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ConnectingBest bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Waiting for the first live quote…
What the markets expect
Above 390K 95.5%
Next is Above 430K at 89%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Above 390K95.5%Not listed95.5%92¢ bid, 99¢ askpolled, just now99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Above 390K95.5%Kalshi 95.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Above 390K
95.5%
Not listed
95.5%
92¢ bid, 99¢ ask
polled, just now
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Above 390K
95.5%
Kalshi 95.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 390K
- Last price
- 95.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- 92¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Above 430K89%Not listed89%83¢ bid, 95¢ askpolled, just now95¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $105 (1.05x)Above 430K89%Kalshi 89%polled, just nowBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Above 430K
89%
Not listed
89%
83¢ bid, 95¢ ask
polled, just now
95¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Above 430K
89%
Kalshi 89%polled, just nowBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 430K
- Last price
- 89%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 95¢
- Sell Yes
- 83¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $105 (1.05x)
Above 470K78%Not listed78%66¢ bid, 78¢ askpolled, just now78¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $128 (1.28x)Above 470K78%Kalshi 78%polled, just nowBest Yes 78¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Above 470K
78%
Not listed
78%
66¢ bid, 78¢ ask
polled, just now
78¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Above 470K
78%
Kalshi 78%polled, just nowBest Yes 78¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 470K
- Last price
- 78%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 78¢
- Sell Yes
- 66¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $128 (1.28x)
- Volume
- $23
Above 510K57%Not listed57%45¢ bid, 57¢ askpolled, just now57¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $175 (1.75x)Above 510K57%Kalshi 57%polled, just nowBest Yes 57¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Above 510K
57%
Not listed
57%
45¢ bid, 57¢ ask
polled, just now
57¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Above 510K
57%
Kalshi 57%polled, just nowBest Yes 57¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 510K
- Last price
- 57%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 57¢
- Sell Yes
- 45¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $175 (1.75x)
- Volume
- $349
500K-550K32%32%30¢ bid, 34¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed34¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $294 (2.94x)500K-550K32%Polymarket 32%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 34¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
500K-550K
32%
32%
30¢ bid, 34¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
34¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
500K-550K
32%
Polymarket 32%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 34¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 500K-550K
- Last price
- 32%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- 30¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
- Volume
- $1K
450K-500K31.5%31.5%28¢ bid, 35¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed35¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $286 (2.86x)450K-500K31.5%Polymarket 31.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
450K-500K
31.5%
31.5%
28¢ bid, 35¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
35¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $286 (2.86x)
450K-500K
31.5%
Polymarket 31.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 450K-500K
- Last price
- 31.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 35¢
- Sell Yes
- 28¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $286 (2.86x)
- Volume
- $5K
Above 550K29%Not listed29%24¢ bid, 35¢ askpolled, just now35¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $286 (2.86x)Above 550K29%Kalshi 29%polled, just nowBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Above 550K
29%
Not listed
29%
24¢ bid, 35¢ ask
polled, just now
35¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Above 550K
29%
Kalshi 29%polled, just nowBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 550K
- Last price
- 29%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 35¢
- Sell Yes
- 24¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $286 (2.86x)
- Volume
- $197
Above 590K21%Not listed21%9¢ bid, 21¢ askpolled, just now21¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $476 (4.76x)Above 590K21%Kalshi 21%polled, just nowBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Above 590K
21%
Not listed
21%
9¢ bid, 21¢ ask
polled, just now
21¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Above 590K
21%
Kalshi 21%polled, just nowBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 590K
- Last price
- 21%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 21¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $476 (4.76x)
- Volume
- $60
400K-450K11.5%11.5%10¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed13¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $769 (7.69x)400K-450K11.5%Polymarket 11.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
400K-450K
11.5%
11.5%
10¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
13¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
400K-450K
11.5%
Polymarket 11.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 400K-450K
- Last price
- 11.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
- Volume
- $5K
Above 630K11%Not listed11%1¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, just now13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Above 630K11%Kalshi 11%polled, just nowBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Above 630K
11%
Not listed
11%
1¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, just now
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Above 630K
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, just nowBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 630K
- Last price
- 11%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
- Volume
- $479
Show 11 more outcomesHide 11 outcomes
650K+8.1%8.1%3.8¢ bid, 12.3¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed12.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $813 (8.13x)650K+8.1%Polymarket 8.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 12.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $813 (8.13x)
650K+
8.1%
8.1%
3.8¢ bid, 12.3¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
12.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $813 (8.13x)
650K+
8.1%
Polymarket 8.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 12.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $813 (8.13x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 650K+
- Last price
- 8.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 12.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 3.8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $813 (8.13x)
- Volume
- $1K
Above 670K8%Not listed8%— bid, 8¢ askpolled, just now8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Above 670K8%Kalshi 8%polled, just nowBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Above 670K
8%
Not listed
8%
— bid, 8¢ ask
polled, just now
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Above 670K
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, just nowBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 670K
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $83
600K-650K7.1%7.1%5.5¢ bid, 8.6¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed8.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,163 (11.6x)600K-650K7.1%Polymarket 7.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,163 (11.6x)
600K-650K
7.1%
7.1%
5.5¢ bid, 8.6¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
8.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,163 (11.6x)
600K-650K
7.1%
Polymarket 7.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,163 (11.6x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 600K-650K
- Last price
- 7.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 8.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 5.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,163 (11.6x)
- Volume
- $1K
550K-600K6.8%6.8%3.6¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed10¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)550K-600K6.8%Polymarket 6.8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
550K-600K
6.8%
6.8%
3.6¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
10¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
550K-600K
6.8%
Polymarket 6.8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 550K-600K
- Last price
- 6.8%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 3.6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $814
Above 900K5%Not listed5%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, just now6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Above 900K5%Kalshi 5%polled, just nowBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Above 900K
5%
Not listed
5%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, just now
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Above 900K
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, just nowBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 900K
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $1
Above 710K3%Not listed3%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, just now6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Above 710K3%Kalshi 3%polled, just nowBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Above 710K
3%
Not listed
3%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, just now
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Above 710K
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, just nowBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 710K
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
Above 750K3%Not listed3%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, just now6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Above 750K3%Kalshi 3%polled, just nowBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Above 750K
3%
Not listed
3%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, just now
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Above 750K
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, just nowBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 750K
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
Above 790K3%Not listed3%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, just now6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Above 790K3%Kalshi 3%polled, just nowBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Above 790K
3%
Not listed
3%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, just now
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Above 790K
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, just nowBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 790K
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
Above 830K3%Not listed3%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, just now6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Above 830K3%Kalshi 3%polled, just nowBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Above 830K
3%
Not listed
3%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, just now
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Above 830K
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, just nowBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 830K
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
Above 860K3%Not listed3%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, just now6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Above 860K3%Kalshi 3%polled, just nowBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Above 860K
3%
Not listed
3%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, just now
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Above 860K
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, just nowBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 860K
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
400K0.3%0.3%0.1¢ bid, 0.5¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed0.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $20,000 (200x)400K0.3%Polymarket 0.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
400K
0.3%
0.3%
0.1¢ bid, 0.5¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
0.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $20,000 (200x)
400K
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 400K
- Last price
- 0.3%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $20,000 (200x)
- Volume
- $593
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: West Virginia Secretary of State
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Above 390K
- Above 430K
- Above 470K
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Polymarket
Polymarket doesn’t list Above 390K for this event.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.04 × price × (1 − price) per share (politics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "West Virginia Senate General Election: voter turnout". Above 390K leads at 95.5%. Next is Above 430K at 89%. $17K has traded across 21 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 3, 2027.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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