The Prediction Markets

Werwulf · Rotten Tomatoes score

Full timeKickoff Waiting for the venues to settle
Traded
$44K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
1 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

94+ 98.8%

Next is 92+ at 98.8%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
94+
98.8%
Polymarket 98.8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
94+
Last price
98.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
99.9¢
Sell Yes
97.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$900
Trade this on Polymarket
92+
98.8%
Polymarket 98.8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
92+
Last price
98.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
98.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$784
Trade this on Polymarket
85+
98.3%
Polymarket 98.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
85+
Last price
98.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
99.3¢
Sell Yes
97.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$30
Trade this on Polymarket
96+
97.5%
Polymarket 97.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 98.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
96+
Last price
97.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
98.9¢
Sell Yes
96.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 45
97%
Kalshi 97%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 45
Last price
97%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
97¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 50
97%
Kalshi 97%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 50
Last price
97%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
96¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$360
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 55
96%
Kalshi 96%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 55
Last price
96%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
96¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 60
95%
Kalshi 95%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 60
Last price
95%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
95¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 65
94%
Kalshi 94%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 65
Last price
94%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
94¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 70
90%
Kalshi 90%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 70
Last price
90%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
89¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 12 more outcomes
98+
88%
Polymarket 88%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 90¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Polymarket
Contract
98+
Last price
88%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
86¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 75
86%
Kalshi 86%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 86¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 75
Last price
86%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
86¢
Sell Yes
85¢
$100 on Yes pays
$116 (1.16x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
40+
83%
Polymarket 83%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 88¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
40+
Last price
83%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
78¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$941
Trade this on Polymarket
75+
83%
Polymarket 83%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 96¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
75+
Last price
83%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
70¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$213
Trade this on Polymarket
50+
79.8%
Polymarket 99.6%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 26%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 44¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Polymarket
Contract
50+
Last price
99.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
99.9¢
Sell Yes
99.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
50+
Last price
26%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Volume
$500
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 80
78%
Kalshi 78%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 78¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 80
Last price
78%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
78¢
Sell Yes
77¢
$100 on Yes pays
$128 (1.28x)
Volume
$599
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 85
61%
Kalshi 61%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 62¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 85
Last price
61%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
62¢
Sell Yes
61¢
$100 on Yes pays
$161 (1.61x)
Volume
$759
Trade this on Kalshi
60+
51%
Polymarket 99.3%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 26%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
60+
Last price
99.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
99.9¢
Sell Yes
98.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$851
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
60+
Last price
26%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
70+
45.6%
Polymarket 94.5%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 5.9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $943 (9.43x)
Polymarket
Contract
70+
Last price
94.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
93¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
70+
Last price
5.9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
10.6¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$943 (9.43x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 90
41%
Kalshi 41%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 90
Last price
41%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
41¢
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Volume
$29
Trade this on Kalshi
90+
40.4%
Polymarket 98.7%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 0.6%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 0.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
90+
Last price
98.7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
99.9¢
Sell Yes
97.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
90+
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
90+
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$479
Trade this on Polymarket
80+
7.1%
Polymarket 9%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 1.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,000 (40.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
80+
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
80+
Last price
1.4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
2.5¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,000 (40.0x)
Volume
$197
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Rotten Tomatoes

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 94+
  • 92+
  • 85+

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Kalshi doesn’t list 94+ for this event.

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Werwulf · Rotten Tomatoes score". 94+ leads at 98.8%. Next is 92+ at 98.8%. $44K has traded across 22 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 28, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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