24.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jack Catterall
- Last price
- 24.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 49¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $204 (2.04x)
Karen Chukhadzhian24.5%24.5%— bid, 49¢ askpolled, 1 min ago49¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $204 (2.04x)Karen Chukhadzhian24.5%Kalshi 24.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Karen Chukhadzhian
24.5%
24.5%
— bid, 49¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
49¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Karen Chukhadzhian
24.5%
Kalshi 24.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Karen Chukhadzhian
- Last price
- 24.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 49¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $204 (2.04x)
Show 8 more outcomesHide 8 outcomes
Lewis Crocker24.5%24.5%— bid, 49¢ askpolled, 1 min ago49¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $204 (2.04x)Lewis Crocker24.5%Kalshi 24.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Lewis Crocker
24.5%
24.5%
— bid, 49¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
49¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Lewis Crocker
24.5%
Kalshi 24.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Lewis Crocker
- Last price
- 24.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 49¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $204 (2.04x)
Raul Curiel24.5%24.5%— bid, 49¢ askpolled, 1 min ago49¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $204 (2.04x)Raul Curiel24.5%Kalshi 24.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Raul Curiel
24.5%
24.5%
— bid, 49¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
49¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Raul Curiel
24.5%
Kalshi 24.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Raul Curiel
- Last price
- 24.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 49¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $204 (2.04x)
Rohan Polanco24.5%24.5%— bid, 49¢ askpolled, 1 min ago49¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $204 (2.04x)Rohan Polanco24.5%Kalshi 24.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Rohan Polanco
24.5%
24.5%
— bid, 49¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
49¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Rohan Polanco
24.5%
Kalshi 24.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Rohan Polanco
- Last price
- 24.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 49¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $204 (2.04x)
Souleymane Cissokho24.5%24.5%— bid, 49¢ askpolled, 1 min ago49¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $204 (2.04x)Souleymane Cissokho24.5%Kalshi 24.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Souleymane Cissokho
24.5%
24.5%
— bid, 49¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
49¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Souleymane Cissokho
24.5%
Kalshi 24.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Souleymane Cissokho
- Last price
- 24.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 49¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $204 (2.04x)
Teofimo Lopez24.5%24.5%— bid, 49¢ askpolled, 1 min ago49¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $204 (2.04x)Teofimo Lopez24.5%Kalshi 24.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Teofimo Lopez
24.5%
24.5%
— bid, 49¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
49¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Teofimo Lopez
24.5%
Kalshi 24.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Teofimo Lopez
- Last price
- 24.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 49¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $204 (2.04x)
Title is vacant24.5%24.5%— bid, 49¢ askpolled, 1 min ago49¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $204 (2.04x)Title is vacant24.5%Kalshi 24.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Title is vacant
24.5%
24.5%
— bid, 49¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
49¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Title is vacant
24.5%
Kalshi 24.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Title is vacant
- Last price
- 24.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 49¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $204 (2.04x)
Yaroslav Mykhalushko24.5%24.5%— bid, 49¢ askpolled, 1 min ago49¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $204 (2.04x)Yaroslav Mykhalushko24.5%Kalshi 24.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Yaroslav Mykhalushko
24.5%
24.5%
— bid, 49¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
49¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Yaroslav Mykhalushko
24.5%
Kalshi 24.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Yaroslav Mykhalushko
- Last price
- 24.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 49¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $204 (2.04x)
Manny Pacquiao2%2%1¢ bid, 33¢ askpolled, 1 min ago33¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $303 (3.03x)Manny Pacquiao2%Kalshi 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Manny Pacquiao
2%
2%
1¢ bid, 33¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
33¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Manny Pacquiao
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Manny Pacquiao
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 33¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $303 (3.03x)
- Volume
- $1K
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, WBC Boxing, Fox Sports
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Conor Benn
- Mario Barrios
- Samuel Molina
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "WBC Welterweight Title on January 1, 2027". Conor Benn leads at 71%. Next is Mario Barrios at 49%. $3K has traded across 18 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2027.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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