The Prediction Markets

What nicknames will Trump say before 2027?

Starts in 9 daysKickoff
Traded
$50K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
1 min ago
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What the markets expect

Marjorie Traitor Greene 80%

Next is Crying Chuck / Cryin Chuck at 79%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Marjorie Traitor Greene
80%
Kalshi 80%polled, 1 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
Marjorie Traitor Greene
Last price
80%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
79¢
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Crying Chuck / Cryin Chuck
79%
Kalshi 79%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Kalshi
Contract
Crying Chuck / Cryin Chuck
Last price
79%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
79¢
Sell Yes
58¢
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Volume
$286
Trade this on Kalshi
Crooked Hillary
74%
Kalshi 74%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Kalshi
Contract
Crooked Hillary
Last price
74%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
74¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$450
Trade this on Kalshi
Slopadopolous / Slopadopolus
72%
Kalshi 72%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 72¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Kalshi
Contract
Slopadopolous / Slopadopolus
Last price
72%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
72¢
Sell Yes
54¢
$100 on Yes pays
$139 (1.39x)
Volume
$361
Trade this on Kalshi
Illness
52%
Polymarket 52%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 96¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
Illness
Last price
52%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$132
Trade this on Polymarket
Piggy
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Kalshi
Contract
Piggy
Last price
49%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
54¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$185 (1.85x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Weave
49%
Polymarket 49%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 88¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
Weave
Last price
49%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$171
Trade this on Polymarket
Neurotic
48.5%
Polymarket 48.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 87¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Polymarket
Contract
Neurotic
Last price
48.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
87¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$115 (1.15x)
Volume
$202
Trade this on Polymarket
Six Seven
42%
Polymarket 42%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 65¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Polymarket
Contract
Six Seven
Last price
42%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
65¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$154 (1.54x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Dancing in the Street
39%
Polymarket 39%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 73¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Polymarket
Contract
Dancing in the Street
Last price
39%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
73¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$137 (1.37x)
Volume
$268
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 9 more outcomes
Fat Slob
38%
Kalshi 38%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Kalshi
Contract
Fat Slob
Last price
38%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
27¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Volume
$576
Trade this on Kalshi
Low Energy
31%
Kalshi 31%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Kalshi
Contract
Low Energy
Last price
31%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
31¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$323 (3.23x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Crazy Nancy
28%
Kalshi 28%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kalshi
Contract
Crazy Nancy
Last price
28%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Volume
$657
Trade this on Kalshi
Crazy Bernie
24%
Kalshi 24%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Crazy Bernie
Last price
24%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Fake Tapper
21%
Kalshi 21%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
Contract
Fake Tapper
Last price
21%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$310
Trade this on Kalshi
Biden Crime Family
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
Biden Crime Family
Last price
17%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Little Communist
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
Little Communist
Last price
17%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$334
Trade this on Kalshi
Rocket Man
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
Rocket Man
Last price
17%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$94
Trade this on Kalshi
Comrade Kamala
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Comrade Kamala
Last price
13%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$316
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Marjorie Traitor Greene
  • Crying Chuck / Cryin Chuck
  • Crooked Hillary

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Marjorie Traitor Greene for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.04 × price × (1 − price) per share (politics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "What nicknames will Trump say before 2027?". Marjorie Traitor Greene leads at 80%. Next is Crying Chuck / Cryin Chuck at 79%. $50K has traded across 19 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2027.

Kalshi event status: open

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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