The Prediction Markets

Western Conference Play-In Tournament Qualifiers

Closes
Jun 15, 2027, in 8 months
Traded
$16K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
1 min ago
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What the markets expect

Golden State 50%

Next is Phoenix at 50%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Golden State
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Golden State
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
46¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Phoenix
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Phoenix
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
40¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$663
Trade this on Kalshi
Portland
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Portland
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
39¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$159
Trade this on Kalshi
Utah
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Utah
Last price
49%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
40¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$645
Trade this on Kalshi
Los Angeles L
48%
Kalshi 48%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 48¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
Los Angeles L
Last price
48%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
28¢
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Volume
$246
Trade this on Kalshi
Dallas
43%
Kalshi 43%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dallas
Last price
43%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
39¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Memphis
40%
Kalshi 40%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Kalshi
Contract
Memphis
Last price
40%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
35¢
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Houston
37%
Kalshi 37%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Houston
Last price
37%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$57
Trade this on Kalshi
Los Angeles C
32%
Kalshi 32%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Kalshi
Contract
Los Angeles C
Last price
32%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Volume
$371
Trade this on Kalshi
Denver
31%
Kalshi 31%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Kalshi
Contract
Denver
Last price
31%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
47¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$213 (2.13x)
Volume
$6
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 5 more outcomes
Minnesota
29%
Kalshi 29%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Kalshi
Contract
Minnesota
Last price
29%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
47¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$213 (2.13x)
Volume
$254
Trade this on Kalshi
New Orleans
29%
Kalshi 29%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
New Orleans
Last price
29%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
29¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Volume
$687
Trade this on Kalshi
Sacramento
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sacramento
Last price
16%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
San Antonio
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Kalshi
Contract
San Antonio
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Volume
$194
Trade this on Kalshi
Oklahoma City
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Kalshi
Contract
Oklahoma City
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Volume
$36
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League, ESPN

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Golden State
  • Phoenix
  • Portland

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Western Conference Play-In Tournament Qualifiers". Golden State leads at 50%. Next is Phoenix at 50%. $16K has traded across 15 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jun 15, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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